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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Welcome to the Wonderful World of Options

Diary, Newsletter

Hi there, I’m John Thomas, the Mad Hedge Fund Trader. Welcome to my trading desk and your new job of attaining financial independence.

The coffee machine is right over there, and the bathrooms are down the hall. Don’t let all the shouting bother you. You’ll get used to it after a while.

You’ve already made one of the best business decisions in your life, signing up for my service.  And you won’t just be joining me, but an entire community of thousands of successful traders and investors spread around the world in 137 countries.

Some of my best ideas are really coming from them. I just pass them on to you. You should have received your password and full access to my website by now.

So, get started on your homework, learn how the markets function, and figure out how to trade.  Soon, you’ll have the unfair advantage in the markets that you deserve.

I have issued more than 2,000 trade alerts over the past 12 years so I have a pretty good idea of what works for followers.

Every trade alert I issue gives you the choice of buying a stock, an exchange-traded fund (ETF), or an option spread.

Since we have been in a bull market for the past ten years, those who bought stock only outright made the most money. Those who used the leverage of the futures markets relied on me for their market timing and delivered the most spectacular profits, and by spectacular, I mean 1,000% in a single year.

However, those who used options spreads earned the most money with the least risk over time. I know when some of you hear the word “option”, you want to run a mile.

However, if you are willing to invest of few hours of your time learning about options, you will have a trading and investment skill that you can use for the rest of your life. And I’ll be doing the heavy lifting for you.

When you subscribed to this service, you effectively added 50 years of trading experience to your own.

The good news is that options are not that hard to figure out.

If you can turn on a computer, click your mouse, and log into your online trading account, you have all the resources you need to trade options.

All you have to do is get some basic training on how to navigate the options market. Finish this two-hour course, and you will have most of what you need to know.

Better yet, if you implement the options strategies and disciplines that I will teach you, you can tilt the chance of making money overwhelmingly in your favor.

Working together is going to be fun. I have a chair right here for you, so sit down, let’s get down to it, and put on some serious money-making positions.

It's Not That Hard to Figure Out

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/john-thomas-pillars.png 383 391 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-07-03 09:04:422023-07-03 15:46:22Welcome to the Wonderful World of Options
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

What is an Option? - The Basics

Diary, Newsletter

A stock option is a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a certain number of shares in a company at a specified time at a fixed price.

There are two kinds of options, and they are always defined using the same basic terms.

The terms “Calls” and “Puts” tell you whether you have the right to buy or sell the shares of the underlying company.

The Ticker Symbol tells you which company shares the options are on. The ticker symbol for Apple is (AAPL).

The Expiration Date is when the contract ceases to be valid.

The Strike Price indicated the price at which you have the right to buy or sell shares.

For example, if you buy one of the Apple June 17, 2016 $110 calls, it gives you the right to BUY 100 Apple shares at $110/share any time on or before June 17, 2016. If Apple shares then rise, you make a profit. This is a bullish bet.

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/john-tamalpais.png 650 547 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-07-03 09:02:242023-07-03 15:46:51What is an Option? - The Basics
The Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - July 3, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

In the words of United States Army General, Creighton Abrams, "When eating an elephant, take one bite at a time."

 

elephant-on-a-plate

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Elephant-on-a-Plate-e1483817707449.jpg 215 300 The Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png The Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-07-03 09:00:512023-07-03 15:41:59Quote of the Day - July 3, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 30, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 30, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trades:

(TAKING OFF FOR THE 2023 MAD HEDGE EUROPEAN TOUR)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-06-30 12:14:222023-06-30 12:14:22June 30, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Taking Off for the 2023 Mad Hedge World Tour

Diary, Newsletter, Research

By the time you read this, I will be on a flight to New York City where I will meet with Concierge clients and host my Strategy Luncheon.

I will eventually end up at my chalet in Zermatt, Switzerland where I traditionally restart my year. Weather permitting, I will climb the 14,692-foot Matterhorn again. Is it seven times this year, or eight? I can’t remember.

Otherwise, I’ll rejoin Zermatt Search and Rescue again visiting old friends and pulling stranded Americans off of Alpine peaks. It seems I’m the only one up there who has a sense of humor and speaks English.

I leave you with a “mission accomplished.” We are closing out the first half up +64.39% so far in 2023. If all three remaining positions expire at max profit, we will be up +66.40%.

While most investors are only slowly becoming aware that we are in a bull market, you got the heads-up last October. Since the October 13 low, Mad Hedge has gained an awesome +76.15%! This is a year when a lot of people are wrong and YOU are right.

I have worked the hardest in my life the past year, and it is time for a break. I have also put myself through the most grueling training regimen ever, hiking 2,000 miles in torrential rains and snowshoeing another 600, all with a 50-pound pack.

Covid took a lot out of me in 2022.

Every year, it seems to get harder to keep the calendar at bay.

Getting out into the real world and soaking up new data and opinions is invaluable in shaping my own global view, and your performance benefits from it.

I will be traveling with my laptop and keeping in touch with the markets. While 18th century Internet service is passable, the bandwidth can be snail-like. So, unless I see something extraordinary, I will cut back on new Trade Alerts.

I never actually STOP working, I just change my office location from home offices in Incline Village and San Francisco, to a French castle, and Italian villa, or a Mediterranean mega yacht.

So, I deserve a break. I am risking over trading. I need to spend some time alone on a mountaintop, communing with the spirits, attempting to discover the new long-term market trends hiding themselves in the mist.

While on the road, I will continue writing my newsletter, giving you my daily dose of market insight. I will also be re-running some of my favorite research pieces from the past when my travel schedule does not allow Internet access.

This is to expose my thousands of new subscribers to the golden oldies and to remind the legacy readers who have since forgotten them.

I will be back in San Francisco in early August, glued to my screens once again for another year of toil in the salt mines. In the meantime, please feel free to email me. Concierge members can call me any time for free on WhatsApp.

In the meantime, I shall be raising a glass to all of you at dinner, the loyal readers of The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader. Salute! Prost! Kampai, and Cheers! Thanks for making this letter a huge success!

If you want to take the opportunity to meet me in person, please find my strategy luncheon schedule below. To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please go to my online store and click on the country and city of your choice.

Thursday, July 6, 12:00 PM New York City
Thursday, July 13, 12:00 PM Seminar at Sea on the Queen Mary II
Thursday, July 19, 12:00 PM London England
Friday, July 27, 3:00 PM Cortina d’Ampezzo, Italy
Thursday, August 1, 12:00 PM Florence Italy
Thursday, August 4, 12:00 PM Vienna Austria
Saturday, August 5, 12:00 PM Rome Italy

I look forward to seeing you there, and thanks for supporting my research.

John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader

 

 

 

 

Mad Hedge Market Timing Index

 

Now Which One of These is for Austria?

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/john-thomas-red-wine.jpg 292 317 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-06-30 09:02:182023-06-30 12:14:08Taking Off for the 2023 Mad Hedge World Tour
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 29, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 29, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trades:

(SATURDAY, AUGUST 5, 2023 ROME, ITALY STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(MY 2022 LEAPS TRACK RECORD),
(FCX), (PANW), (RIVN), (NVDA), (BRKB), (JPM), (MS), (VRTX), (TLT), (GOLD), (SLV), (TSLA)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-06-29 09:06:362023-06-29 12:29:45June 29, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

My 2022 LEAPS Track Record

Diary, Newsletter, Research

Recently, I have been touting a 2022 track record of +84.63%.

I have a confession to make.

I lied.

In actual fact, my performance was far higher than that. In reality, I generated a multiple of that +84.63% figure.

That is because my published performance is only for my front-month short-term trade alerts. It does not include the LEAPS recommendations (Long Term Equity Anticipation Securities) issued in 2022, the details of which I include below.

LEAPS have the identical structure as a front month vertical bull call debit spread. The only difference is that while front-month call spreads have expiration dates of less than 30 days, LEAPS go out to 18-30 months.

LEAPS also have strike prices far out of-the-money instead of deep in-the-money, giving you infinitely more upside leverage. LEAPS are actually synthetic futures contracts on the underlying stock.

Of the 12 LEAPS executed in 2022, eight made money and four lost. But the successful trades win big, up to 1,260% in the case of NVDIA (NVDA). With the losers, you only write off the money you put up.

And you still have 18 months until expiration for my four losers, ample time for them to turn around and make money. In the case of my biggest loser for Rivian (RIVN), Tesla launched an unprecedented EV price way shortly after I added this position. Never take on Tesla in a price war. Black swans happen.

Of course, timing is everything in this business. I only add LEAPS during major market selloffs as the leverage is so great, over 20X in some cases, of which there were four in 2022.

If you would like to receive more extensive coverage of my LEAPS service, please sign up for the Mad Hedge Concierge Service where you can excess a separate website devoted entirely to LEAPS. Be aware that the Concierge Service is by application only, has a limited number of places, and there is usually a waiting list.

Given the numbers below, it is easy to understand why most professional full-time traders only invest their personal retirement funds in LEAPS.

To learn more about the Mad Hedge Concierge Service, please contact customer support at support@madhedgefundtrader.com

 

2022 LEAPS Track Record

 

Date                  Position                                                                                               Cost        Price     Profit

9/27/2022         (FCX) January 2025 $42-$45 Call spread LEAPS                            $0.65       $1.26       94%

9/28/2022        (PANW) January 2025 $306.67-$313.33 Call spread LEAPS        $0.80       $4.42      453%

9/28/2022        (RIVN) January 2025 $75-$80 Call spread LEAPS                          $0.50       $0.06     -88%

9/29/2022        (NVDA) January 2025 $270-$280 Call spread LEAPS                   $0.50        $6.80     1,260%

9/30/2022        (BRK/B) January 2025 $420-$430 Call spread LEAPS                  $1.00        $1.95       95%

10/3/2022         (JPM) January 2025 $175-$180 Call spread LEAPS                        $0.50       $0.89      78%

10/4/2022         (MS) January 2025 $130-$135 Call spread LEAPS                          $0.50       $0.24     -52%

10/12/2022       (VRTX) January 2025 $430-$440 Call spread LEAPS                   $1.50         $2.76      84%

11/9/2022          (TLT) January 2024 $95-$100 Call spread LEAPS                         $2.30        $3.51       53%

11/10/2022        (GOLD) January 2025 $27-$30 Call spread LEAPS                       $0.25        $0.18     -28%

11/28/2022        (SLV) January 2025 $25-$26 Call spread LEAPS                           $0.50       $0.22     -56%

12/19/2022        (TSLA) January 2025 $290-$300 Call spread LEAPS                    $1.50       $2.94      96%

 

Good luck and good trading,

John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader

 

The Sweet Taste of LEAPS

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/john-thomas-red-wine.jpg 292 317 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-06-29 09:02:042023-06-29 12:30:12My 2022 LEAPS Track Record
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - June 29, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

We spend a lot of time looking for systemic risk; in truth, however, it tends to find us,” said Meg McConnell of the New York Fed.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/risk.png 320 487 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-06-29 09:00:052023-06-29 17:12:46Quote of the Day - June 29, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

June 28, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
June 28, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trades:

(TUESDAY, AUGUST 1, 2023 FLORENCE, ITALY GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(CYBERSECURITY IS ONLY JUST GETTING STARTED)
(PANW), (HACK),  (CSCO), (FTNT), (JNPR), (CIBR)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-06-28 09:06:312023-06-28 13:26:08June 28, 2023
MHFTR

Cybersecurity is Only Just Getting Started

Diary, Newsletter, Research

One of the unfortunate aspects of the pandemic has been a tenfold increase in online fraud.

I get a dozen phishing attacks a day pretending to be Walmart, the Bank of America, and Amazon. And I never click on anything from Apple asking me to change my ID and password. The crooks are just getting too good.

However, where there are criminals there is investment gold.

The cybersecurity sector has been spurred upward with the rest of technology in recent months, creating a rare entry point on the cheap side of the longer-term charts.

The near-destruction of Sony (SNE) by North Korean hackers years ago has certainly put the fear of God into corporate America. Apparently, they have no sense of humor whatsoever north of the 38th parallel.

As a result, there is a generational upgrade in cybersecurity underway, with many potential targets boosting spending by multiples.

It’s not often that I get a stock recommendation from an army general. That is exactly what happened the other day when I was speaking to a three-star about the long-term implications of the escalating trade war.

He argued persuasively that the world will probably never again see large-scale armies fielded by major industrial nations. Wars of the future will be fought online, as they have been silently and invisibly over the past 20 years.

All of those trillions of dollars spent on big ticket, heavy metal weapons systems, like submarines and F-35 fighters ($122 million each) are pure pork designed by politicians to buy voters in marginal swing states.

The money would be far better spent where it is most needed, on the cyber warfare front. Needless to say, my friend shall remain anonymous.

The problem is that when wars become cheaper, you fight more of them, as is the case with online combat.

You probably don’t know this, but during the Bush administration, the Chinese military downloaded the entire contents of the Pentagon’s mainframe computers at least seven times.

This was a neat trick because these computers were in stand-alone, siloed, electromagnetically shielded facilities not connected to the Internet in any way. Here are essentially no secrets about anything anymore.

In the process, they obtained the designs of all of our most advanced weapons systems, including our best smart nukes. What have they done with this top-secret information?

Absolutely nothing.

Like many in senior levels of the US military, the Chinese have concluded that these weapons are a useless waste of valuable resources. Far better value for money are more hackers, coders, and servers, which the Chinese have pursued with a vengeance.

You have seen this in the substantial tightening up of the Chinese Internet through the deployment of the Great Firewall, which blocks local access to most foreign websites, including Wikipedia.

Try sending an email to someone in the middle Kingdom with a Gmail address. It is almost impossible. This is why Google (GOOG) closed their offices there years ago.

I know of these because several Chinese readers are complaining that they are unable to open my own Mad Hedge Trade Alerts, or access their foreign online brokerage accounts.

As a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff recently told me, “The greatest threat to national defense is wasting money on national defense.”

Although my brass-hatted friend didn’t mention the company by name, the implication is that I need to go out and buy Palo Alto Networks (PANW) right now.

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is an American network security company based in Santa Clara, California just across the water from my Bay area office.

The company’s core products are advanced firewalls designed to provide network security, visibility and granular control of network activity based on application, user, and content identification. To visit their website please click here.

Palo Alto Networks competes in the unified threat management and network security industry against Cisco (CSCO), FireEye (FEYE), Fortinet (FTNT), Check Point (CHKP), Juniper Networks (JNPR), and Cyberoam, among others.

The really interesting thing about this industry is that there really are no losers. That’s because companies are taking a layered approach to cybersecurity, parceling out contracts to many of the leading firms at once, looking to hedge their bets.

To say that top management has no idea what these products really do would be a huge understatement. Therefore, they buy all of them.

This makes a basket approach to the industry more feasible than usual. You can do this by buying the $435 million capitalized Pure Funds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK), which boasts CyberArk Software (CYBR and FireEye (FEYE) as its largest positions.

(HACK) has been a hedge fund favorite since the Sony attack.
For more information about (HACK), please click here.

And don’t forget to change your password.

 

 

 

 

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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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