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Tag Archive for: (GOOGL)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 8, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
April 8, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WEDNESDAY, JUNE 29, 2022 LONDON STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(APRIL 6 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),
(SPY), (TSLA), (TLT), (TBT), (AAPL), (IBB), (GOOGL), (ADBE), (NVDA), (FXE), ($BTCUSD)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-08 12:06:562022-04-08 13:01:24April 8, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 6 Biweekly Strategy Webinar Q&A

Diary, Newsletter

Below please find subscribers’ Q&A for the April 6 Mad Hedge Fund Trader Global Strategy Webinar broadcast from Silicon Valley.

Q: The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) is down quite a bit—do I wait a bit longer to put on a debit call spread LEAPS for the end of this year and possibly the end of 2024?

A: This is really one of the two most interesting parts of the market right now. The biotech stocks have been absolutely destroyed over the past year—down 70, 80, 90% in some cases; and at that level, the worst-case scenario is in the price. Maybe we bounce along the bottom for another year. In the best case, these things all double or triple or even go up 10 times. We’re very close to putting on a 2024 call spread in the best biotech names, and if you get the Mad Hedge Biotech Letter (Click here for the link), you already know what they are because the downside risk on these things is getting close to nil, and the upside is 10 times. I like that kind of math—when the upside versus the downside is 10 to 1 in your favor. When I see specific LEAPS opportunities, I’ll send them out to you, but the answer is: not yet. We’re getting very close on biotech, however.

Q: I sold about a third of my ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) position at $22.00 for a nice 40% gain, thank you very much. Should I hold the rest for a while? And is there a significant upside for 2022?

A: I’ve been telling everyone: hold those shorts. I know those of you who put on the December $150-$155 vertical bear put spread or the December $145-$150 vertical bear put spread already have substantial profits, but the time value on these options is still large, so there is still quite a lot of these profits to be made hanging on to all of your put spreads in the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). And is there a substantial downside from here? I think yes! If the Fed goes to a half-point rate hike schedule for the next 4 meetings, the (TLT) is absolutely going down to a $105 or $110 level or so. So, keep those shorts and add to shorts on rallies. We came close. I said sell on a $6 point rally and we got a $5 point rally. I didn't pull the trigger, and of course, now we’re here at new lows.

Q: Are we close to buying LEAPS in tech?

A: Yes, I think that once this current meltdown finishes, I want to go back in there. But I want to go long-dated.

Q: What does rapid unwind of the Fed balance sheet mean for the markets?

A: It’s terrible! The Fed has a balance sheet close to $9 trillion dollars. Before the financial crisis of ‘07, it was $800 million dollars, and in fact, in the last 4 years, it has gone up from $20 trillion to $30 trillion. So these are just bubblicious levels for the Fed to own. And what is QT or quantitative tightening? They sell those bonds. And of course, everyone knows they’re going to sell, so they’re dropping bids for bonds like crazy right now—that's why you’re getting the meltdown in the (TLT). This is bad for the stock market; there’s no world in which the stock market goes up with sharply rising interest rates. The best case is that you give up 20% and then make some of it back, and then give up 20% and then make some of it back. So yeah, expect to hear a lot about QT. We only ended QE or quantitative easing about 3 weeks ago, and it looks like we may go straight into QT as soon as May. And boy, the bond market is sure reflecting that today.

Q: How long will wage inflation last? Can I count on 10% pay increases forever?

A: No, it will last until the next recession. I have a feeling that the unemployment rate will hit all-time lows next month—probably 3.2% or 3.3%. And we’re essentially at a full employment economy right now. What happens next? Recession probably in one or two years. Then those wage hikes disappear completely, and people start getting laid off, and goodbye to inflation of all kinds since 60% or 70% of the inflation calculation is wage cost.

Q: What is a good age to retire?

A: Never. I can’t tell you how many friends I’ve had who retire and die within a year. I had one friend retire and he died the next day. What you could do is keep your old job and cut your hours by half, or you could retire from your old job to go on to a new job that you love, like opening a restaurant or a job built around your lifetime hobby, whatever that is. As long as you stay engaged, you keep Alzheimer’s at bay and you’re an active contributing person to society. As soon as you stop doing that and just start doing something like golf, your days are numbered.

Q: What factors will create a recession in 2022?

A: Well I don't think that's going to happen; that would be like multiple 1% rate rises by the Fed, and the Fed completely panicking like we said, and causing a premature recession. But I do think that by 2024 rates will be so high that we will get a recession, probably a short one, maybe 6 months. A lot also depends on the war and if Europe can replace their Russian gas/oil fast enough or they go into an oil shock and recession there.

Q: Will the Fed destroy the economy in order to save it?

A: Yes, they will, if we get inflation up into the teens, which we saw in the 1980s, they absolutely will raise rates. And then I think the 10-year made it to 12% in the early 80s when Volcker was around, and the overnight rate got to 18%. And I know that because I bought a coop in New York City with a mortgage rate of 18%. I took out one of the first floating rate mortgages and by the time I sold the house, the mortgage rate had dropped down to 11% and the value of the home had doubled.

Q: Google (GOOG), Adobe (ADBE), and Apple (AAPL) spreads are treading water.

A: That is a sign that these are the stocks that will lead the next recovery. So, only 20% down, top to bottom, in Apple while all other stocks were getting hammered for 40% or more means Apple is going to lead any recovery in the market. Watch these big tech stocks carefully—they are the new leaders, they just don’t know it yet.

Q: What will inflation do to the housing market? Should I sell or hold my investment properties?

A: Keep them. Housing is one of the biggest beneficiaries of inflation. Not only do the house prices go up, so does everything that goes into the house, like the copper, steel, lumber, kitchen appliances, etc. You really have the best play on inflation, and I don’t think interest rates will kill the housing market. I think all that will happen is people will move from 30-year fixed to 5-year adjustables, as they have done in previous high interest rate cycles.

Q: Where is the buy territory on the Mad Hedge Market Timing Index?

A: Below 20. It’s almost impossible to lose money when you buy at a market timing index of 20. You may get a day or two visit down into the teens, but if you hang on, that’ll become a big moneymaker for you. That’s been working for me for 50 years—it should work for you too.

Q: Do the chips and transports breaking down worry you about the general market?

A: No, I think they’re discounting a recession that isn’t going to happen. Remember half of all the recessions discounted in the market don’t actually happen, and I think that these are one of those non-recessionary selloffs. But it may take them a couple of months to figure out that this bull market still has a couple of years of life to it and that it’s too early to sell. By the way, once people realize that they discounted the recession too early, what are they going to pour back into the fastest? The semiconductor stocks. That's why I’ve got a laser focus on NVIDIA (NVDA).

Q: If there is no recession coming, are the retailers getting too oversold?

A: Yes, but in the world that’s out there, where you really only want to own two or three of the best sectors and avoid the other 97, retailers are the ones you want to avoid—unless there's some specific single company story that you know about.

Q: Housing prices can’t fall when there's such enormous demand coming from millennials, right?

A: That’s true. In fact, the number of houses that need to be built to meet this demand is anywhere from one to five million, so this is a shortfall that will take at least a decade to address, and house prices don’t fall in that situation. They may appreciate at a slower rate, but they will appreciate, nonetheless.

Q: Is there any level where you would consider a call spread in the TLT?

A: Well, I had the April $127-$130 vertical bull call spread and I had my head handed to me. So somewhere, but clearly not yet—again, it depends a lot on what the Fed does and how fast.

Q: What’s the outlook for the Euro (FXE), (NVDA)?

A: Lower. Until the Ukraine War ends, they get an economic recovery, and they wean themselves off of Russian energy and move over to American energy. And that's at least a year down the road, so I’m not rushing into any European investment—stocks, bonds, or currencies.

Q: Are rising interest rates good for banks?

A: Yes, but right now those benefits are being offset by recession fears which will probably go away in a couple of months. So that kind of makes banks a strong buy right here.

Q: When the Shanghai lockdown ends, will it create another surge in commodity prices?

A: Absolutely, yes. China is the world's largest consumer of commodities, and the restoration of any of their purchasing power will certainly be great for all commodity prices—food, energy, metals, you name it.

Q: Is Tesla (TSLA) a LEAPS candidate?

A: Yes but wait for it to take a run at the $700 low that we saw last month. We probably won’t get there, but $800 this time around is probably a great LEAPS candidate for Tesla going forward. I expect them to meet all of their goals for production this year.

Q: Won’t Bitcoin ($BTCUSD) keep falling if equity markets are lower?

A: Yes, but we don’t have that much lower to go in equity markets—maybe 10%. So just as we’re looking to buy equities and the smaller technology stocks on dips, we're also looking to buy Bitcoin on dips. If we can get back into the $30,000 handle, that might be a ripe buy territory for all the cryptocurrency plays.

To watch a replay of this webinar with all the charts, bells, whistles, and classic rock music, just log in to www.madhedgefundtrader.com, go to MY ACCOUNT, click on GLOBAL TRADING DISPATCH, then WEBINARS, and all the webinars from the last 12 years are there in all their glory.

Good Luck and Stay Healthy.

John Thomas
CEO & Publisher
The Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader

 

 

 

 

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/stovepipe-wells-e1649434074725.png 391 450 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-08 12:01:062022-04-08 13:01:01April 6 Biweekly Strategy Webinar Q&A
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 1, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
April 1, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE CREATIVE CLOUD IS OVERSOLD)
(ADBE), (AAPL), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-01 16:04:592022-04-04 10:38:48April 1, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Creative Cloud is Oversold

Tech Letter

Creative software giant Adobe (ADBE) has ironclad support at $440 on a technical basis and I am willing to go on a 13-day excursion with the underlying stock.

That being said, the macroeconomic picture leaves a lot to be desired and one could literally say that 100 times.

Many of the risks have yet to be unlocked if one rolls through the list of them like hyperinflation, spiking energy costs, the military conflict, rising rates, poor global government, and the list really could be added to for infinity at this point.

No need to beat a dead horse.

However, this breathtaking relief rally has turned into something that is probably more than just a relief rally and has told us investors one thing.

There is still way too much liquidity in the system and it’s still sloshing around.

And although I missed the bottom of the relief rally, I seek to benefit off the next stage of it with ADBE and GOOGL which are two highly sought-after tech stocks with a proven track record and whose technical picture looks positive in the short-term.

The cheat sheet for this exam is Apple (AAPL) whose bounce from $150 to $180 really summed up what’s going on in the tech ecosystem.

The best of breed is harvesting the bulk of the gains, and instead of fighting it from the other side, I’ll just traverse on the side of Apple and ride it up with them.

The dip-buying has been almost violent in this rally and although I do believe there will be some reduction in the pace of the up moves, it’s almost impossible to go completely bearish against tech right now.

Another key insight into recent stock movement is that the nominal size of the stock market at this point is so gigantic in terms of market cap that the leverage inside of it is causing volatility to go nuts.

I don’t think this will resolve itself in the near future and this sets the stage for some series of epic up moves moving forward to the second half of the year as a large swath of negativity has been priced into the news.

Tech could go back to its overshooting the rest of the market narrative and names like ADBE and GOOGL will perform splendidly with this type of boost.

Let’s get into the weeds and explain why I really do like ADBE as a standalone company?

The massive slide over the past few months was nothing structural. ADBE posted market-beating earnings for the first quarter, growing cloud revenue, one of the biggest markets in the tech world, to more than $2 billion. The firm has also been steadily shot up the digital subscription revenue ladder.

Yes, their product lines are slowing but they are at the cutting edge of digital innovation which with its terrific brand has great pricing power.

ADBE has transformed itself into a software behemoth, more than tripling its revenue since 2010. The company is famous for its namesake PDF-reader and photo-editing software Photoshop.

However, ADBE’s bread and butter is a full suite of software products monetized through a recurring subscription model.

ADBE transitioned from selling boxed software to recurring subscriptions in 2013 and revenues have gone parabolic since.

Readers must be practical at this point and not focus attention on the low end of tech.

Tightening conditions in the capital markets mean that there will be less resources to throw at the poor-quality tech names.

Practicality should be the foot forward with readers piling into the best of tech like APPL, AMZN, GOOGL, ADBE, and MSFT.

Don’t get too cute here.

Traders never go bankrupt from taking a profit.

 

adbe

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-04-01 16:02:522022-04-12 15:34:31The Creative Cloud is Oversold
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 21, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 21, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(TRUST THE CLOUD)
(AMZN), (ZS), (CRM), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-21 16:04:252022-03-21 16:45:59March 21, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trust the Cloud

Tech Letter

Dealing with the Cloud works, and for every relevant tech company, this division serves as the pipeline to the CEO position.

If this isn’t the case for a tech company, then there’s something egregiously wrong with them!

Take Andy Jassy, the mastermind behind Amazon’s (AMZN) lucrative cloud computing division and the man who succeeded company founder, Jeff Bezos.

He’s been rewarded this important position based on his performance in the cloud, and he faces a daunting proposition of following Bezos as CEO.  

Bezos incorporated Amazon almost 30 years ago.

Jassy developed a highly profitable and market-leading business, Amazon Web Services, that runs data centers serving a wide range of corporate computing needs.

Cloud 101

If you've been living under a rock the past few years, the cloud phenomenon hasn't passed you by--you still have time to cash in.

You want to hitch your wagon to cloud-based investments in any way, shape, or form.

Amazon leads the cloud industry it created.

It still maintains more than 30% of the cloud market. Microsoft would need to gain a lot of ground to even come close to this jewel of a business.

Amazon relies on AWS to underpin the rest of its businesses and that is why AWS contributes most of Amazon's total operating income.

Total revenue for just the AWS division would operate as a healthy stand-alone tech company if need be.

The future is about the cloud.

These days, the average investor probably hears about the cloud a dozen times a day.

If you work in Silicon Valley, you can quadruple that figure.

So, before we get deep into the weeds with this letter on cloud services, cloud fundamentals, cloud plays, and cloud Trade Alerts, let's get into the basics of what the cloud actually is.

Think of this as a cloud primer.

It's important to understand the cloud, both its strengths and limitations.

Giant companies that have it figured out, such as Salesforce (CRM) and Zscaler (ZS), are some of the fastest-growing companies in the world.

Understand the cloud and you will readily identify its bottlenecks and bulges that can lead to extreme investment opportunities. And that is where I come in.

Cloud storage refers to the online space where you can store data. It resides across multiple remote servers housed inside massive data centers all over the country, some as large as football fields, often in rural areas where land, labor, and electricity are cheap.

They are built using virtualization technology, which means that storage space spans across many different servers and multiple locations. If this sounds crazy, remember that the original Department of Defense packet-switching design was intended to make the system atomic bomb-proof.

As a user, you can access any single server at any one time anywhere in the world. These servers are owned, maintained, and operated by giant third-party companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (GOOGL), which may or may not charge a fee for using them.

The most important features of cloud storage are:

1) It is a service provided by an external provider.

2) All data is stored outside your computer residing inside an in-house network.

3) A simple Internet connection will allow you to access your data at any time from anywhere.

4) Because of all these features, sharing data with others is vastly easier, and you can even work with multiple people online at the same time, making it the perfect, collaborative vehicle for our globalized world.

Once you start using the cloud to store a company's data, the benefits are many.

No Maintenance

Many companies, regardless of their size, prefer to store data inside in-house servers and data centers.

However, these require constant 24-hour-a-day maintenance, so the company has to employ a large in-house IT staff to manage them - a costly proposition.

Thanks to cloud storage, businesses can save costs on maintenance since their servers are now the headache of third-party providers.

Instead, they can focus resources on the core aspects of their business where they can add the most value, without worrying about managing IT staff of prima donnas.

Greater Flexibility

Today's employees want to have a better work/life balance and this goal can be best achieved by letting them working remotely, which effectively happened because of the public health situation. Increasingly, workers are bending their jobs to fit their lifestyles, and that is certainly the case here at Mad Hedge Fund Trader.

How else can I send off a Trade Alert while hanging from the face of a Swiss Alp?

Cloud storage services, such as Google Drive, offer exactly this kind of flexibility for employees.

With data stored online, it's easy for employees to log into a cloud portal, work on the data they need to, and then log off when they're done. This way a single project can be worked on by a global team, the work handed off from time zone to time zone until it's done.

It also makes them work more efficiently, saving money for penny-pinching entrepreneurs.

Better Collaboration and Communication

In today's business environment, it's common practice for employees to collaborate and communicate with co-workers located around the world.

For example, they may have to work on the same client proposal together or provide feedback on training documents. Cloud-based tools from DocuSign, Dropbox, and Google Drive make collaboration and document management a piece of cake.

These products, which all offer free entry-level versions, allow users to access the latest versions of any document so they can stay on top of real-time changes which can help businesses to better manage workflow, regardless of geographical location.

Data Protection

Another important reason to move to the cloud is for better protection of your data, especially in the event of a natural disaster. Hurricane Sandy wreaked havoc on local data centers in New York City, forcing many websites to shut down their operations for days.

And we haven’t talked about the recent ransomware attacks by Eastern Europeans on energy company Colonial Pipeline and meat producer JBS Foods.

The cloud simply routes traffic around problem areas as if, yes, they have just been destroyed by a nuclear attack.

It's best to move data to the cloud, to avoid such disruptions because there your data will be stored in multiple locations.

This redundancy makes it so that even if one area is affected, your operations don't have to capitulate, and data remains accessible no matter what happens. It's a system called deduplication.

Lower Overhead

The cloud can save businesses a lot of money.

By outsourcing data storage to cloud providers, businesses save on capital and maintenance costs, money that in turn can be used to expand the business. Setting up an in-house data center requires tens of thousands of dollars in investment, and that's not to mention the maintenance costs it carries.

Plus, considering the security, reduced lag, up-time and controlled environments that providers such as Amazon's AWS have, creating an in-house data center seems about as contemporary as a buggy whip, a corset, or a Model T.

The cloud is where you want to be.

 

cloud data

 

cloud data

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/no-coders.png 504 922 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-21 16:02:312022-03-30 19:04:30Trust the Cloud
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 11, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 11, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(AMAZON MEANS BUSINESS)
(AMZN), (AAPL), (TSLA), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-11 16:04:392022-03-11 16:17:57March 11, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Amazon Means Business

Tech Letter

The blockbuster announcement from Amazon (AMZN) regarding their 20:1 stock split is a big deal, and don’t listen to the charlatans who say otherwise.

Sure, on paper, the business model will be thriving just like it has been since its inception, but this piece of financial manipulation is genius.

Just think about it.

The reason for Amazon to need a stock split in the first place is because the stock has gone from the bottom left to the top right over time.

The best and most successful companies frequently execute stock splits and so even if one wants to spin it as a problem, it’s a problem that I wouldn’t mind having myself.

Splits are often a bullish sign since valuations get so high that the stock may be out of reach for smaller investors trying to stay diversified. Investors who own a stock that splits may not make a lot of money immediately, but they shouldn't sell the stock since the split is likely a positive sign.

Nominally cheap stocks have a massive psychological effect on the average investor.

I also don’t buy the BS about fractional shares, it’s like owning half a car.

Nobody wants that.

Investors also clamor for round numbers.

Would you rather own 5 shares of AMZN or 100 after the stock split?

Human psychology can’t be discounted here and, true to form, stock splits have been the precursor to even higher share prices.

Many companies decide to rinse and repeat and AMZN also unearthed a tidy $10 billion stock buyback plan.

So it’s no shock that this will be Amazon's 4th stock split in its history. The last split came in September 1999.

If shareholders approve of the split, it will begin trading on the new basis on June 6.

Big tech behemoths made hay when the sun was shining during the pandemic, and now they want to make it easy for the simple investors to get back into shares.

Bravo to them.

Other companies of its ilk have also partaken in stock splits like Tesla and Alphabet.

So this isn’t out of left field.

It just so happens that at the time of the stock split announcement, big tech has been the most oversold in the past 5 years.

Apple (AAPL) split its stock 4-for-1 in 2020s. Tesla's (TSLA) 5-for-1 stock split also occurred in 2020. Alphabet's (GOOGL) 20-for-1 stock split was announced in February.

Granted, at a fundamental level, things won’t be different at Amazon.

This doesn’t change the innards of the machine that was built for financial engineering from share buybacks to stock splits and the timing of it is also an important lever as every company tries to max out its genetic makeup.

Amazon shares are down about 9% in the past year, but I would attribute that more to too fast too soon.

Then we were hit by the onslaught of higher interest rate expectations and then the Ukrainian war.

Let’s be honest, the first 3 months of this year have been an absolute blood bath for equities, and AMZN doesn’t trade in a vacuum.

The extra kick in the teeth was the supply chain problem for the ecommerce juggernaut.

AMZN will come back as market sentiment starts to heal itself.

War won’t be a ubiquitous event around the Western world and I view the military escalation as an anomaly.

It’s not like AMZN is operating in Russia as well, or China for that matter.

It’s true that the events of the last few weeks have shined a spotlight on non-Democratic countries as a poor environment for business and in absolute disregard of the rule of law.

AMZN needs to operate in places where the law has teeth, otherwise, delivery packages would get stolen half the time with no recourse.

I feel the timing of the stock split is also indicative of a near short-term bottom in tech stocks.

 

amazon stock split

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-11 16:02:352022-03-25 19:25:29Amazon Means Business
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 3, 2022

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
March 3, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

CHEATING DEATH: ARE WE GETTING CLOSER TO IMMORTALITY?)
(AMZN), (FB), (GSK), (RHHBY), (GOOGL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-03 16:02:192022-03-03 17:14:26March 3, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Cheating Death: Are We Getting Closer to Immortality?

Biotech Letter

“Staving off death is a thing that you have to work at…If living things don’t actively work to prevent it, they would eventually merge with their surroundings and cease to exist as autonomous beings. That is what happens when they die.”

This is a quote from Richard Dawkins, which Jeff Bezos wrote to Amazon (AMZN) shareholders in his farewell letter. Needless to say, death and decay seem to be at the forefront of his mind these days.

That’s why it comes as no surprise that the founder of Blue Origin and, of course, Amazon (as well as Elon Musk’s favorite punching bag) has launched a company comprising renowned scientists and globally respected executives to realize his dream of developing immortality technology.

The company, called Altos Labs, is basically an anti-aging venture. While many people would probably mock the idea, this seemingly impossible wild concept has notable names backing it.

Bezos is not the only investor putting his money on this project.

Russian billionaire Yuri Milner, whose wealth expanded thanks to his strategic funding of Facebook (FB), along with Russian email service Mail.ru (MLRYY) and Russian social networking site VK, is also part of the mission.

In fact, the company was officially conceived in Yuri’s house in Palo Alto in the Los Altos hills, leading to the name Altos Labs. (Given that “Los Altos” means “the heights” in Spanish, they probably used it as a double entendre for Altos Labs’ goals.)

In addition to Yuri and Bezos, there are several other backers of Altos Labs.

While they aren’t specifically named, the mere fact that the startup has generated the most funding of virtually any biotechnology business at $3 billion is quite telling of how much faith investors have on this project.

And they wouldn’t be wrong.

Its remarkable roster of executives includes experts from GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Roche’s (RHHBY) Genentech, and the National Cancer Institute.

Altos Labs not only has wealthy backers and esteemed executives on its board, it also has Nobel Prize-winning scientists working on its goals.

The highest-profile scientist they have is Shinya Yamanaka, who received the Nobel Prize in 2012 for his stem cell research.

His work, which focuses on cell “reprogramming,” can reverse the development of cells towards that of stem cells. In a nutshell, Yamanaka is working on a “backward aging” technology.

Part of the board is Juan Carlos Izpisúa Belmonte, who specializes in developing techniques to switch cells from one type to another.

He gained notoriety when he experimented on creating hybridized human and monkey embryos using Yamanaka’s technology.

Another member of Altos’ board is Jennifer Doudna, who shared the 2015 Breakthrough Prize with Yamanaka and later won the 2020 Nobel Prize for her co-discovery of CRISPR genome editing.

Although it’s a startup, the company will have offices in the San Francisco Bay Area, San Diego, Cambridge in the UK, and even Japan.

However, Altos Labs insists that it’s not chasing some impossible vision worthy of sci-fi movies.

Admittedly, most of the details about the project are still under wraps. But insiders say that Bezos and his crew seek to become the “Bell Labs” of biology.

The oversimplified explanation of its goal is that Altos Labs plans to reverse diseases, effectively regenerating new cells to help the body perform optimally.

Basically, they seek to come up with a biological reprogramming technology that can rejuvenate the cells and eventually revitalize human beings.

They target cells under pressure, including those with genetic abnormalities, suffering from injuries, or aging.

Using their reprogramming technology, they aim to create medications that can deliver one-time treatments for these conditions. Ultimately, these efforts will lead to a prolonged human life.

Further clarifying their mission, Altos explained that their goal is to extend “health span” and that boosting any longevity initiative would simply be considered an “accidental consequence.”

Inasmuch as Alto Labs is an exciting venture, it isn’t the first in the field. This startup joins the ranks of Calico Labs, which was launched in 2013 and funded by one of Google’s (GOOGL) co-founders, Larry Page.

Other startups working on reprogramming technology are Life Biosciences, Turn Biotechnologies, AgeX Therapeutics, and Shift Bioscience.

The quest to defeat death is a mission as old as time.

In response to this challenge, Alto Labs has put together an impressively pedigreed bunch.

Moreover, a solid and established connection is seen between aging clocks and reprogramming technology—all of which Alto Labs already have access to due to its roster of executives and scientists.

While the technology feels so farfetched, industry experts believe it holds indisputable and repeatable results.

These were already seen in laboratory experiments. However, these have only succeeded so far when applied to individual cells.

The technology can gather a cell from an 80-year-old and, via in vitro, reverse this age by as much as 40 years.

If this succeeds, Altos is poised to lead and dominate the “immortality” industry — a sector projected to be worth $600 billion by 2025 — soon.

alto labs

 

alto labs

 

 

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