• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu

Tag Archive for: (MSFT)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Don't Count Out The Tech Sector

Tech Letter

It’s no surprise that the technology industry led other sectors to the number of job cuts in 2022.

It found more than 150,000 tech workers received pink slips in the year, a 900% increase from 2021.

In 2023, tech layoffs continue throughout various firms, and let’s go through some of the prominent ones.

Microsoft (MSFT) announced cuts to 10,000 workers, representing approximately 5% of the company's workforce.

Amazon (AMZN) announced 18,000 layoffs across many of the company's business areas, including Amazon Web Services, its healthcare businesses, the robotics unit, and many others.

Google announced 12,000 job cuts in January.

Tech hiring took off during the pandemic as the societal shift toward digital services meant technology firms needed to iterate and boost efficiency.

Many companies became too bold in hiring and in some cases, didn’t have enough work for the new workers.

Growth cratered as the pandemic eased, interest rates rose, and inflation cut into personal spending and increased many business expenses. Tech companies also need capital to invest in artificial intelligence (AI) or other innovations, and reducing staffing is one way to generate cash.

Amid these private company layoffs are reports of current and recently laid off employees dumping private shares, as they need capital in the face of falling valuations.

Another driver for private share selling is the low number of initial public offerings (IPOs), which reached the lowest point in 20 years in 2022.

The lack of potential windfalls from an IPO pushed more employees to sell some of their private shares, which then drops their companies' valuations. Lower valuations impact a company's ability to raise additional capital and strain the available venture capital funds.

The broad-based decimation of high-paying Silicon Valley jobs might be the trigger that plants the seeds for the new era of technology.

One of many unintended consequences of the “great resignation” of 2022 that bled into 2023 is that it refuels the pool of talent across the tech sector.

Many of these workers will find employment with other tech firms for a lot higher pay, but others will take the opportunity to launch their own startups.

A survey of 1,000 laid-off tech workers found 63% of the respondents started their own company after their layoff. And tech workers reported they made more money after starting a company.

Obviously, the new talent won’t be able to produce innovative products right away because of the lag involved.

However, put that many great minds in one room, something genius is bound to sprout up.

And I’m not talking about something marginal like buy now, pay later which is just another variation of a payment service.

I do believe we are on the cusp of another technological renaissance that could boost tech revenues 10-fold.

The pandemic reinforced the trend that many of the Silicon Valley headliners were burnt out. Many took the chance to move to Texas or the beaches in Florida.

I do believe that the next innovative wave is on the way and this time it won’t come from California because so much of the talent left.

In the short-term, these big job cuts from established tech royalty will contribute to higher stock prices but it will send the fired on a mission to reimagine themselves in the form of generation-changing innovation and productivity.

Generative A.I. is just one example of that.

Until then, expect big tech shares to grind up. I hear how bearish everyone is, but point me to someone that is actually selling.

Take for instance the supposed activist genius Carl Icahn, who recently reported of gargantuan multi-billion dollar losses over the past few years because he bet on a tech crash.

As long as there are investors, expect tech shares ($COMPQ) to march higher.

 

tech sector

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-19 15:02:552023-05-30 01:16:44Don't Count Out The Tech Sector
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 12, 2023

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
May 12, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(GOOGLE ENTERS THE A.I. GAME)
(GOOGL), (UBER), (MSFT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-12 16:04:132023-05-12 18:28:05May 12, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Google Enters the A.I. Game

Tech Letter

Google rolling out a catalog of artificial intelligence products delivered a nice boost to its share price.

I was expecting this at some point and after getting caught off guard by the strategic moves that Microsoft (MSFT) made, I am not surprised they rolled this out so quickly.

Alphabet, the parent company of Google, was up over 4% yesterday.

This is just the beginning of the A.I. revolution and CEO Sundar Pichai has figured out how to keep GOOGL’s share price going up.

All you need to do is keep saying “A.I.” and investors will back up the truck to load as much stock as possible.

This tactic has worked awfully well because if you strip out the stock gains related to A.I. in 2023, the Nasdaq would most likely be down this year.

Tech being as it is, only a handful of companies are able to take advantage of this structural change in the sector.

Personally, I am not so sold on OpenAI’s ChatGPT.

Of course, I can change my mind, but it hasn’t impressed me yet.

I asked a few test questions myself and one of the answers to my question about making a fortune quickly was disappointing.

ChatGPT told me I should become an Uber driver, rent out a single room in my house, and complete online surveys. It then rounded out the answer by telling me to sell my old stuff on eBay.

These are answers that I doubt many would consider ways to make fortunes.

I can see how replacing clerical white-collar jobs could be applicable with this technology, and that means a lot of jobs.

However, the jobs that require using data to make forecasts are not replaceable by A.I. simply because back-tested data can’t just be regurgitated for the future.

Some of the recent hype is nothing more than marketing chutzpah which Silicon Valley is good at.  

But I do still think Google is going in the right direction and investors will coalesce around this A.I. love fest without even doing due diligence if the tech works well or not.

Google is attempting to reclaim its crown as the leader in artificial intelligence with PaLM 2, a “next-generation language model” that the company says outperforms other leading systems on some tasks.

Revealing the cutting-edge AI at its annual I/O conference, alongside a foldable Pixel phone and a new tablet, Google said it would be built in to 25 new products and features, as the company moved ahead of competitors after years of producing AI research but few products.

The most obvious way to interact with PaLM 2 will be in Google’s own chatbot, Bard, which is opening up to the general public for the first time and rolling out globally.

Utilizing PaLM 2’s multilingual capabilities, Bard is also available in Japanese and Korean, as well as English, and the company intends to support 40 languages in time.

The key question is Google able to follow through to carry the stock through a recession?

The A.I. pivot won’t get Google through alone because there is no meaningful revenue coming from A.I. yet.

I would most likely believe that Google shares will consolidate if a recession comes to pass at the end of 2023.

The job market at 3.4% has continued to be resilient and big tech has become more efficient by firing all the fake jobs with high salaries.

Even on a strongly red day, Google has still held the day mostly in the green showing readers how effective spinning the A.I. story can be. That should continue until the next big disruptor.

Buy GOOGL on the dip.

 

google a.i.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-12 16:02:112023-05-31 18:29:07Google Enters the A.I. Game
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 26, 2023

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
April 26, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE FORTRESS)
(GOOGL), (MSFT), (NVDA), (META), (TSLA), (AAPL), (AMZN)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-04-26 16:04:172023-04-28 13:42:04April 26, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Fortress

Tech Letter

This is a seven-stock tech market and there is no point to getting exotic and buying something aside from these 7.

That is what the price action is telling us.

Four of the seven are no other than tech overlords Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon, (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Meta Platforms (META). These four Big Tech stocks alone account for 41% of the S&P 500's 2023 gain.

The other three are Apple (AAPL), which reports next week, Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA) stock.

These seven account for 86% of the S&P 500's 2023 gain.

These seven Big Tech stocks have essentially made the market this year and everybody else is dragging behind kicking and screaming.

Part of the great performance has to do with the market's oversold nature in 2022.

Rarely does a market operate at the extremes for so long.

These seven have done more than bounce back.

The January Effect is a seasonal increase in stock prices throughout the month of January. The increase in demand for stocks in January is often preceded by a decrease in prices during the month of December, in part due to tax-loss harvesting.

Second, many of these tech companies have been aggressively cutting costs.

I would even say again that Facebook cutting 25% of staff since 2022 is not enough.

Get rid of 80% like Twitter did.

Even more important, the world's most advanced AI models are coming together with the world's most universal user interface - natural language - to create a new era of computing.

Microsoft helped kick off Big Tech's AI obsession with its multi-year, multi-billion dollar investment in ChatGPT developer OpenAI.

MSFT has since implemented versions of OpenAI's technology in its Edge browser, Bing search engine, Microsoft 365 productivity software, and cybersecurity offerings.

Microsoft leading the AI means that rival Alphabet's Google (GOOGL) is playing catch up. Amazon (AMZN), meanwhile, is working to bring generative AI to its services, while Facebook parent Meta (META) is piecing together teams to kick-start its own efforts.

And while Microsoft’s stock has seemingly benefited from both the AI hype and overall market rebound after a rough 2022, the company's main growth driver continues to be its cloud computing efforts in its Azure unit.

But that growth has drastically cratered over the last year. In Q3 2022, Microsoft reported Azure growth of 46% year-over-year. But that's since fallen each quarter, landing at 27% in Q3 2023.

Part of the reason for this decline was large customers pulling back on spending as higher interest rates challenged global growth. Microsoft is also contending with scarce PC sales, as demand from consumers and business customers falls from pandemic-era highs.

It’s easy to say that tech has fared quite well this year.

However, peel back the layers and the lack of participation in this tech rally is highly worrisome.

In a winner take all economy, we have never been reliant on a small group of stocks to save us from collapse.

Interest rates as high as they mean that without a strong balance sheet, it is tough sledding out there for the growth companies.

In the short term, I fully expect tech companies with poor fundamentals to struggle and show minimal price appreciation as recession risks pile up.

These 7 should be a fortress for investors looking to protect their wealth.

 

big tech stocks

 

big tech stocks

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-04-26 16:02:142023-05-02 00:40:32The Fortress
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 21, 2023

Tech Letter

My ad Hedge Technology Letter
April 21, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE CATCH-UP PLAN)
(GOOGL), (MSFT), (CHATGPT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-04-21 17:04:042023-04-24 10:44:59April 21, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Catch-Up Plan

Tech Letter

The tech industry is quickly morphing into a "generative artificial intelligence success story or bust" outcome for many involved.

This came pretty much out of nowhere.

December 2022 was the big announcement that ChatGPT went live and everybody in tech has basically been freaking out since then.

Big ideas like the internet and software also had the same type of effect on tech stocks back in the heyday.

What would have Microsoft (MSFT) been without the computer or Windows?

Even more urgent, once-perceived growth tech companies like Tesla are starting to cut prices of products because the consumer is tapped out these days.

That means tech corporations can’t sell the current product by adding incremental iterations and passing it off as something “groundbreaking.”

Consumers need something more.

Consumers will spend on the next big thing and generative artificial intelligence still has a long way to go, but stocks participating in generative AI are starting to get those premium multiples that were only reserved for tech royalty.

Everyone is hoping to get in on the action, and Alphabet is also racing to build a new search engine and add artificial intelligence features to its existing products in the face of rapid growth in the field by rivals such as Microsoft Bing.

Google is testing new features called "Magi," with more than 160 people working full-time on the project.

Google's new products will try to predict users' needs, with features such as helping users write software code and display ads in search results, and Google is also exploring mapping technology that allows users to use Google Earth with the help of AI and search music through conversations with chatbots.

Samsung Electronics is reportedly considering replacing Google with Bing, the main search engine on its phones, because of Bing's artificial intelligence capabilities. The Samsung contract is expected to generate $3 billion in annual revenue for Google, a revenue stream that is now in jeopardy. In addition, Google has a $20 billion contract with Apple for a similar default search engine, which is up for renewal this year.

Google’s search engine could be swept into the dustbin of history if they don’t get a move on it pronto.

The ecosystems like Apple and Samsung can easily opt for a better engine if Google falls behind and that is exactly what we are seeing from Samsung.

I would probably say that Google got a little too cocky and stopped developing itself.

They thought that nobody could topple them.

The panoramic views from the ivory tower can look nice from the terrace for a while until somebody builds a bigger ivory tower that obstructs the view.  

It’s been quite fascinating to see Google’s sense of urgency lately because it was always assumed they were part of a stable duopoly with Facebook.

Google’s panic indicates that Microsoft’s Bing is a real threat to their revenue stream, and at the very minimum, bits and pieces of the new technology will be incorporated into a new version of a search engine that will behave as a supercharged version of Google, the likes we have never seen before.

If Google can catch up, then its stock price will go a lot higher from here.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-04-21 17:02:592023-05-02 00:27:29The Catch-Up Plan
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - April 21, 2023

Tech Letter

"Life is not fair; get used to it," said the Founder of Microsoft Bill Gates.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/jensen-huang.png 546 550 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-04-21 17:00:552023-04-24 10:45:43Quote of the Day - April 21, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 21, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
April 21, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THURSDAY, MAY 18, 2023 TAMPA, FLORIDA STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(SOME BASIC TRICKS FOR TRADING OPTIONS)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-04-21 10:06:082023-04-21 13:46:46April 21, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 20, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
April 20, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(HAS AI REPLACED THE BLOCKCHAIN CRAZE?)
(TSLA), (META), (GOOGL), (MSFT), (NVDA), (BBAI), (BZFD), (AI), (RTX), (BKR), (LPSN)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-04-20 11:04:212023-04-20 14:20:32April 20, 2023
Page 18 of 77«‹1617181920›»

tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Mad Hedge Fund Trader (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastytrade nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastytrade does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website. Marketing Agent is independent and is not an affiliate of tastytrade. 

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2025. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
Scroll to top