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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

The King's Speech

Biotech Letter

Warren Buffett once said, “Time is the friend of the wonderful company.” If that's true, Abbott Laboratories (ABT) must be Father Time's BFF because this centenarian healthcare heavyweight has been befriending our wallets for longer than most of us have been alive.

First things first: Abbott's not just any dividend stock. It's a bona fide Dividend King, having hiked its payout for over 50 consecutive years. But let's not get too misty-eyed about history.

What's got my attention is Abbott's current form. This isn't your typical sleepy pharma stock. Abbott's been flexing its muscles across multiple segments, showing growth that could very well be a worthy competition against any Silicon Valley startup.

In the first half of this year, Abbott saw positive growth in all but one segment. The laggard? Diagnostics, which took a hit as COVID-19 testing went the way of the dodo. But hey, you can't win 'em all, right?

Now, let's talk dividends. Abbott's currently yielding a respectable 1.9%, outpacing the S&P 500's measly 1.3%. With a payout ratio of 67%, there's still room for this dividend to grow.

But where's the real excitement? Two words: diabetes care.

Abbott's continuous glucose monitoring devices are hotter than a two-dollar pistol, driving 19% organic growth in the first two quarters. With diabetes becoming a bigger epidemic than we anticipated, this could be Abbott's golden goose.

Just look at the skyrocketing stocks of diabetes-focused companies like Eli Lilly (LLY) and Novo Nordisk (NVO). Different products, same lucrative market.

Abbott's FreeStyle Libre CGM system isn't just some gadget. It’s actually a genuine life-changer that's raking in $1.6 billion in quarterly sales and growing 20% year-over-year. In a market where DexCom (DXCM) is nipping at their heels, that's no small feat.

But Abbott's not resting on its laurels. They're expanding into over-the-counter CGM systems like Lingo and Libre Rio, leveraging a decade of international experience to capture more U.S. market share. It's like they're aiming to slap a diabetes monitor on every wrist in America.

And here's the kicker: the number of people living with diabetes is projected to hit 643 million by 2030 and a whopping 783 million by 2045. If that’s not the definition of a growing market, then I don’t know what is.

But Abbott isn't a one-trick pony. While they're busy trying to corner the diabetes market, they're also cooking up a storm in other areas.

Take their cardiac care lineup, for instance. Abbott's dabbling in electrophysiology with their EnSite X EP System, equipped with something called Omnipolar Technology. Sounds like something out of a sci-fi flick, right? Well, it's making cardiac mapping more precise than a Swiss watchmaker, giving arrhythmia patients a fighting chance.

But that’s not where it ends. Abbott's TriClip system is tackling tricuspid valve repair like a pro wrestler pinning an opponent. And don't get me started on their Esprit dissolvable stent. It's like the James Bond of the vascular world - it does its job and then disappears without a trace.

So, while diabetes care might be Abbott's current chart-topper right now, they've got a whole album of potential hits in the works. From glucose monitors to heart repair, Abbott's making moves that could have investors' portfolios beating as steadily as a healthy heart.

And as for you nervous nellies out there, Abbott's beta value of 0.7 suggests it's more stable than a three-legged stool. Perfect for those of you who break out in hives at the mere mention of volatility.

Now, it hasn't all been smooth sailing. Abbott recently faced a trial over claims its preterm infant formula caused a dangerous disease. But don't start panic-selling just yet.

JPMorgan and Barclays reckon the liability is likely to be smaller than a gnat's appetite. Abbott's management is confident, too, probably because the product in question accounts for a whopping... wait for it... $9 million in revenue. That's pocket change for a company like Abbott.

Looking ahead, Abbott's firing on all cylinders. They're seeing 9.3% organic revenue growth (excluding their COVID products), and they're so confident they've raised their full-year guidance.

Meanwhile, valuation-wise, Abbott's looking pretty good. With double-digit earnings growth expected and an AA-credit rating (better than some countries I could name), this stock could easily outperform the market.

So, what's the bottom line? Abbott's got the stability of a Dividend King, the growth potential of a tech startup, and more irons in the fire than a blacksmith's shop.

It's trading at a fair price, and with its track record of innovation and dividend growth, this could be your ticket to a healthier portfolio. After all, in the race for returns, slow and steady often wins more than just participation trophies. I suggest you buy the dip.

 

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Trade Alert - (TLT) September 19, 2024 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

September 19, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
September 19, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(THE BEST LEAPS TESTIMONIAL EVER)

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Douglas Davenport

Hong Kong on the Cusp of AI Revolution: New Rules for Finance Sector

Mad Hedge AI

A Bold Step Towards the Future of Finance

In a move poised to solidify its position as a global financial leader, Hong Kong is set to unveil its first-ever policy statement on the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in finance. This landmark decision, anticipated eagerly by industry insiders, could catapult the adoption of AI technologies across various financial domains - from trading and investment banking to the burgeoning world of cryptocurrencies.

A Proactive Stance on AI Regulation

The forthcoming policy statement is expected to outline a comprehensive regulatory framework for AI deployment in financial services. This proactive approach to AI regulation could set a benchmark for other financial hubs worldwide, demonstrating Hong Kong's commitment to nurturing innovation while ensuring the stability and integrity of its financial ecosystem.

The Transformative Power of AI in Finance

AI has the potential to revolutionize the financial landscape in myriad ways. From automating routine tasks to providing real-time insights and bolstering risk management, AI can streamline operations, enhance efficiency, and drive innovation. The integration of AI in finance is already gaining momentum globally, and Hong Kong's forward-thinking approach could position it at the vanguard of this technological transformation.

Key Areas of AI Implementation in Finance

The policy statement is expected to address the utilization of AI in several critical areas within finance, including:

  • Trading: AI can be leveraged to analyze vast swathes of market data, identify trends, and execute trades at lightning speed. This can lead to improved trading strategies, amplified profitability, and mitigated risk.
  • Investment Banking: AI can automate due diligence processes, analyze investment opportunities, and provide personalized financial advice. This can result in accelerated deal execution, enhanced investment decisions, and superior client service.
  • Cryptocurrencies: AI can be employed to analyze blockchain data, detect fraudulent activity, and forecast market trends. This can lead to increased transparency, improved security, and more informed investment choices.

The Advantages of Embracing AI in Finance

The integration of AI in finance can yield a multitude of benefits, including:

  • Enhanced Efficiency: AI can automate tasks, streamline processes, and reduce the need for manual intervention. This can translate into substantial cost savings and optimized operational efficiency.
  • Improved Risk Management: AI can analyze massive datasets, identify potential risks, and provide early warning signals. This can empower financial institutions to proactively manage risks and minimize potential losses.
  • Elevated Customer Experience: AI can be utilized to offer personalized financial advice, customized investment recommendations, and round-the-clock customer support. This can foster improved customer satisfaction and loyalty.

Addressing Challenges and Concerns

While the potential advantages of AI in finance are undeniable, there are also challenges and concerns that warrant attention. These include:

  • Data Privacy: The utilization of AI in finance involves the collection and analysis of substantial amounts of personal and financial data. It is imperative to ensure that this data is handled securely and in accordance with privacy regulations.
  • Algorithm Bias: AI algorithms can be susceptible to bias, leading to discriminatory outcomes. It is crucial to ensure that AI systems are designed and trained in a manner that minimizes bias and promotes fairness.
  • Job Displacement: The automation of tasks through AI could lead to job displacement in certain sectors of the financial industry. It is essential to address this potential impact and provide support to affected workers.

Hong Kong's Unique Position

Hong Kong's status as a global financial hub, combined with its robust technological infrastructure and supportive regulatory environment, makes it an ideal breeding ground for the development and adoption of AI in finance. The government's proactive stance on AI regulation could further cement Hong Kong's position as a trailblazer in this arena.

The Global Perspective

The integration of AI in finance is rapidly gaining traction worldwide. Several countries and regions are actively exploring the potential of AI in the financial sector and formulating regulatory frameworks to govern its use. Hong Kong's forthcoming policy statement could contribute significantly to the ongoing global dialogue on AI regulation and offer valuable insights for other jurisdictions.

Conclusion

Hong Kong's contemplation of rules for AI use in finance marks a significant stride towards embracing the future of finance. The government's proactive approach to AI regulation could propel Hong Kong to the forefront of this technological revolution, fostering innovation while safeguarding the stability and integrity of its financial system. The adoption of AI in finance has the potential to unlock a plethora of benefits, from heightened efficiency and improved risk management to an elevated customer experience. While challenges and concerns persist, Hong Kong's unique position as a global financial hub, coupled with its robust technological infrastructure and supportive regulatory environment, equips it well to navigate this new frontier. The forthcoming policy statement is eagerly awaited by the industry and could serve as a blueprint for other jurisdictions as they grapple with the complexities of AI regulation in the financial sector.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2024-09-18 16:31:502024-09-18 16:32:20Hong Kong on the Cusp of AI Revolution: New Rules for Finance Sector
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (DHI) September 18, 2024 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2024-09-18 15:03:542024-09-18 15:03:54Trade Alert - (DHI) September 18, 2024 - BUY
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

September 18, 2024

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
September 18, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(ORACLE’S PLAN TO DOMINATE AI)
(ORCL)

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Oracle's Plan To Dominate AI

Tech Letter

Larry Ellison, who founded Oracle back in the day and was once a legacy data center company, has now transformed into a cutting-edge AI company, and when he talks, people should take note.

The boom in his stock Oracle from the AI mania has meant that he is now almost as rich as Amazon’s Jeff Bezos.

To say the least, Ellison has his pulse on what is going on in the AI community and what is next in store, which is why Oracle, who recently moved to Texas, should be on the radar of every investor who has an interest in technology.

Ellison gave his candid view on how his company, Oracle, along with other AI companies, will profit from the hard pivot to everything and anything AI.

Essentially, everything will become generative AI, which delivers profitable solutions when anything happens.

Let me explain.

Ellison believes super-invasive, if not totally omnipresent, algorithmic overseers will be the new normal for human society, and that will give a way for tech companies to make a killing.

Powerful and fascinating AI will bring about a new paradigm of supercharged surveillance, guaranteeing that the "citizens" — all behave and stay in line.

"We're going to have supervision," Ellison said.

"Every police officer is going to be supervised at all times, and if there's a problem, AI will report that problem and report it to the appropriate person."

"Citizens will be on their best behavior," he added, "because we are constantly recording and reporting everything that's going on."

Ironically, many of these surveillance apparatuses — security cameras, bodycams — are already in place.

Why have them engaged in a risky car chase, for example, when you can get an AI drone to tail a suspect instead?

"You just have a drone follow the car," Ellison said.

Under Ellison's stewardship, Oracle has been attempting to position itself as another leader in the AI race and has quickly integrated the tech into its cloud computing services.

The examples that Ellison gives are by no mistake.

Ellison plans for Oracle to be the heart and center of this surveillance business, and rightly so, with all the investments and years of getting to this new technology.

Oracle’s data centers and software will be central to how surveillance will operate. CCTV cameras will be absolutely everywhere, “helping” police do their job and identifying if a drone needs to be sent in for more helping.

Police won’t be the only use case in drones and cameras powered by AI helping to build business.

Take the industry of logistics.

They are fast moving towards a time when humans won’t need to be working in the warehouse moving products.

Robots, cameras, and drones in that type of tripartite cooperation will be able to unload, store, organize, and ship powered by Oracle software. Now, that is a really efficient concept!

Humans will really only need to be present to receive the Amazon package at the last mile deliver high likely delivered by a robotic drone in an electric Tesla powered by Oracle software. Oracle is about to hit pay dirt once they are integrated into every business process in the world that happens 24 hours per day.   

The future of commerce will look a lot different, and there is a reason why the trajectory is so fluid: and Ellison sits at the intersection of business profits and AI.

Readers should be inclined to buy Oracle on the dip.

 

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

September 18, 2024

Jacque's Post

 

(THE SCIENCE OF AGEING BACKWARDS MAY BE IN OUR POCKETS WITHIN THE NEXT TEN YEARS)

September 18, 2024

Hello everyone.

Today will be a refreshing change of pace and content, as I think we all have endured a lot of noise about this week’s events.

 

 

So, let’s jump right in.

Ageing.  Or should I say the study and research into ageing backwards is gaining steam?  It’s no longer the stuff of science fiction.  Affordable treatments that could slow, stop or even reverse your ageing are, thanks to new breakthroughs, less than a decade away.  Without even realizing it, you may even be taking some of these pills already.

The biology of ageing essentially causes diseases like cancer, cardiovascular disease, and dementia.  For example, while having high blood pressure roughly doubles your chance of a heart attack, being aged 80 rather than 40 multiplies that risk by 10.  That means understanding the biology behind these enormous risk increases could lead to the greatest revolution in medicine since the discovery of antibiotics.  It could transform not just the treatment but the prevention of disease in the first place. 

The pay-off, if we can identify and treat these underlying causes of ageing, is enormous.  If we could make people in middle age a bit biologically younger with drugs that address the ageing process, we could improve everything from heart health to wrinkles and delay the onset of cancer, dementia, and frailty, all at the same time.

Andrew Steele, in his text, Ageless: The New Science of Getting Older Without Getting Old, reveals how scientists have identified several so-called ‘hallmarks’ of the ageing process – underlying biological and biochemical processes…

So, what are these biological hallmarks, and what might treatments to slow or stop their currently relentless march look like?

According to Steele, the most promising treatments are:

1/ A Miracle Drug from Easter Island

Easter Island, known for its giant stone heads, is also the origin of one of our most promising drugs to improve longevity: rapamycin.

 

 

Discovered in a soil sample returned by a Canadian expedition in the 1960s, it was named after the Polynesian name for Easter Island, Rap Nui.  The molecule, produced by a species of bacterium, is a pharmaceutical Swiss army knife with applications ranging from treating cancer to suppressing transplant patients’ immune systems to help prevent organ rejection.  And we could soon add ‘slowing down the ageing process’ to that list.

It all comes down to the hallmarks of ageing: the accumulation of dysfunctional proteins as we get older.

‘Autophagy’ – which literally means ‘self-eating’ – allows our cells to recycle malformed molecules and turn them into fresh, functional proteins.  Rapamycin can increase our cells’ ability to engage in this anti-ageing spring-cleaning.

Scientists believe that we could improve everything from heart health to wrinkles and delay the onset of cancer, dementia, and frailty.

 

 

2/ Drugs in your Medicine Cabinet

Diabetes drugs known as SGLT -2 inhibitors – canagliflozin, dapagliflozin, or empagliflozin – might be giving you health and lifespan benefits beyond helping with your blood sugar.   These drugs have been shown to improve wider health in patients that take them, and canagliflozin extended lifespan by 14% in male mice.

Other drugs include Metformin and Acarbose – diabetes drugs, and bisphosphonate drugs- usually used to reduce bone loss, weight-loss treatments like semaglutide, commonly known under brand names like Wegovy or Ozempic. 

3/ Bottling Up a Baby’s Biology

An immortal jellyfish (Turritopsis dohrnii) can, in times of stress, simply revert their biology to the junior ‘polyp’ stage and then grow up all over again, seemingly as many times as they like.  In other words, ageing backward isn’t against the laws of biology.  But is it possible in humans?

 

 

Steele argues that ageing biology, as a field, needs more funding to begin human trials for the promising interventions.  If it gets it, Steele says there’s no reason why some of these real anti-ageing medicines couldn’t be approved within a decade, allowing us all to stay healthy for longer.

 

AUSTRALIAN CORNER

 

That’s Wednesday evening, September 18 (Australian time) Hope you enjoyed it.

QI CORNER

 

 

Shaded areas indicate cuts not followed by recessions.

 

 

WHAT IS…?

 

 

SOMETHING TO THINK ABOUT

 

 

 

Cheers

Jacquie

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april@madhedgefundtrader.com

Trade Alert - (WPM) September 18, 2024 - TAKE PROFITS - SELL

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 april@madhedgefundtrader.com https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png april@madhedgefundtrader.com2024-09-18 10:18:192024-09-18 10:35:11Trade Alert - (WPM) September 18, 2024 - TAKE PROFITS - SELL
april@madhedgefundtrader.com

September 18, 2024

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
September 18, 2024
Fiat Lux

 

Featured Trade:

(TESTIMONIAL)
(HOW TO SPOT A MARKET TOP),
(SPY), (NFLX), (TSLA), (FB), (LEN), (TLT), (BAC)

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