The big surprise today was not that the Federal Reserve launched QE3, but the extent of it. ?For a start, they moved the ?low interest rate? target out to mid-2015. ?They left the commitment to bond-buying open-ended. ?The first-year commitment came in at $480 billion, in-line with previous efforts. Reading the statement from the Open
My friends in the gold futures puts have been telling me that the Chinese have emerged as major buyers in recent months. ?Year-to-date imports have reached 458 tonnes, more than four times the amount during the same period last year ? that amounts to $25 billion in real money. ?This is on top of the
?We don?t think the economy is going to be overheating anytime soon,? said Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke.
Long-term readers of this letter are well aware of my pleadings with them a couple of years ago to buy Apple (AAPL) stock at $250 with a target of $1,000. Certainly, the 200 readers who work for Apple noticed. ?That was back when the main concern about the company was that Steve Jobs would die
?First, thanks so much for your Global Trading Dispatch Trade Alert service, which is not only a wealth building tool, but offers a comprehensive trading education. ?I sometimes trade your recommendations, and sometimes use your guidance to make more aggressive options and futures plays. ?I especially liked your call on gold (GLD).? It?s working very
Take those predictions, forecasts, and prognostications with so many grains of salt. ?They have a notorious track record for being completely wrong, even when made by the leading experts in their fields. In preparing for my autumn lecture series, I came across these following nuggets and thought I?d share them with you ? There are
?Facebook was being priced as if it were a beautiful woman without a blemish. ?If any kind of blemish appeared, they will kill the stock. ?I?d rather own Google or Apple,? said my old friend and former client, Leon Cooperman, CEO of mega hedge fund Omega Advisors.
?This has been the worst year for active managers in history. We have never seen numbers of people missing benchmarks so large. As the markets have moved up, the tracking error has grown. People are missing about a third of the upside in the markets,? said Thomas Lee, a chief equity strategist at JP Morgan.
My Fed Call. Survey traders and investors today, and you will find that 99% believe further quantitative easing via QE3 will be announced on Thursday. Poll vote Fed governors and you get a more realistic 50% probability. I think it is much less than that ? and therein lies the trade. I think that markets
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