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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - January 18, 2023

Tech Letter

“Bad times are incredibly good for Palantir.” – Said CEO of Palantir Alex Carp

 

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/alex-carp.png 876 480 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-18 15:00:442023-01-18 17:10:30Quote of the Day - January 18, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (OXY) January 18, 2023 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-18 14:58:142023-01-18 14:58:14Trade Alert - (OXY) January 18, 2023 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (TSLA) - January 20, 2023 - EXPIRATION AT MAX PROFIT

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-18 13:21:372023-01-18 13:21:37Trade Alert - (TSLA) - January 20, 2023 - EXPIRATION AT MAX PROFIT
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 18, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
January 18, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(TESTIMONIAL),
(SHOPPING FOR FIRE INSURANCE IN A HURRICANE),
(VIX), (VXX), (XIV),
(THE ABCs OF THE VIX),
(VIX), (VXX), (SVXY)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-18 12:08:242023-01-19 10:58:04January 18, 2023
MHFTF

Shopping for Fire Insurance During a Hurricane

Diary, Newsletter

With the Volatility Index back down to a bargain $18, I am getting deluged with emails from readers asking if it is time to start hedging portfolios one more time and buying the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures ETN (VXX).

The answer is no yet, but soon, possibly very soon.

They are inquiring at absolutely the wrong time.

And here is the problem. When the (VIX) rises, it usually spikes straight up, and then right back down again. This time, it spiked, but has since hung around the $20 level all year rather than collapse back down.

That suggests that there is another leg up to go in volatility until it hits $40 or more before it takes a much-deserved break. That means the stock market has one more sharp selloff left before we hit bottom and bounce.

Markets can ignore trade wars, rising interest rates, the Ukraine War, and international political instability in Taiwan for a while, but not forever. When the time DOES come to pay the piper, prices and volatility will rocket.

Which all brings me to the subject at hand.

If you are new to the service and have no longs, you probably should skip this trade and just watch it as a learning experience.

This can also be a great hedge for any long positions we may want to add in the coming weeks, such as in “peace,” or technology plays.

As I never tire of telling people, no one ever complains when they buy fire insurance and their house doesn’t burn down.

If you are new to this service, don’t freak out. My daily research newsletters are not always about exploring the esoterica of options, or volatility trading.

I’ll let you know when I’m ready to pull the trigger with a Trade Alert.

I am always trying to get better prices.

If you are new to the (VIX) game, please read the educational piece below.

 

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/JohnThomas-Sept20-e1537393647191.png 327 224 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2023-01-18 12:04:512023-01-18 13:40:40Shopping for Fire Insurance During a Hurricane
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 17, 2023

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
January 17, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(COMPROMISE IS THE BEST STRATEGY)
(JNJ), (AMGN), (TAK), (VRTX), (CRSP), (EDIT), (PFE), (CRBU), (SGMO), (LLY), (AXSM)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-17 19:02:562023-01-17 19:39:57January 17, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Compromise Is The Best Strategy

Biotech Letter

An optimist looks at bubbles and visualizes champagne, while a pessimist’s mind goes to Alka-Seltzer. The same thing happens with investors.

Some believe that the steep losses suffered by stocks and bonds in 2022 are a much-needed “cleansing,” which would set the stage for renewed partnerships and collaborations along with high returns. Others simply view it as the first chapter in a protracted bear market.

Meanwhile, a handful believes that it’s a combination of both perspectives—especially for the biotechnology industry.

Roughly two years following the decline of biotechnology stocks, several executives from small and midsize organizations finally concede that their share prices might no longer be able to bounce back anytime soon. In fact, some have been fielding panicked calls from execs of fledgling biotech firms, offering to sell their companies at a discount.

The alteration in the medical device and biotechnology landscape only started a few months before the previous year ended.

This is because, before the change in perspective, when the SPDR S&P Biotech exchange-traded fund (XBI) had slid by about 40% from its 2021 peak, many leaders in the biotech sector still believed that their companies could regain momentum.

The primary concern for smaller biotech and medical devices companies, which allocate years to developing and testing products without any commercially approved treatment, is that the continuous decline in their valuations has made it practically impossible to generate new money to fund any of their projects.

Given this scenario, many small and midsize biotechs would go under soon, particularly those with no data strong enough to provide near-term growth catalysts.

This is where Big Pharma names are expected to come in. After all, these large-cap companies offer an alternative option with their non-dilutive sources of funding and ever-growing war chests.

Big companies, though, have been more cautious in cutting big checks for acquisitions. Despite the high expectations last year, we only saw a few massive deals, including Abiomed’s sale to Johnson & Johnson’s (JNJ) for $19 billion and Amgen’s (AMGN) $30 billion agreement with Horizon Therapeutics.

Instead, these Big Pharma companies appear to prefer partnerships and collaborations. In these deals, they give out smaller payments to biotechnology firms to work with them on specific early-stage programs.

This type of investment seems to be a safer bet for big companies because it allows them to make several deals without spending too much. They can even collaborate with competing biotechs to determine which could develop the most effective and cost-efficient solution.

Smaller biotechs benefit from this type of deal as well.

In the pre-pandemic era, the valuations of these companies quickly soared based on the potential of their pipeline candidates. Some share prices would skyrocket with just a hint of positive data. This is no longer the case these days, not only because investors have become more discerning but also more anxious over experimental programs.

So instead of getting acquired, smaller biotechs can choose to strike partnerships with large-cap companies. This is an excellent way to inject some funding into their programs and, hopefully, provide them with revenue streams, especially since Big Pharma companies know how to market new products.

It sounds challenging, but a genuinely promising program could fetch a large sum.

Perhaps the most significant indicator that not all hope is lost comes from Takeda (TAK) when it purchased an experimental treatment undergoing tests as a potential psoriasis medication.

This candidate, developed by a privately held biotechnology firm called Nimbus Therapeutics, was sold for a whopping $4 billion upfront, plus roughly $2 billion more for future milestone payments. And here’s the clincher: Takeda got the experimental drug by a razor-thin margin.

In terms of acquisitions, some larger companies have been open to that route. For instance, AstraZeneca (AZN) shelled out $1.3 billion for CiniCor Pharma, while Ipsen (IPSEY) purchased Albireo Pharma (ALBO) for $1 billion.

While the future for smaller biotechs remains uncertain, several names continue to be in conversations whenever acquisitions are discussed.

There’s Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), which has long been reported to take interest in acquiring CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) and Editas Medicine (EDIT), with the latter looking more attractive thanks to its cheaper price tag.

Meanwhile, Pfizer (PFE) has been shopping around for a biotech to bolster its gene-editing programs, and so far, Caribou Biosciences (CRBU) and Sangamo Therapeutics (SGMO) are under serious consideration.

With its continuing interest in central nervous system diseases, such as Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s, Eli Lilly (LLY) has been aggressive in its search for a company to acquire. Among the strongest candidates is Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM).

With this daunting reality setting in, one thing has become absolutely sure: the biotechnology sector has become a buyer’s market for big companies with cash to spare for acquisitions and collaborations.

 

biotech companies

 

biotech companies

 

biotech companies

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-17 19:00:552023-01-31 17:57:52Compromise Is The Best Strategy
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (TSLA) January 17, 2023 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-17 14:29:142023-01-17 14:29:14Trade Alert - (TSLA) January 17, 2023 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (QQQ) January 17, 2023 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-17 12:32:462023-01-17 12:32:46Trade Alert - (QQQ) January 17, 2023 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

January 17, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
January 17, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or GOING AGAINST THE CONSENSUS),
(TLT), (MUB), (JNK), (HYG), (GLD), (SLV), (GOLD), (WPM), (FCX), (BHP), (EEM), (MS), (GS), (JPM), (BAC), (C), (BRK/B), (SPY), (QQQ), (IWM), (VIX)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-01-17 09:04:552023-01-17 12:57:31January 17, 2023
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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