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Tag Archive for: (TWTR)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Splinternet Goes From Bad to Worse in 2021

Tech Letter

The balkanization of the internet is exploding in the short-term, knocking off the aggregated value of U.S. Fortune 500 companies in one fell swoop.

In technology terms, this is frequently referred to as “splinternet.”

A quick explanation for the novices can be summed up by saying the splinternet is the fragmenting of the Internet, causing it to divide due to powerful forces such as technology, commerce, politics, nationalism, religion, and interests.

What investors are seeing now is a hard fork of the global tech game into a multi-pronged world of conflicting tech assets sparring for their own digital territory.

The epicenter of balkanization is the division between China and the U.S. tech economy with India as the wild card.

This is fast becoming a winner-take-all affair.

Silicon Valley is winning in India due to border conflicts along the Himalayan Corridor.

India took count of 20 dead Indian soldiers felled by the Chinese Army stoking a wave of national outcry against regional rival China.

The backlash was swift with the Indian government banning 59 premium apps developed by China citing “national security and defense.”

The ban included the short-form video platform TikTok, which counts India as its biggest overseas market.

TikTok was projected to easily breeze past 500 million Indian users by the end of 2021 and was clearly hardest hit out of all the apps.

India is the second biggest base of global internet users with nearly half of its 1.3 billion population online.

The government rolled out the typical national security playbook saying that the stockpiling of local Indian data in Chinese servers undermines national security.

China’s inroads in the Indian tech market are set to wane with recent rulings already impacting roughly one in three smartphone users in India. TikTok, Club Factory, and UC Browser among other apps in aggregate tally more than 500 million monthly active users in May 2020.

Highlighting the magnitude of this purge - 27 of these 59 apps were among the top 1,000 Android apps in India.

China dove headfirst into the Indian market with their smartphones, apps, and an array of hardware equipment. Now, that is all on hold and looks like a terrible mistake.

Chinese smartphone makers command more than 80% of the smartphone market in India, which is the world’s second largest.

One of the reasons Apple (AAPL) could never make any headway in China is because they were constantly undercut by predatory Chinese phone makers with stolen technology.

It’s also not smooth saying for domestic Chinese tech as Chinese Chairman Xi reign in the private sector with Alibaba’s founder Jack Ma’s whereabouts unknown as we start the new year.

This is happening on the heels of the Chinese Communist Party thwarting the Alipay IPO in Shenzhen which was posed to become the biggest IPO ever.

TikTok is also being eyed-up for bans in Europe and the United States recently as it constantly curries to Beijing’s every whim by banning content unfavorable to the Chinese communist party and rerouting data back to servers in China.

Chinese tech is clearly the main loser for their government’s “distract its own people at all costs” campaign to shield themselves from the epic contagion of the lingering pandemic.

What does this mean for American tech?

For one, India is strengthening ties with the U.S., being the biggest democracy in Asia, and will be a massive foreign policy loss and loss of face for the Chinese communist regime.

The resulting losses for Chinese tech will usher in a new generation of local Indian tech with Silicon Valley mopping up the leftovers.

Even though the U.S. avoided the carnage from this round of balkanization, the situation in Europe is tenuous, to say the least.

Fault lines will compound the problem of a multinational tech revenue machine and the relationship with France is on the verge of becoming fractious.

The relationship is worsening with the Europeans by a trade deal consummated between the EU and China along with Western European powers such as France, Germany, and Britain looking to add to their tax coffers by taxing big tech companies like Facebook (FB), Twitter (TWTR), Google (GOOGL) in 2021.

This would be a massive blow to not only revenue streams but also global prestige for American tech.

Not only do Silicon Valley leaders see a murky future outside its borders, but digital territories are also getting carved out as we speak domestically.

Amazon (AMZN)-owned Twitch and Twitter have clamped down on U.S. President Donald Trump’s account.

This could quickly spiral into a left-versus-right war in which there are competing apps for different political beliefs and for every subgenre of apps.

This would effectively mean a balkanization of tech assets within U.S. borders and division in 2021 is set to extend itself.

Silicon Valley wants products sold to the largest addressable market possible and that simply won’t happen in 2021.

The balkanization of the internet is now turning into an equally high risk as the antitrust and regulatory issues.

The issues keep piling up, but nothing has been able to topple big tech yet as they lead the broader market out of the pandemic.

Silicon Valley is still subsidized by ultra-low interest rates and quantitative easing by the Fed. If this changes, look for tech to roll over.

Let’s hope that never happens.  

balkanization

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/US-China.png 396 708 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-01-04 12:02:342021-01-09 23:57:46Splinternet Goes From Bad to Worse in 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 23, 2020

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 23, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(HOW SILICON VALLEY STAYS AHEAD)
(MSFT), (ORCL), (FB), (SNAP), (QCOM), (TWTR)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-12-23 13:04:332020-12-23 13:22:02December 23, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

How Silicon Valley Stays Ahead

Tech Letter

Northern Californian tech companies stopped innovating because of the monopolistic nature of their current business models.

They keep one principle close to their vest – to crush anything that remotely resembles competition.

This has been going on in Silicon Valley for years and the government still hasn’t taken their finger out to do much about it.

The end result is an ever-growing impoverished U.S. middle class and bleak prospects for their children.

Why does the U.S. government largely sit on the sidelines and turn a blind eye?

If I deploy the concept of Occam's razor to this situation, a philosophical rule that entities should not be multiplied unnecessarily which is interpreted as requiring that the simplest of competing theories be preferred, my bet is that most of U.S. Congress own stock portfolios and these portfolios are spearheaded by the likes of Apple (AAPL), Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOGL), Netflix (NFLX), and of course Tesla (TSLA).

This has come into the open frequently with members of Congress even front-running the March sell-off with their own portfolios like U.S. senator Kelly Loeffler from Georgia selling $20 million in stock after attending special intelligence briefings in the weeks building up to the coronavirus pandemic.

It’s a direct conflict of interest, but that's not surprising for politics in 2020, is it?

It’s also why Congress hasn’t acted on Silicon Valley’s excessive abuse of power.

The government likes to jawbone to the public saying they will make competition a level playing field, but actions show they are doing the opposite.

The Silicon Valley oligarchs are whispering in the ear of Congress and they listen.

Well, what now?

Fast forward to the future – and it was only in mid-September, TikTok — the Chinese-owned, video-sharing phenomenon — was being forced to sell its U.S. operations.

The situation is still pending, and TikTok has asked for extensions hoping to arrive at the next administration.

Given the app’s 100 million U.S. users, this forced divestment by President Trump triggered a delirious auction pitting tech giants Microsoft (MSFT), Oracle (ORCL), and Twitter (TWTR) against one another.

The White House and Big Tech are boiling the free for all down to a combined story of national security and opportunistic capitalism amid unfortunate geopolitical tension between the U.S. and China.

But the ultimatum for ByteDance, TikTok’s Chinese Mainland owner, is more accurately understood as a dark window into Silicon Valley’s utter failure to innovate, and a warning signal of its transformation into a mere protector of long-established turf.

If you don’t have it, claim national security threats, and steal it.

Silicon Valley has long adhered to the motto, “Move fast and break things” – but that was long ago when Steve Jobs was busy making the first iPod and iPhone.

That was a time when Silicon Valley headed by luminaries like Jobs was actually innovating.

Tech has now turned mostly into a digital marketing lovefest with cheap shortcuts and big swaths of the internet corrupted.

The truth is Silicon Valley couldn’t be more corporate and monolithic than it is now, and they use the corporate machine to serve the ends they desire for their shareholders to the devastation of the majority of U.S. society.

Big Tech is just in love with buybacks like the rest of corporate America and the only reason they avoid it now is to appear as if they are in tune with public discourse and not tone-deaf.

I believe that once 2021 rolls around, a floor will be set with U.S. tech because they will initiate a new wave of buybacks.

Huawei, another punching bag of the Trump administration’s tech war with China, is just an externality to Silicon Valley’s inability to innovate.

In remarks to reporters in March 2019, Chinese politician Guo Ping said, “The U.S. government has a loser’s attitude. They want to smear Huawei because they can’t compete with us.”

It’s sadly true that the U.S. has fallen so far behind the Chinese in 5G development that they have opted to scratch and claw back their position through geopolitics.  

Huawei not only possesses more 5G-related patents than any other company (some 13,474). It also holds a larger share of standard-essential patents (or SEPs) – about 19% of them to be precise versus 15% for Samsung, 14% for LG, 12% for each of Nokia and Qualcomm, and just 9% for Ericsson.

The writing is on the wall that Silicon Valley is falling behind and that gap is accelerating.

ByteDance produced the hottest new social media platform on a global scale, and Facebook, in typical fashion, responded by brazenly copying TikTok, adding a feature called Reels to Instagram.

Facebook has also tapped the political back channels to encourage the U.S. government to ban TikTok not because it threatens Facebook’s model but because Facebook is concerned about national security.

What a joke. 

Don’t forget that Mark Zuckerberg has been attempting to destroy Snapchat (SNAP) for years after CEO Evan Spiegel refused to sell it to Zuckerberg.

The rest of the tech ecosphere has given a free pass to the anti-trust violations because they don’t want to be the next takeout target.

Make no bones about it, Silicon Valley, aided by the Trump administration, is about to do a smash and grab job on China’s best tech growth asset then do the same thing to Huawei’s 5G apparatus.

This cunning maneuver alone has the knock-on effect of not only extending the tech rally in U.S. public markets but increasing the scarcity value and emboldening the Silicon Valley oligarchs.

The de-facto robbing of Chinese tech in broad daylight is overwhelmingly bullish for the U.S. tech sector and that is why no foreign tech player will be able to compete again in the U.S.

So why innovate? Why deploy capital into research and development when you can just nick a foreign company's crown jewel?

Exactly, so innovation does not happen and will not happen.

We, as consumers, have been thrust into the cluster of ever-degrading smartphone apps that offer less and less utility.  

But ultimately, even if you hate Silicon Valley at a personal level, it is literally impossible to short them, and now they are resorting to adding foreign companies on the cheap, what other passes will government, society, and corporate America give American tech?

In either case, it’s not for me to judge, and as a technology analyst - I am bullish U.S. tech because love it or hate it, revenue is still growing and relative to the rest of the U.S. economy, they are still growth dominators.

However, one must ponder when these actions will come back to bite, if it ever does. Even though integrity has been sacrificed for profits, 2021 is poised to be the most exciting tech year with the sector usurping an even bigger portion of the broader U.S. economy.

 

 

US tech

 

US tech

 

US tech

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-12-23 13:02:192020-12-23 18:57:27How Silicon Valley Stays Ahead
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 23, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
November 23, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(COMMUNICATIONS HAS NEVER BEEN MORE IMPORTANT)
(TWLO), (TWTR), (CRM), (SQ), (AMZN), (OSTK), (W)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-23 11:04:242020-11-23 15:39:37November 23, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Communications Has Never Been More Important

Tech Letter

Growth is not dead as last week’s tech rally shows that tech stocks still have their allure.

One tech growth stock that I am absolutely in-love with is communications-as-a-platform cloud stock Twilio who services Airbnb and Uber as the software that connects the users to their staff.

The ability to communicate with customers in real time has never been more urgent in a fast-paced world, especially in the software-centric economy.

From food delivery to booking hotels, from customer service to password resets, literally anything revolves around the ability to connect reliably and rapidly.

Many people in 2020 still do not even know what Twilio (TWLO) does!

They are the dark horse cloud company that nobody has heard of.

The company provides the software building blocks that lets developers embed Twilio's communication technology in their apps, messaging systems, emails, and more. It also streamlines the process so it can be accomplished in a matter of hours, rather than weeks or months.

Here’s an insanely applicable example: The update you received from Lyft regarding your ride, the text messages and reservation confirmation you got from Airbnb, the customer service interactions with Disney's Hulu, and the booking confirmation from your restaurant via Yelp? These were delivered by Twilio's technology.

In pandemic third quarter, Twilio's revenue climbed 52% year over year, while also avoiding a loss, swinging from a loss in the prior-year quarter.

The company reported 208,000 active customers, up 24% year over year.

There is no mistake that these types of cloud stocks are in the vein of Twitter (TWTR), Salesforce (CRM), Square (SQ), and so on and at the vanguard of the hullabaloo of growth stocks.

Why are growth stocks so popular?

Growth stocks are companies that increase their revenue and earnings faster than average.

A growth company relentlessly develops an innovative product or service or at the top of the pack of fastest-growing industries and unsurprisingly that is technology, and that fact won’t change for generations.

Firms growing faster than average for long periods tend to be rewarded by the market, and this is why there has been a massive migration to growth stocks that has enriched shareholders of Apple (APPL), Facebook (FB), Netflix (NFLX), and so on.

Growth also begets additional growth and the faster they grow, the bigger the returns can be.

They are also more expensive than the average stock in terms of metrics like price-to-earnings, price-to-sales, and price-to-free-cash-flow ratios, but investors look past this in an age of expanding liquidity which is the catalyst that breathes even more momentum into these stocks.

US growth stocks secure a premium just for the possibility they will fulfill their parabolic growth potential.

Capitalizing on powerful long-term trends can grow their sales and profits for many years, and the following are a list of seminal trends that all involve technology data points as the secret sauce.

  • E-commerce: The massive migration to online shopping is here to stay and the coronavirus has acted like a supercharger to e-commerce company like Amazon (AMZN), Overstock (OSTK), and Wayfair (W).
  • Digital advertising: The digital ad market is moving marketing budgets from TV and print to online channels.
  • Digital payments: Contactless payments and fintech (through a smartphone) will eventually replace physical card transactions.
  • Cloud computing: Computing power is migrating from on-premise data centers to cloud-based servers. Amazon’s (AMZN) and Alibaba’s (BABA) cloud infrastructure services help make this possible, while Salesforce.com (CRM) provides some of the best cloud-based software available.
  • Cord-cutting and streaming entertainment: Millions of people are only paying for internet services that offer on-demand content and provide access to premium packages. This trend has been supercharged by the Millennial generation.

These powerful trends will last decades giving you plenty of time to claim your share of the profits they create.

Rank growth companies with strong competitive advantages. Otherwise, their business might fail.

Some competitive advantages are:

  • Network effects: Facebook is a valid example that built its usership by offering other assets like WhatsApp and Instagram to snowball into a 2 billion number usership. The synergies are plentiful with the ability to cross-sell its products across platforms and aggregating data to deploy the intel in the best way it can make money.
  • Scale advantages: Size can be another powerful advantage. Amazon is a great example here, as its massive global fulfillment network is something its smaller rivals will find extremely difficult to replicate.
  • High switching costs: Switching costs are expenses and difficulties involved in switching to a rival product or service. Once a company begins to use e-commerce company Shopify as the core of its online operations, they are unlikely to absorb the burden of switching to another competitor.

Pinpointing large addressable markets means a larger opportunity to secure higher revenue and Twilio is occupying a spot at the intersection of generational, long-term trends and almost unfair competitive advantages.

The underlying shares have rocketed this year as communications has never been more important. This is a great buy and hold stock for the long term because trading short term is difficult with its elevated volatility.

 

growth stocks

 

growth stocks

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-23 11:02:572020-11-25 15:00:19Communications Has Never Been More Important
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

November 11, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
November 11, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE VULTURES AT ELLIOT MANAGEMENT)
(FFIV), (TWTR), (EBAY), (T)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-11 12:04:312020-11-11 12:31:03November 11, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Vultures at Elliott Management

Tech Letter

Elliott Management’s dive into tech can be used as a leading indicator of which tech companies are great fixer-uppers.

Truth be told, Elliott Management, the vulture hedge fund, has a knack for finding those rusted cloud gems and polishing them shiny.

They don’t do this for free either, and making a killing on each of these turnaround stories usually has the same ruthless strategy.

Some of the prey were well-known within particular tech sector niches, like BMC, Novell and Informatica, but none were giants or household names.

Billionaire Paul Singer, notched sale after sale, reaping gains from the associated premiums on the acquisitions.

Most recently, his tech aspirations have increased with the pedigree of the company dwarfing in size he did before with stakes in eBay (EBAY), SAP, and AT&T (T).

This year, Elliott has already feasted on Twitter (TWTR) and SoftBank.

Part of the reason for slaying bigger dragons is because tech has gotten expensive with multiples expanding rapidly, and successfully leveraging usually works by going bigger and not smaller.

How does Elliott influence the change needed to raise the share prices?

First, getting his guys on the board to make decisions for the company.

He does this by getting his most trusted confidante and deal maker Jesse Cohn in the mix and he leads Elliott’s technology transactions.

He now sits on the boards of both eBay and Twitter.

Rather than scorching the earth for public change, he has worked in tandem with management at both companies.

Cohn is also supported by Elliott’s in-house Internet analysts, software analysts, operation analysts, consultants and stable of installed board members to help make decisions.

A decision they were at the forefront of was possibly firing Jack Dorsey at Twitter after identifying him as not maximizing profitability and revenue at Twitter.

Ultimately, Dorsey earned himself another quarter as CEO, but that’s how things work at Elliott, they run a tight ship.

Twitter said in a securities filing that a board committee formed this spring recommended that the current management structure remains in place for the time being.

The announcement gives Mr. Dorsey a reprieve after his performance was heavily criticized by Cohn and Elliott Management.

Twitter and Elliott reached an agreement in March in which the company agreed to appoint two board members and commit to $2 billion in share buybacks.

The agreement also included the formation of the new committee to study Twitter’s leadership, which effectively created a probation period for Mr. Dorsey to prove himself to the new investors.

So, does Elliott’s aggressive strategy work or fail?

The proof is in the pudding with Twitter shares up about 40% since bottoming out in March.

Twitter has expanded its userbase by about 23% since the fourth quarter of 2019.

So what now for Elliott?

Elliott is now one of the biggest investors in F5 Networks (FFIV), a Seattle company with a market value of about $8.8 billion.

They have spoken to the software company’s management about ways to appreciate the underlying shares which has not gone up in the past 365 days.

Shares have seriously underperformed to similar-sized cloud companies.

F5 Networks provides multi-cloud application services for the availability, security, performance, and availability of network applications, servers, and storage systems.

So far, they have announced plans to repurchase $1 billion worth of stock through fiscal 2022.

The buyback plan includes the accelerated repurchase of $500 million worth of stock in fiscal 2021.

The company said it targets double-digit adjusted earnings per share growth over the next two years and revenue growth of 6% to 7%, including software revenue growth CAGR of 35% to 40%.

These moves will help the company arrive at an inflection point in the transformation story where operating margins are poised to expand and revenue will accelerate, leading to sustainable double-digit growth

Elliott has also investigated some dubious decisions by F5’s management such as the company’s recent acquisitions of Shape Security Inc. and Nginx Software Inc., unhappy F5 overpaid without a clear integration strategy.

Elliott’ roadmap typically involves sizeable stakes in tech firms giving them the authority to throw their weight around behind the scenes.

Stock buybacks, acquiring company board seats, reducing expenses, acquisitions, wholesale management changes are part of their recipe for raising the stock price.

I have no reason to believe that Elliott will fail this time around after their string of tech successes and that leads me to recommend F5 Networks as a great buy the dip tech story.

The first stage of the turnaround is usually the most dramatic and noticeable with the follow-through to the flagging share price.

I wouldn’t be shocked if shares are up 25% from current prices in Q1 2021.

 

Elliott

 

Elliott

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-11-11 12:02:282020-11-15 15:46:41The Vultures at Elliott Management
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 26, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
August 26, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE EMPTY PIPELINE OF TECH INNOVATION)
(AAPL), (FB), (AMZN), (GOOGL), (NFLX), (TSLA), (SNAP), (MSFT), (ORCL), (TWTR)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-26 11:04:292020-08-26 12:21:49August 26, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Empty Pipeline of Tech Innovation

Tech Letter

The oligarchical regime of Northern Californian tech companies stopped innovating because they don’t have to.

When you have a monopoly – you have one objective – to crush anything that remotely resembles competition.

That has been happening for years now by the Silicon Valley oligarchs and the government still hasn’t taken their finger out to do much about it.

Honestly, my bet is that most of U.S. Congress own stock portfolios and these portfolios are spearheaded by the likes of Apple (AAPL), Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOGL), Netflix (NFLX), and possibly even Tesla (TSLA), if they want a little growth.

It’s a direct conflict of interest, but that's not surprising for politics in 2020, is it?

The government likes to jawbone to the public saying they will make competition a level playing field, but actions show they are doing the opposite.

The Silicon Valley oligarchs are whispering in the ear of Congress and they listen.

Who would want Congress to lose money in their retirement portfolios, right?

Well, what now?

Fast forward to the future - mid-September, TikTok — the Chinese-owned, video-sharing phenomenon — MUST sell its U.S. operations.

Given the app’s 100 million U.S. users, this forced divestment by President Trump has triggered a delirious auction now pitting tech giants Microsoft (MSFT), Oracle (ORCL), and Twitter (TWTR) against one another.

The White House and Big Tech are boiling the free for all down to a combined story of national security and opportunistic capitalism amid unfortunate geopolitical tension between the U.S. and China.

But the ultimatum to ByteDance, TikTok’s owner, is more accurately understood as a dark window into Silicon Valley’s utter failure to innovate, and a warning signal of its transformation into a mere protector of long-established turf.

Silicon Valley has long adhered to the motto, “Move fast and break things” – but that was long ago when Steve Jobs was busy making the first iPhone.

The truth is Silicon Valley couldn’t be more corporate than it is now, and they use the corporate machine to serve the ends they desire.

Big Tech is just in love with buybacks like the rest of corporate America and the only reason they avoid it now is to appear as if they are in tune with public discourse and not tone deaf.

Huawei, another punching bag of the Trump administration’s tech war with China, best foreshadowed the optics.

In remarks to reporters in March 2019, Chinese politician Guo Ping said, “The U.S. government has a loser’s attitude. They want to smear Huawei because they can’t compete with us.”

ByteDance produced the hottest new social media platform on a global scale, and Facebook, in typical fashion, responded by brazenly copying TikTok, adding a feature called Reels to Instagram.

Don’t forget that Mark Zuckerberg has been attempting to destroy Snapchat (SNAP) for years after CEO Evan Spiegel refused to sell it to Zuckerberg.

The rest of the tech ecosphere has turned a blind eye to the anti-trust violations because they don’t want to be the next takeout target.

Make no bones about it, Silicon Valley, with the help of the Trump administration, is about to do a smash and grab job on China’s best tech growth asset.

This cunning maneuver alone has the knock-on effect of not only extending the tech rally in U.S. public markets but increasing the scarcity value and emboldening the Silicon Valley oligarchs.

I’m all about good deals and robbing Chinese tech in broad daylight is overwhelmingly bullish for the U.S. tech sector.

Imagine adding another Instagram to the appendage of an already mammoth tech company.

So why innovate? Why deploy capital into research and development when you can just nick a foreign company's crown jewel?

Even if you hate Silicon Valley at a personal level, it is literally impossible to short them, and now they are resorting to stealing companies, what other passes will government, society, and corporate America give American tech?

In either case, it’s not for me to judge, and as a technology analyst - I am bullish U.S. tech.

Silicon Valley tech

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-08-26 11:02:272020-08-26 19:29:16The Empty Pipeline of Tech Innovation
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

July 10, 2020

Tech Letter



Mad Hedge Technology Letter
July 10, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(HOW TWITTER KNOCKED IT OUT OF THE PARK)
(TWTR)

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