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Tag Archive for: (VRTX)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

An Up-and-Comer Biopharma Stock

Biotech Letter

AbbVie (ABBV) is the seventh biggest biopharmaceutical company worldwide in terms of revenue.

If you’re on the lookout for stocks that also offer juicy dividends, then this is a good company to add to your list alongside Dividend Aristocrats like Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Pfizer (PFE).

Since its split from Abbott Labs (ABT) back in 2013, AbbVie has increased its revenue by roughly 2.5 times.

In just a few years post-spin-off, its profits have grown from $18.8 billion to an impressive $46 billion in the last fiscal year.

A huge chunk of AbbVie’s growth is attributed to its blockbuster drug Humira, which is the number one selling drug in 2020 with a whopping $19.8 billion in net revenue.

That’s why it comes as no surprise that the drug’s impending loss of patent exclusivity in the US in 2023 is a major pain point for AbbVie investors.

However, it looks like AbbVie has positioned itself well into a future without Humira.

Although Humira does lead AbbVie’s immunology portfolio, the company’s other products in this lineup are also promising.

Up-and-coming drugs Skyrizi and Rinvoq both reported doubled annual sales from 2019 to 2020, with the two expected to bring in $15 billion by 2025.

Actually, Rinvoq is slated as the successor to Humira and is groomed as a “key growth driver” through 2026.

Putting money where its mouth is, AbbVie has performed notably in the first quarter of 2021 with a 50% increase from its 2020 net revenue to hit over $12.94 billion.

Its net profit also saw a double-digit bump of 18% to reach $3.55 billion. 

Despite off-patent woes, Humira still enjoyed a 3.5% uptick in sales to rake in $4.9 billion for the quarter.

Meanwhile, AbbVie’s aesthetic product line showed off an impressive 35% jump during the period, adding over $1.1 billion to revenue.

Reflecting the good news this quarter, AbbVie boosted its profitability guidance for 2021.

From an adjusted per-share net profit in the range of $12.32 to $12.52, the company now estimates it to be somewhere between $12.37 and $12.57.

Diversification has also been explored, with AbbVie veering from immunology and venturing into other segments like oncology, eye care, neuroscience, and even aesthetics.

One way AbbVie has been filling the Humira revenue gap is via acquisitions.

In 2015, the company acquired Pharmacyclics. This deal added a blockbuster drug, Imbruvica, in AbbVie’s lineup.

In 2020, Imbruvica generated roughly $4.7 billion in sales.

With an estimated compound annual growth rate of 26.5%, Imbruvica is projected to reach approximately $31.8 billion in sales through 2025.

On top of that, AbbVie has filed a slew of patents to restrict generic competition against Imbruvica until at least 2035.

Another major acquisition is Allergan, which added roughly 120 new products under AbbVie’s banner following the deal’s completion in May 2020.

Collectively, these products brought in $16 billion in sales in 2019 for Allergan—a noteworthy performance that translated to AbbVie’s 2020 revenue, which grew from $33 billion in 2019 to $45.8 billion a year later.

Perhaps the most notable addition from the Allergan acquisition is Botox.

In 2019, this drug raked in roughly $2.7 billion in sales. Similar to Imbruvica’s potential, Botox also presents a powerful growth runway.

In fact, this Allergan blockbuster is estimated to generate more than $13.4 billion in revenue by 2026.

Apart from the additional 120 products it injected into AbbVie’s portfolio, Allergan also queued 60 more development programs, which could generate at least $2 billion in sales by 2023.

AbbVie is one of the more innovative and newer biopharmaceutical companies to take the biotechnology and healthcare market by storm. Given the company’s strong pipeline programs, it’s definitely poised for more robust growth.

Spun off from Abbott Labs in 2013, this company currently sits at a massive market capitalization of roughly $205 billion.

If its portfolio, pipeline programs, acquisitions, and recent first-quarter earnings reports can tell us anything, it’s that AbbVie still has a lot of room to grow. Hence, it’s good to buy the dip.

 

AbbVie company

 

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 11, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
May 11, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(A FALLEN BIOTECH OUTPERFORMING THE MARKET)
(VRTX), (ABBV), (CRSP), (BLUE)

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

A Fallen Biotech is Outperforming the Market

Biotech Letter

Despite the exceptional performance of a handful of biotechnology companies, many healthcare stocks have languished over the course of the last 12 months due to the extra costs and added uncertainty brought by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Amid its continuous success for almost a decade, with shares climbing by over 800% from 2012 to mid-2020 and outpacing the S&P 500 nearly four times over, Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) stock was not spared during this turbulent period.

In fact, shares of the company fell by roughly 25% in mid-October following their decision to cancel the development of VX-814.

This once-promising drug, which was initially expected to treat a genetic disorder affecting the liver and kidney, showed disappointing results in its trials last year.

Despite falling out of favor with investors, I think this $55.66 billion-by-market-capitalization biotechnology company holds a strong track record and remains a compelling buy—a fact proven by its first quarter earnings report.

Vertex recorded $1.72 billion in revenue for the first quarter of 2021, showing off a 14% year-over-year jump and topping the projected estimate from analysts of $1.66 billion.

The company also reported a notable improvement on its bottom line, with an adjusted net income of $781 million or $2.98 per share.

In comparison, Vertex recorded $674 million in earnings or $2.56 per share during the same period in 2020.

This embattled biotechnology company marked the end of the first quarter with a total of $6.9 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, exhibiting a $265 million increase from the end of 2020.

Although Vertex anticipates a slowdown in its revenue growth this year, it still projects a full-year sale in the range of $6.7 billion and $6.9 billion.

To see if this is realistic, let’s take a look at the company’s current drug portfolio.

The core of Vertex’s business is its cystic fibrosis (CF) lineup. Without treatment, this disease could lead to the early death of patients.

At the moment, Vertex has four approved CF drugs out in the market: Kalydeco, Orkambi, Symdeko, and Trikafta.

With the extent of patient profiles that these four drugs cover, Vertex has virtually cornered the CF market and established a monopoly.

To date, roughly 50% of cystic patients in the US, Australia, Canada, and Europe are treated using Vertex drugs.

Among the four, Trikafta appears to have the potential to become a blockbuster.

Trikafta is forecasted to take the lion’s share in the CF market in the next few years, with its revenue rising from $3.8 billion to $8.9 billion by 2026. This would translate to a growth in Vertex’s CF program from $6.2 billion to $9.6 billion.

While skeptics might assume that the growth projection is too high, it’s important to remember the trajectory of the Trikafta-Kaftrio drug.

The revenue of this combo grew from $420 million in 2019 to a whopping $3.86 billion in 2020.

Given that CF has become a lucrative market, it no longer comes as a surprise that competitors are starting to swarm the space.

Vertex’s biggest rival in the space so far is AbbVie (ABBV), which has been working on triple combinations of its own drugs.

Apart from its CF programs, Vertex’s pipelines also serve as catalysts for its growth.

Although VX-814 failed and caused the company’s shares to fall in 2020, Vertex has another candidate, VX-864, which has been showing more promising results as of late.

You might be wondering why Vertex insists on working on this drug despite the backlash it suffered last year. This is primarily rooted in the potential of the product.

VX-864, if successful, could be the next CF-like moneymaker for Vertex. By 2026, sales for this drug are estimated to reach $640 million and will peak by 2030 at $1.1 billion.

On top of these, Vertex has collaborated with CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) to develop gene therapy for sickle cell disease. So far, the treatment has received a fast-track designation from the FDA.

If approved, their drug, CTX-001, will directly compete with bluebird bio’s (BLUE) LentiGlobin.

The current pricing for bluebird’s therapy is $1.2 million.

To date, there are roughly 250,000 patients suffering from sickle cell disease in the US and Europe. Among them, 25% are diagnosed to be in the severe stages. This is the market that CTX-001 aims to target.

Using the pricing of LentiGlobin as the basis, CTX-001 has the potential to reach $1.6 billion in sales in 2026 and peak at $2 billion in 2029.

If the two companies succeed in this, then CTX-001 is another blockbuster drug added to Vertex’s portfolio.

Overall, Vertex is a good long-term investment stock. It has a proven track record and a healthy pipeline filled with promising candidates. I say you should take advantage and buy the dips.

vertex

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-05-11 14:00:292021-05-20 01:26:36A Fallen Biotech is Outperforming the Market
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 27, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
April 27, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(THE FUTURE OF MEDICINE)
(CRSP), (VRTX), (EDIT), (NTLA), (PFE), (NVS), (GILD), (RHHBY),
(BMRN), (QURE), (SGMO), (CLLS), (ALLO), (BEAM)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-04-27 14:02:352021-04-28 12:12:50April 27, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Future of Medicine

Biotech Letter

Winning the Nobel Prize in 2020 provided biotechnology companies more traction on Wall Street.

The victory led to commercializing the 2012 discovery, Crispr-Cas9, at breakneck speed, with gene editing companies like CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP), Editas Medicine (EDIT), and Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA) gaining considerable boost in their values.

Since then, the total market value for the products of these three has more than doubled in recent months to reach $23 billion.

Basically, Crispr-Cas9 functions like molecular scissors.

What makes this technology incredible is that Crispr-Cas9 can classify a single address out of 3 billion letters within the genome by using only a particular sequence. With this, we can repair thousands of genetic conditions and even offer more potent ways to battle cancer.

The market favorite among the gene editing companies so far is CRISPR Therapeutics, with $8.72 billion in market capitalization.

In comparison, Editas has $2.76 billion while Intellia Therapeutics has $4.15 billion.

CRISPR Therapeutics is currently working on a treatment that would implant tumor-targeting immune cells in cancer patients. The company is also prioritizing therapies that could edit cells to treat diabetes.

So far, it has made significant progress in developing treatments for a genetic disorder called sickle cell.

In the US alone, at least 100,000 people suffer from sickle cell disease, with 4,000 more born every year. Conservatively, we can estimate at least 3,000 patients availing of this one-time treatment at over $1.6 million a pop. 

To date, CRISPR Therapeutics has five candidates under clinical trials for diseases like B-thalassemia, sickle cell disease, and other regenerative conditions.

It has four more queued, which target diabetes, cystic fibrosis, and Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Compared to its rivals in the space, it’s clear that CRISPR Therapeutics is ahead when it comes to product development and trials.

Two of its candidates, transfusion-dependent beta thalassemia treatment CTX001 and sickle cell disease therapy CTX110, have already been submitted for clinical tests for safety and efficacy.

Recently, Vertex (VRTX) boosted its 2015 agreement with CRISPR Therapeutics by 10%, with the deal reaching $900 million upfront to push for quicker results in developing CTX001.

This is a crucial move for Vertex, but more so for CRISPR Therapeutics as CTX001 holds a highly lucrative addressable market.

The additional funding significantly widened the gap between the Vertex-CRISPR team and bluebird bio (BLUE) in the race to launch a new gene editing therapy targeting sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia.

To sustain its growth, CRISPR Therapeutics’ strategy is to develop drugs that only require mid-level complexity but can rake in generous financial rewards.

This is a similar tactic used by bigger and more established biotechnology companies like Pfizer (PFE), Novartis (NVS), and Gilead Sciences (GILD).

Evidently, this strategy is a great way to ensure cash flow.

Aside from its earning from the commercialization of these products, CRISPR Therapeutics can also attract larger companies to buy the intellectual property of their breakthrough treatments.

After all, startups generally get 100% premiums in contracts with Big Pharma.

Good examples of this are Novartis that bought AveXis and Roche’s (RHHBY) purchase of Spark Therapeutics.

The Roche-Spark agreement led to the first-ever FDA-approved treatment since gene therapy trials started in the 1990s. It was for the genetic blindness therapy Luxturna, which received the green light in 2017.

The second approved treatment was a muscle-wasting disease therapy Zolgensma, which was the fruit of the Novartis-Avexis acquisition.

Both conditions are rare, but the financial rewards are impressive.

At $2 million for each treatment, Zolgensma sales reached $1.2 billion annually. At the rate the therapy is selling, Novartis estimates that Zolgensma will surpass the $2 billion mark in 2021.

Novartis and Roche aren’t the only ones partnering with smaller gene editing companies.

Pfizer has been working with biotechnology companies BioMarin Pharmaceutics (BMRN) and UniQure (QURE) to develop a treatment for blood-clotting disorder hemophilia.

The COVID-19 frontrunner is also collaborating with Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) to come up with a treatment for Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Gene editing has also served as the foundation for several biotechnology companies out there today like Sangamo Therapeutics (SGMO), Cellectis (CLLS), and Allogene Therapeutics (ALLO).

The market size for gene editing treatments is estimated to be worth $11.2 billion by 2025, with the number rising between $15.79 billion to $18.1 billion by 2027.

This puts the compounded annual growth rate of this sector to be at least roughly 17%.

While this is already groundbreaking with only a handful of companies knowing how to utilize the technology, the gene editing world has come up with a more advanced technique than Crispr-Cas9.

The technology is founded on the “base editing” or “prime editing” technique, which is the simplest type of gene editing that alters only one DNA letter.

So far, one company holds exclusive rights to this technology: Beam Therapeutics (BEAM).

When the technology became public, Beam stock has increased sixfold since its IPO in February 2020.

This latest development can resolve thousands of genetic diseases. However, it still requires further trials since “base editing” can also trigger damaging responses from the body.

Overall, I think CRISPR Therapeutics is the safest among these high-risk stocks.

The data from two of its candidates, CTX001 and CTX110, are incredibly promising. Plus, the added funding from Vertex boosts the confidence of investors that regulatory approval is well on its way.

The company is also capitalizing on the surging price of its stock and investing aggressively across different rare disease programs.

While the company has yet to be considered a major force in the biotechnology world, the potential multiple successes of its products could generate a company worth hundreds of billions.

This potential alone offers an investing opportunity with a substantial asymmetric advantage for its current share price.

However, bear in mind that the stock is still a risk and should be played as a long-term investment. Hence, you should buy on dips.

crispr

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-04-27 14:00:382021-05-03 00:58:43The Future of Medicine
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 31, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
December 31, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(MONOPOLY IS THE NAME OF THE GAME)
(VRTX), (CRSP), (ILMN), (BLUE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-12-31 12:02:532020-12-31 12:14:49December 31, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Monopoly is the Name of the Game

Biotech Letter

No other industry has ever been watched as closely in 2020 as the healthcare and biotechnology sector, with drug developers placed under pressure to deliver COVID-19 treatments and vaccines within an unprecedented timeframe.

Despite all the attention and fanfare, the overall performance of the sector’s stocks remained underwhelming. However, 2021 promises to bring in better returns and bring back the industry to pre-pandemic performance.

For perspective, the S&P 500 Health Care Sector Index rose by 8% through mid-December compared to the 13% increase of the S&P 500.

The financial and health crises affected the performance of the subgroups in different ways. For example, the diagnostics subgroup jumped by 31% while the demand for clinical labs was up 18%.

Meanwhile, biotechnology stocks rose by 13%. In comparison, traditional pharmaceutical stocks and even hospitals only managed to record a measly 3% increase.

As for retail pharmacies, this subgroup sank by 18%.

Despite the underperformance of the industry, there are still companies that stood out this year and are poised to soar come 2021.

One of them is Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX).

Vertex is possibly one of the most undervalued large-cap biotechnology stocks in the market today.

This company, which has $61.7 billion in market capitalization, has been continuously growing and transforming into the most dominant player in the cystic fibrosis (CF) space.

Truth be told, Vertex holds the monopoly on the approved drugs used to treat CF, namely, Trikafta, Kalydeco, Orkambi, and Symdeko.

With the recent approvals the company received, this momentum is expected to grow.

Vertex just won additional EU approval for its CF drug Kaftrio. This indicates another cash cow for the company as the drug, also known as Trikafta, already transformed itself into a megablockbuster in the US market.

Apart from its efforts to continuously dominate the CF sector, Vertex also has several moonshots that can eventually turn into major catalysts.

Among those is its partnership with CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP).

The two biotechnology companies are developing a gene therapy, called CTX001, which can cure rare genetic blood diseases. Specifically, CTX001 is designed to cure beta-thalassemia and sickle cell disease.

Apart from its partnership with CRISPR Therapeutics, Vertex also acquired Semma Therapeutics in 2019 with the goal of coming up with a cure for Type 1 diabetes.

If things go as planned, a gene therapy for this genetic disease will advance to clinical testing by early 2021.

Another under the radar biotechnology stock set to soar in 2020 is Illumina (ILMN).

Illumina, with a market capitalization of $54.10 billion, is the leader in the genomics market.

Since the pandemic broke, the biotechnology sector’s leading manufacturer of hardware for genetic sequencing has been supplying testing kits for hospitals across the US.

Apart from Illumina, other companies in the genomics sectors include Vertex’s partner, CRISPR Therapeutics, which has a market capitalization of $4.48 billion, and bluebird bio (BLUE) with $4.03 billion.

In a nutshell, genomics refers to the analysis of the genetic information found in human cells. Companies working on this field aim to not only develop more accurate and efficient disease testing processes but also come up with more personalized treatments for a range of diseases including cancer.

Looking at Illumina’s profile and even taking into consideration the effects of the recession along with the competitive pressure to be expected soon enough, this biotechnology company is still set to deliver solid returns over the next 3 to 5 years.

Ever since its establishment, Illumina has been hailed as the leader in the gene-sequencing segment.

To date, the company holds almost 90% of the market.

Apart from that, the company has been an active participant in the move to lower the costs of gene-sequencing processes. In effect, Illumina managed to expand its customer reach.

Illumina’s participation in the 13-year Human Genome Project, which started at $3 billion per genome submitted for sequencing in 2003.

Nowadays, the cost has dropped to $800 for each genome, with Illumina eyeing to drop the price to $100 via its NovaSeq platform.

Based on the company’s performance in the past years, Illumina’s revenue is expected to climb higher annually in the next 5 years.

By 2021, the company is projected to report a 21.16% year over year growth in annual revenue to reach 4.23 billion.

Meanwhile, its 2022 annual revenue is estimated to hit $4.79 billion, showing off a 13.37% increase.

Despite the attention it has been receiving, Illumina remains a bargain buy.

This is because the company’s gene-sequencing projects have been moving along at a decent pace even before the COVID-19 crisis hit.

Given the company’s growth and future plans, Illumina is a no-brainer long-term investment. However, investors looking for quick returns might find the company’s pace a bit sluggish for their liking.

Among the biotechnology companies out there today, I think Vertex and Illumina stand out the most because both hold a monopoly in their respective fields.

Sure, there would be competition eventually but the combination of all their strengths and the strong potential of their pipeline put them in a league of their own.

 

illumina

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-12-31 12:00:542021-01-05 00:39:50Monopoly is the Name of the Game
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Buy Before the Rally

Biotech Letter

Over the past month, COVID-19 vaccine developers like Pfizer (PFE), Moderna (MRNA), and AstraZeneca (AZN) have offered the world a bit of good news.

For the first time since the pandemic started, we have seen a light at the end of this crisis’ tunnel.

This time around next year, the economy should be close to its normal state.

Before we see the struggling financial market completely recover, you might want to consider buying shares of an under-the-radar COVID-19 vaccine developer that could be on its way to performing better in 2021: Merck (MRK).

Major healthcare and drug stocks rarely get this cheap relative to the S&P 500 in the last 15 years, Merck is a prime example of this once-in-a-blue-moon phenomenon.

Although it was slow to start and report on updates in its COVID-19 vaccine, Merck has been making strides in emerging as a major competitor against Gilead Sciences (GILD) when it comes to developing a COVID-19 drug.

To date, Merck landed a $356 million supply agreement with the US government to deliver 60,000 to 100,000 doses of its oral antiviral drug for COVID-19.

While vaccines are definitely valuable in helping prevent the spread of the virus, there is another important market that healthcare companies are targeting: the hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

With this recent announcement from Merck, it’s obvious that the company has its hands on both the vaccine market and the hospitalized patient group.

In terms of vaccine development, Merck may be behind Pfizer and Moderna but this New Jersey-based titan has one of the leading vaccine franchises in the industry.

The frontrunner in Merck’s vaccine franchise is its cervical cancer vaccine Gardasil, which is estimated to be worth half of its current market value of approximately $200 billion.

The company is also anticipated to record high single-digit earnings growth in the years to come, thanks to the 2021 spinoff of its Organon unit.

Following Pfizer and Mylan footsteps in the newly formed Viatris (VTRS), Organon will be used to unload the slower-growth products from Merck’s current portfolio.

With the purging of its product portfolio of the low-performing treatments comes the expansion of Merck’s R&D courtesy of its $2.75 acquisition of biotechnology startup VelosBio. 

Thanks to this deal, Merck will gain access to VelosBio’s prized VLS-101, which is basically a miniature chemotherapy grenade that would disintegrate cancer cells.

This collaboration could turn out into another moneymaker for the company.

Merck is no stranger when it comes to picking winning oncology investments.

The last massive deal it completed was a $1.16 billion deal with AstraZeneca in 2017, with the two companies agreeing to milestone payments of up to $6.15 billion.

This partnership brought to life one of the highest-selling cancer drugs in the world today, Lynparza.

To date, Lynparza is not only used for prostate cancer but also gained expanded approval for breast and pancreatic cancer.

In the third quarter of 2020 alone, even with the pandemic still wreaking havoc everywhere, Merck’s share of profits for Lynparza jumped 59% year over year to reach $196 million—a number that is projected to continue to climb as the drug awaits more approvals from the EU.

Merck offers the most attractive upside case among the healthcare stocks today, with the company projected to report consistent revenue growth until at least 2025.

Moreover, this pharmaceutical company has a strong balance sheet, as seen in its recent acquisitions and potential partnerships still underway.

So far, Merck’s shares are down 12% this year to only $80, with the stock trading 13 times its projected earnings in 2021 at $6.29 per share.

This pharmaceutical giant has a stable dividend yield of 3.3%, which is double the S&P 500.

As the economy continues with its recovery, you can expect Merck to get stronger and the stock should rally sooner rather than later.

Hence, buying it before it completely bounces back could allow you to cash in some spectacular returns.

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 24, 2020

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
December 24, 2020
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(HOW VERTEX IS CURING THE INCURABLE)
(VRTX), (PTI), (GLPG), (CRSP)

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

How Vertex is Curing the Uncurable

Biotech Letter

Erratic. Unpredictable. Volatile. Take your pick of the descriptions used when it comes to biotechnology stocks. Each of these adjectives can be a fitting descriptor to the industry most of the time.

However, not all biotechnology companies fall under that category. Some are reasonably stable, offering steady and increasing profits.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) is one of those biotechnology stocks that you can simply buy and hold for over a decade without losing any sleep.

One of the key factors in Vertex’s success is its monopoly on the cystic fibrosis (CF) market.

CF is a rare and life-threatening genetic disease that affects a patient’s digestive system and lungs. To date, there is no cure for this condition that overshadows the lives of 68,000 individuals in the US and the EU. However, there are treatment options for it.

Vertex developed the first-ever FDA-approved drug, Kalydeco, for the condition. As expected, it gained the much-coveted head start that led to its dominance today.

Its closest rivals, Proteostasis Therapeutics (PTI) and Galapagos NV (GLPG), are years away from ever catching up to the Massachusetts-based biotechnology stalwart. Neither has an approved drug as of today.

Since the approval of Kalydeco in 2012, Vertex stock has been enjoying an upward trajectory. With the recent addition of another CF blockbuster, Trikafta, the company is anticipated to keep its momentum.

From the moment Trikafta was released to the market, Vertex’s revenue and bottom line showed impressive growth. The drug, which is a triple combination therapy, is projected to capture almost 90% of the CF market worldwide. 

Needless to say, Vertex has made it in the shade for at least the next 5 years, thanks to its CF market dominance.

In its second quarter earnings report, Vertex showed a 62% jump in its revenue year over year to hit $1.52 billion. Its net income of $837 million demonstrated a whopping 213% increase compared to the same period in 2019.

As anticipated, the star of the show was Trikafta.

The drug raked in $918 million in the second quarter alone – an amount higher than the combined sales of all the drugs in Vertex’s product line and an impressive growth from the $420 million it contributed last year.

As Vertex’s bottom line grew, its margins showed substantial improvement as well. Its operating margin for the second quarter of 2020 is at 57% compared to 44% during the same quarter last year.

With Vertex’s key metrics topping expectations, the company changed its 2020 revenue guidance from $5.7 billion to $5.9 billion, showing off a noteworthy increase from the $4 billion in sales it reported in 2019.

Although its CF pipeline has a number of promising candidates, Vertex is also looking outside the market for additional avenues of growth.

One of the most promising and exciting partnerships it forged in the past decade is with gene-editing company CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP).

Just looking at this collaboration makes it clear that Vertex is once again playing the long game.

What we know so far is that the two companies are working on a treatment, called CTX001, for rare genetic blood disorders sickle cell disease and transfusion-dependent beta-thalassemia.

They are also developing two potential treatments for alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD), which is a rare genetic liver and lung disorder that is similar to CF.

Detractors might point out that Vertex is a pricey stock. However, this biotechnology company currently has $71.2 billion in market capitalization.

More notably, it has no debt and holds $5.5 billion in cash. That puts the true value of Vertex at roughly $65.7 billion.

I believe that the biotechnology company’s overall outlook more than does justice for its valuation.

Granted that it is trading at 11 times its revenue and 26 times its adjusted EPS, its consistent performance and promising future ensure that its investors will be getting more bang for their buck.

In a word, Vertex remains a first-rate biotechnology stock to buy.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-12-24 11:00:592020-12-24 10:41:14How Vertex is Curing the Uncurable
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