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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

June 12, 2024

Jacque's Post

 

(APPLE LAUNCHES ITS AI VISION)

June 12, 2024

 

Hello everyone,

The Worldwide Developers Conference on Monday saw Apple debut its long-awaited artificial intelligence vision.  Shares rose as much as 6.4% on Tuesday to a record high, one day after announcing the company’s AI ideas.  Apple’s plan is to integrate generative artificial intelligence into every aspect of its ecosystem with the launch of Apple Intelligence. 

The event brought positive reviews from many analysts.  The company has been thorough in addressing the privacy issue with on-device capabilities. Analysts see Apple’s emphasis on protecting users’ personal data as a “game changer” as it adds to the users’ confidence. As we all know it is not just about the experience of using AI tools that operate in the open market, but it’s also about tools that understand and protect your personal preferences and data.   Michael Ng from Goldman Sachs was “encouraged by the financial implications” of the announcements, noting that new product features should help fuel an iPhone upgrade cycle.  The updates also create an opportunity for additional AI monetization down the road.

Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi expects Apple’s new features to not only power a stronger device upgrade cycle but also push the company to $8 in earnings per share and potentially convince investors to pay close to the stock’s peak valuation.

However, some analysts expressed doubts about Apple’s AI prospects. Barclay’s analyst Tim Long was skeptical about the AI announcements, describing the features as more of an evolution and not very meaningful.  Furthermore, Long viewed the event as not significant from a stock standpoint.  UBS analyst, David Vogt does not see the Apple AI strategy leading to a significant iPhone upgrade and described the announcement as underwhelming.

Apple Intelligence will be free for users and will be available in beta (trial) version as part of the iOS 18, iPadOS 18 and macOS in September or October in the English language.

The latest operating system also aims to give users more control with tools to manage who can see their apps, how contacts are shared, and how their iPhone connects to accessories.

Users can now lock an app and for additional privacy can hide it too, moving it to a locked, hidden folder.  When the app is locked or hidden, content such as messages or emails within the app is hidden from search, notifications, and elsewhere across the system.

The new software will also introduce new accessibility updates including eye tracking, a built-in option for navigating iPhones with only the eyes.

 

Apple set to launch AI powered Safari 18

 

 

This is not a recommendation to buy Apple right now.

 

Recording of May 31 Monthly Zoom Meeting

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/jacquie-munro-meeting-replay-may-2024/

 

 

Cheers,

Jacquie

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Trade Alert - (MU) June 12, 2024 - TAKE PROFITS - SELL

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-06-12 11:02:242024-06-12 11:02:24Trade Alert - (MU) June 12, 2024 - TAKE PROFITS - SELL
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

June 12, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 12, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(WHAT TO BUY AT MARKET TOPS?),
(CAT), ($COPPER), (FCX), (BHP), (RIO),

(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-06-12 09:06:532024-06-12 13:45:36June 12, 2024
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Here is Your Next Decade Long Play

Diary, Newsletter

The urgent question of the day is WHICH stocks do you buy and forget about for good?

The answer is very simple. You buy cheap ones. And what are the cheapest stocks out there?

Commodity stocks.

My friend, Jim Umpleby, said that we are just entering a ten-year super cycle in commodities.

Jim should know. He is the CEO of Caterpillar (CAT), a company I have been following for 50 years. I even have one of their cool worn yellow baseball caps from years past.

Needless to say, the global commodity shortage has created a stampede to buy the company’s heavy machinery.

Industrial commodities are in fact the perfect sector to buy right now. Take a look at the long-term chart for copper prices, which are a great bellwether for the entire industry. They are imminently poised to make another long-term upside breakout.

Copper last peaked at the beginning of 2011 when the Chinese infrastructure build-out suddenly outdrew to a juddering halt. Prices cratered from $4.60 a pound to a lowly $1.90. Mines were sold off, mothballed, or permanently closed at a record rate.

Copper prices fell so low that the US Mint finally started making a profit on pennies they struck.

Then a funny thing happened.

Copper prices were assisted by the global synchronized economic recovery that resumed in 2023. The share prices of copper and other major commodity producers have gone ballistic.

Freeport McMoRan (FCX), the world’s largest copper producer, (whose management is a long-time reader of this letter) has just seen its stock jump from $33.50 a share to $38.49. I expect it to someday reach $100.

You may think that it’s too late to get into the commodities space, but you’d be wrong. Having covered the sector for nearly a half-century, there is one thing you learn quickly. While you can shut down a mine in weeks, it can take years to bring them back online.

As for developing a new mine from scratch, that can take a decade by the time you get to design, permits, infrastructure, equipment, and labor in place.

My Australian readers tell me that (BHP) is flying young skilled workers from Brisbane an incredible 2,000 miles to work in Northwest mines in a six-week on, six-week off work schedule and paying them $200,000 a year to do it. And they’re making a profit doing this!

The bottom line here is that a short squeeze has developed for industrial commodities which will last for years.

Oh, and that global economic recovery? It is on vacation until investors get a sniff of the first interest rate cut in five years. That could happen in a few months.

At least you have something to buy now.

 

 

 

 

 

Commodities Are In Our Blood

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/copper-mining.png 412 550 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-06-12 09:04:152024-06-12 13:45:11Here is Your Next Decade Long Play
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Testimonial

Diary, Newsletter, Testimonials

Hey John and the MAD Team,

You really nailed and keep nailing great reversals and trends that are just beginning to deserve a watchful eye.

I'm still a bit stuck on futures, but I realize the safety in your spreads is a lot smarter...Thx for all you know and for all you do.

Rod,

Alberta, Canada

John Thomas
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/John-Thomas3-e1437059748891.jpg 300 400 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-06-12 09:02:472024-06-12 13:44:52Testimonial
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 12, 2024 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“It’s hard not to root for America and democracy when you’re part of the system,” said hedge fund manager Brad Gerstner.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/american-flag.jpg 222 296 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-06-12 09:00:482024-06-12 13:44:32June 12, 2024 - Quote of the Day
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

June 11, 2024

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
June 11, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(THE CAPITAL CURE)

(ABBV), (MRK), (PFE), (RHHBY), (JNJ), (AZN), (GSK), (MRNA), (BNTX), (CRSP), (NTLA), (BEAM), (TPTX), (ZNTL), (MRTX), (BPMC), (MGNX), (TYRA), (SPRT), (VRTX), (FOLD), (RARE), (CRBU)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-06-11 12:02:072024-06-11 12:03:24June 11, 2024
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

The Capital Cure

Biotech Letter

Imagine you're the CEO of a major pharmaceutical company. You've got blockbuster drugs that are raking in billions, a cushy corner office, and a corporate jet at your disposal. Life is good.

But then, you look at the calendar and realize that your patents are about to expire. Suddenly, that jet feels more like a crop duster, and your corner office starts to feel like a broom closet.

That's the reality facing Big Pharma right now. These pharma big shots are sweating bullets over losing their golden geese like AbbVie's (ABBV) Humira and Merck's (MRK) Keytruda.

That’s roughly $300 billion in products about to get kicked to the curb.

But these guys didn't get to the top by sitting on their hands. They've got a war chest of $1 trillion, and they're not afraid to use it.

Major pharmaceutical giants like Pfizer (PFE), Roche (RHHBY), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), AstraZeneca (AZN), and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) are about to go on the mother of all shopping sprees.

Why the rush? Because they're staring down the barrel of a patent cliff that's going to make the Grand Canyon look like a pothole.

We're talking $198 billion worth of branded drugs going off the patent cliff between 2021 and 2025. That's a gut-wrenching 56% jump from the last five years.

But don't think for a second that they're just going to sit back and watch their profits go up in smoke. No sir, they're on the hunt for the next big thing, and they've got their sights set on some juicy targets – and biotech is at the top of their list.

Leading the biotech charge are mRNA pioneers Moderna (MRNA) and BioNTech (BNTX), each sitting on a gold mine of potential blockbusters taking on everything from flu to cancer vaccines.

Underdogs like CRISPR (CRSP) biotech stars Intellia (NTLA) and Beam Therapeutics (BEAM) are also squarely in Big Pharma's acquisition crosshairs for their cutting-edge work in genetic disease treatments.

But beyond the headliners, don't overlook the sleeper hits that could catalyze the next big boom.

Oncology, in particular, is a prime hunting ground, accounting for 37% of pharma M&A deal value in 2023 as the $392 billion global cancer drug market continues to boom.

Companies like Turning Point Therapeutics (TPTX) and Zentalis Pharmaceuticals (ZNTL), with their promising targeted therapies for various solid tumors, are particularly attractive prospects.

Mirati Therapeutics (MRTX), focused on KRAS inhibitors, and Blueprint Medicines (BPMC), specializing in precision therapies, have also caught the eye of big pharma with their innovative approaches.

Additionally, companies with late-stage assets like MacroGenics (MGNX), Mereo BioPharma (MREO), and Tyra Biosciences (TYRA) could offer promising near-term revenue opportunities for acquiring companies looking to bolster their oncology portfolios.

Close behind are rare disease treatments, snagging 16% of new drug approvals and 9 of the top 100 deals last year in this $262 billion market ripe for more growth.

This lucrative sector has captivated pharma giants, who see potential in companies like Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) and Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), leaders in rare disease therapies with strong financial performance and consistent growth.

Aside from these, smaller biotechs like Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) and Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE), focused on developing innovative therapies for a range of rare diseases, are attracting attention for their potential to address unmet medical needs and deliver substantial returns on investment.

But the real wild card everyone wants a piece of is cell and gene therapies. This medical Wild West is projected to explode to $66.8 billion by 2030, with the FDA already greenlighting 6 cutting-edge therapies like next-gen CAR-T treatments from Caribou Biosciences (CRBU) in 2023 alone.

Notably, the buying frenzy is very much already underway. In fact, 2023 saw the biggest biotech M&A spree in a decade, with a staggering $122.2 billion changing hands as the FDA approved 50% more new therapies.

Pharma mega-mergers also hit $135.5 billion as firms raced to reload pipelines.

Interestingly, these deals are only the tip of the iceberg. As Wall Street predicts, with record-smashing deals, sky-high demand, and new approvals surging, "biotech's got plenty of reasons to be cautiously optimistic."

Especially if interest rates finally cooperate, throwing gasoline on the M&A bonfire and making biotech the belle of the ball as soon as late 2024.

So keep your eyes peeled and your powder dry. I suggest you add these innovative biotech names to your watchlist, and you might just discover the next blockbuster drug or breakthrough therapy that could reshape medicine – and deliver explosive returns in the process.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-06-11 12:00:012024-06-11 12:03:04The Capital Cure
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Trade Alert - (GLD) June 11, 2024 - STOP LOSS - SELL

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-06-11 09:53:372024-06-11 09:53:37Trade Alert - (GLD) June 11, 2024 - STOP LOSS - SELL
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

June 11, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 11, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(THE MAD HEDGE DECEMBER 6-8 SUMMIT REPLAYS ARE UP),
(A COW BASED ECONOMICS LESSON)

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