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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

CANCELLED due to Pandemic - Friday, April 17 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon

Diary, Lunch, Newsletter

Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update which I will be conducting in San Francisco on Friday, April 17, 2020. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question-and-answer period.

I will also be bringing some artifacts from my recent trip to the WWII battlefield at Guadalcanal.

I’ll be giving you my up-to-date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I’ll be throwing a few surprises out there too. Tickets are available for $229.

I’ll be arriving at 11:30 and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one-on-one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets.

The lunch will be held at an exclusive private club in downtown San Francisco near Union Square, details of which will be emailed with your purchase confirmation.

I look forward to meeting you and thank you for supporting my research.

To purchase tickets for this luncheon, please click here.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/San-Francisco-e1410363065903.jpg 238 359 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-05 06:04:592020-03-30 12:12:34CANCELLED due to Pandemic - Friday, April 17 San Francisco Strategy Luncheon
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 5, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
March 5, 2020
Fiat Lux

SPECIAL MARKET BOTTOM ISSUE

Featured Trade:
(TEN LONG TERM BIOTECH & HEALTH CARE LEAPS TO BUY AT THE BOTTOM)
(UNH), (HUM), (AMGN), (BIIB), (JNJ), (PFE), (BMY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-05 06:04:562020-03-05 05:33:12March 5, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Ten Long Term Biotech & Healthcare LEAPs to Buy at the Bottom

Biotech Letter, Diary, Newsletter

Joe Biden’s romp over Bernie Sanders in the Tuesday Democratic primary takes the lid off on the entire biotech and healthcare sector. Sanders has promised to dismantle the entire sector by promising Medicare for all and banning private coverage.

Sanders was also about to take a cudgel to drug pricing. While Sanders was leading in the primary, the threats hung over the industry like an 800-pound gorilla.

Yesterday, Sanders went down in flames. You can see this clearly in the price action of Humana (HUM), which rose a ballistic 14.44% yesterday. Similarly, United Health Group (UNH) was up a monster 10.72%.

It is safe to say that the bottom is in for biotech and healthcare stocks.

I am often asked how professional hedge fund traders invest their personal money. They all do the exact same thing. They wait for a market crash like we are seeing now and buy the longest-term LEAPs possible for their favorite names.

The reasons are very simple. The risk of a LEAP is limited. You can’t lose any more than you put in. At the same time, they permit enormous amounts of leverage.

Two years out, the longest maturity available for most LEAPs, allow plenty of time for the world and the markets to get back on an even keel. Recessions, pandemics, hurricanes, oil shocks, interest rate spikes, and political instability all go away within two years and pave the way for dramatic stock market recoveries.

You just put them away and forget about them. Wake me up when it is 2022.

I put together this portfolio using the following parameters. I set the strike prices just short of the all-time highs set two weeks ago. I went for the maximum maturity. I used today’s prices. And of course, I picked the names that have the best long-term outlooks.

If you buy LEAPs at these prices and the stocks all go to new highs, then you should earn an average 229% profit from an average stock price increase of only 11.4%. That is a return 20 times greater than the underlying stock gain. And let’s face it. None of the companies below are going to zero, ever. Now you know why hedge fund traders only employ this strategy.

There is a smarter way to execute this portfolio. Put in throw-away crash bids at levels so low they will only get executed on the next 1,000 point down day in the Dow Average.

You can play around with the strike prices all you want. Going farther out of the money increase your returns, but raises your risk as well. Going closer to the money reduces risk and returns, but the gains are still a multiple of the underlying stock.

Buying when everyone else is throwing up on their shoes is always the best policy. That way your return will rise to ten times the move in the underlying stock.

Amgen (AMGN) - January 21 2022 $235-$240 bull call spread at $3.68 delivers a 172% gain with the stock at $245, up 14% from the current level

Biogen (BIIB) - January 21 2022 $365-$375 bull call spread at $3.89 delivers a 157% gain with the stock at $375, up 14% from the current level

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - January 21 2022 $150-$155 bull call spread at $1.63 delivers a 206% gain with the stock at $155, up 8.3% from the current level

Pfizer (PFE) - January 21 2022 $40-$45 bull call spread at $1.05 delivers a 376% gain with the stock at $40.60, up 11.5% from the current level

Bristol Meyers Squibb (BMY) - January 21 2022 $65-$70 bull call spread at $1.50 delivers a 233% gain with the stock at $68, up 11.40% from the current level

 

 

 

 

 

Is He Saying “BUY”?

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/biden.png 527 791 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-05 06:02:212020-03-10 15:15:57Ten Long Term Biotech & Healthcare LEAPs to Buy at the Bottom
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (CCL) March 4, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-04 14:58:032020-03-04 14:58:03Trade Alert - (CCL) March 4, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (MSFT) March 4, 2020 - BUY

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-04 13:08:002020-03-04 13:08:00Trade Alert - (MSFT) March 4, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (AAPL) March 4, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-04 12:05:592020-03-04 12:05:59Trade Alert - (AAPL) March 4, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (UAL) March 4, 2020 - BUY

Trade Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-04 11:47:032020-03-04 13:00:30Trade Alert - (UAL) March 4, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 4, 2020

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 4, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE BEST TECH STOCKS TO BUY AT THE BOTTOM)
(NFLX), (ZM), (PTON), (AMZN), (OKTA), (WORK), (ATVI), (EA), (TTWO)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-04 10:04:352020-03-04 10:02:10March 4, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Best Tech Stocks to Buy at the Bottom

Tech Letter

Tech stocks that are begging to be picked up on the back of the coronavirus pandemic are Netflix (NFLX), Zoom Video Communications (ZM), workplace collaboration service Slack Technologies (WORK), and Peloton Interactive (PTON), the spin bike company.

Their short-term outperformance indicates that these stocks work well during mass pandemics shelving most outdoor activity and commerce.

The basket of 3 stocks has easily beat the S&P 500 since the coronavirus emerged as a threat in mid-January.

Home sitting doesn’t generate a net output of business activity unless that job is digital.

The majority of workers still commute in a physical car only to sit in an office, restaurant, or some other type of self-contained space.

That is the underlying problem that has no solution, and any rate cut by the Fed cannot ultimately solve consumers holed up in their house.

If the companies that could opt to go pure digital do take up the option, the number of remote workers would rise and digital products would be the ultimate beneficiary of this trend.

Companies that promote remote working such as Slack (WORK) and Google Hangouts are in pole position to reap the rewards.

These services include video conferencing software, logistical services, administrative services, network security services, ecommerce and any service that aids in generating digital content like Adobe and its umbrella of assets.

The trend was already transforming American culture, but the virus vigorously pulls forward a trend that was already in overdrive.

Enabling information workers to produce outside the traditional office environment is one of the lynchpins of the Silicon Valley model.

Companies will ultimately realize that spending big bucks on business travel to meet face to face for 30 minutes is probably not an optimal allocation of resources.

Business travel is getting cut with a cleaver such as Amazon.com (AMZN) who are forcing employees to avoid all nonessential travel for now, including within the U.S. Much of that travel could be replaced by video calls.

Other companies will get in on the action by directing their employees to work from home in the coming weeks.

Coronavirus mania has reached the U.S. shores with consumers stocking up on all the essentials at the local Costco.

If this gets worse, there is no solution unless a viable medical solution starts improving the health crisis.

There are still only 7 known fatalities from the coronavirus, all in the state of Washington, and limiting that number is critical to the health of the tech market.

Another company is Okta (OKTA), a leader in authentication security cloud software.

The company’s offering allows employees to use corporate applications on-site and remotely and protecting their access to their digital services is just as important as the work itself.

As consumer spurn movie theaters, concerts, and gyms, the entertainment space will give way to digital entertainment that includes Netflix (NFLX) and Roku (ROKU).

Roku is a great place to hide out in the world where Covid-19 meets daily consumers in the U.S. in a more meaningful way during 2020.

Netflix is a company that has defied gravity this year by bull-rushing its way through the competition and proving there is space for everyone.

The increase in incremental demand for digital content will only help Netflix claim a bigger part of the pie.

We can also lump the videogame industry into this cohort such as Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Electronic Arts (EA), and Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO).

They have faced serious headwinds from gaming phenomenon Fortnite, but prolonged home sitting will even boost their shares.

The spine of digital services will receive a boost as well from the usual cast of characters such as Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Facebook (FB).

As investors wait for the climax of the coronavirus and the Central Bank has indicated that they are open to more accommodative policy, we could be ripe for more volatility.

Chinese coronavirus cases have started to taper off and if the rest of the world trends in a similar fashion, this virus scare could be in the history books in 2-3 months.

However, the trajectory of the virus is still a massive unknown in the U.S. and winning the health battle is the only panacea to this dilemma.

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-03-04 10:02:282020-05-11 13:16:43The Best Tech Stocks to Buy at the Bottom
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 4, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Often you have to rely on intuition.” – Said Founder and Former CEO of Microsoft Bill Gates

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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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