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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 13, 2018 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“We're really thinking how do we re-imagine PayPal almost as a service - PayPal as a SaaS platform.” – Said CEO of PayPal Dan Schulman

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-13 05:15:432018-12-13 05:15:43December 13, 2018 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 12, 2018

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 12, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(WHY GAMERS ARE TAKING OVER THE WORLD)
(EA), (TTWO), (ATVI), (GME), (MSFT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-12 01:07:452018-12-11 17:24:45December 12, 2018
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Why Gamers Are Taking Over the World

Tech Letter

I nailed it.

The video game migration has been nothing short of bonkers for the average onlooker who has no interest in gaming.

Personally, I can’t really fathom spending every waking moment in front of a screen playing a game, but I was born in a different generation.

But for the younger generations, this is completely normal and a standard way to use extracurricular time.

This behavior is the origin hewing together a broader thesis of investing in behemoth video game companies boasting premium gameplay and high-quality content.

As the year inches closer to the finish line, I would have been proved correct if it wasn’t for one surprise that nobody could have ever predicted.

Enter Fortnite.

Fortnite has reigned supreme in 2018 and single-handedly tarnished the performance of the powerful trio of Electronic Arts (EA), Activision Blizzard (ATVI), and Take-Two Interactive (TTWO).

The multiplayer battle royale game is produced by Epic Games, an American video game developer based in Cary, North Carolina and this small town in Chatham County owns the video game world right now.

Funnily enough, the company was created by Tim Sweeney in 1991 in his parents' basement in Potomac, Maryland.

Epic Games blindsided the video game industry who believed barriers of entry were too high, and an outsider would have no chance to steal legitimate market share from the incumbents.

They thought wrong because Epic Games has done exactly that and more.

Instead of splurging on a pricey console and game titles, Fortnite has followed the cloud industry’s blueprint with a freemium model as an introductory way to lure in new users.

This must have Sony and Microsoft tearing their hair out because it could potentially rule the Xbox One and PS4 consoles obsolete.

How easy is it to play Fortnite?

Simply download and install the game for free on your Xbox One, Nintendo Switch, PlayStation 4, iPhone, Android, or Mac by opening the respective app store and selecting “Fortnite.”

That’s right, you can play this game on almost any platform appealing to the masses of fans.

Does this freemium model mean that Epic Games misses out on revenue?

Absolutely not.

The freemium model is just the conversional entry point to lure in new gamers.

Epic Games profits by selling in-game currency named V-Bucks or Vinderbucks used for purchasing items from the in-game Vindertech Store in Save the World, or to pocket cosmetic items from the Item Shop and the Battle Pass in Battle Royale.

V-Bucks revenue has been piling up with global gamers spending an average of $1.23 million per day in the iOS version for the month of November.

The number of total gamers recently eclipsed the 200 million mark and the previous recorded number was in June when Fortnite users totaled 125 million.

The 60% surge in five months has been the main catalyst for large video game makers to experience violent sell-offs because there is a direct correlation between growing Fortnite users and cratering usership from the traditional players.

Then throw in the mix of the secret recipe to Fortnite’s success - the mind-numbing speed and impact of the online updates enhancing the game; adding and adjusting weapons, providing new cosmetic items for players to buy and altering the game map.

Not only did Epic draw in new players in waves, it retained them just as well.

Putting the cherry on top, Fortnite made major cultural inroads into mainstream society legitimizing this title as the game of 2018.

This was evident during the Russia FIFA World Cup where star soccer players were doing Fortnite dances after scoring critical goals.

Put it this way, the game hasn’t even been allowed in China and is expected to earn over $2 billion in 2018.

As we speak, millions more plan to migrate from their former games enticed by the free battle royal platform.

The game is nothing short of a cultural phenomenon and none of the major video game developers can keep up.

Take-Two Interactive even had a smash hit come online with Red Dead Redemption 2, a Western-themed action-adventure game developed and published by Rockstar Games, lighting up screens all over the world.

Not even that could taper off the enthusiasm for Fortnite.

Activision cannot keep its gamers from jumping ship.

The mainstay game developer announced a major contraction of users from 345 million monthly active users for top games in its Candy Crush, World of Warcraft and Call of Duty franchises in the third quarter sharply down from 352 million users in the second quarter and 384 million users a year ago.

GameStop (GME) who recently slashed its full-year 2019 earnings outlook faces a grim 2019 as shares are down about 25% this year.

I perfectly predicted this and in almost every scenario, GameStop’s future looks ugly unless they do some major surgery to the business model.

There is no room for video game brokers anymore in this cloud-based world.

This is because new game studios will follow the Epic Games blueprint and bypass consoles all together and offer games for free.

The cloud will be the new go-to device for playing video games, and gamers will download games straight from the cloud via wireless broadband.

This trend is set to mushroom when 5G comes online in 2019 and 2020, connection speeds are expected to be 100 times faster than current 4G speeds.

In fact, the new consoles currently being developed by Nintendo, Microsoft, and Sony could be the last game consoles ever developed before they go extinct.

The digital revolution promises that hardware becomes incrementally slimmed down with every iteration until at some point there will be no hardware at all.

We have seen this trend in consumer devices with the smartphone, television, and desktop computer amongst other products.

This is why Microsoft (MSFT) has been busy buying up video game content producers, and confident in this sense that gold standard content truly is king.

It makes sense to put in more irons in the fire to potentially score a culture-shifting game like Fortnite. Not every video game will be a blockbuster hit, but the more video game developer Microsoft buys, there will be a higher chance of dominating the video game market.

Fortnite’s disruption of Activision, EA, and Take-Two Interactive signals a new beginning of the end for the traditional video game developers.

Darkhorse game developer could sprout up out of nowhere even more in 2019 offering console-less free games and leaner, nimbler models.

How are console manufacturers and game developers expected to keep up with the surge in gaming expectation?

The answer is they will not and look for these big three developers to attempt to stem the bleeding as Fortnite is expected to become even more thrilling next year tearing away more gamers from other systems in a dog-eat-dog world.

And then there is the possibility of the FANGs crossing over to gaming, searching for new growth drivers which would really flatten these shares like a pancake.

Microsoft is already deep into this industry, why wouldn’t their cousins follow them to profits too?

Ultimately, I am bearish on Activision, Electronic Arts, and Take-Two Interactive going into 2019 unless there is an upside catalyst that magically appears.

 

 

 

A CULTURAL PHENOMENON

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-12 01:06:272018-12-11 17:25:07Why Gamers Are Taking Over the World
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 12, 2018 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“On all open platforms, regardless of whether it's Facebook or the Apple App Store, the largest segment is entertainment and games. It's the largest revenue segment. And it's the same for Tencent.”- Said the CEO of Tencent Pony Ma

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-12 01:05:392018-12-11 16:53:06December 12, 2018 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 11, 2018

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 11, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE REAL STORY ABOUT APPLE)
(AAPL), (QCOM), (HUAWEI), (TENCENT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-11 08:22:012018-12-11 08:16:12December 11, 2018
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Real Story About Apple

Tech Letter

If you can’t handle the heat, then get out of the kitchen.

Well, the kitchen is getting a little bit toasty right now.

Apple (AAPL) was handed down a demonstrably negative verdict when a regional Chinese court ruled that they infringed on two patents belonging to Qualcomm (QCOM).

The Qualcomm chips were connected to photo editing and another to swiping on a touch-screen device.

This means that Apple won’t be able to sell legacy iPhone models in China which is a damaging blow to revenue prospects because older iPhone models in China offer attractive price points to wallet-light Chinese.

And when you add this all up, the ban includes over half of the iPhones on sale in China.

In general, less affordable, sleeker, fresher iterations price out many Chinese who want a piece of the Apple dream.

Even though this was a nice victory for Qualcomm, it spells trouble for the broader tech sector.

Apple’s myriad of chip suppliers who have grappled with a torrent stream of woeful news this year relating to Apple’s supply of iPhones and supply forecast of iPhones are first on the chopping block.

It’s also an excruciating blow to American business in China and this could potentially rule out any American management taking future business trips to China.

Apple looks set to join its chip company compadres on the sidelines as a stock to avoid like the plague at the moment.

Apple is a great company and a perfect hold to eternity stock, but this is not the time to jump in and out of it.

Let me explain why.

The trade war centered on future technological hegemony is directly connected to the domination of current technology in artificial intelligence, chip development, and 5G.

China has been furiously catching up to American tech the last two decades through its vast program of foreign technological forced transfers and outright intellectual property theft.

I remember testing my first shoddy Chinese smartphone from the Chinese company Coolpad to gauge a sample of the burgeoning Chinese consumer device market on a blistering hot day in Beijing in the summer of 2010.

It was one of the first iterations of Chinese smartphones on the local market and the 3G smartphone was simply terrible.

The hardware was iffy, software was untenable, design was hodgepodge and it ceased working after 3 painstaking months of testing.

I breathed a sigh of relief because I knew it would be years before Chinese tech could ever produce something material.

Since then, China and the love given to its tech sector through the state protecting its homegrown companies have come a long way since those teething years filled with shabby products and inferior expertise of yesteryear.

Chinese cell phones are now comparable to iPhones for a fraction of the cost especially the new Huawei and Xiaomi models and the companies want recognition for their success.

I have interviewed scores of Huawei engineers who describe a life of grinding out a modest existence in mega-cities dotted around China.

They lament the 12-hour back-breaking work days, suffocating authoritarian management style, and the 3am on-call staff meetings, but they rejoice in the accomplishment of collecting that down payment for a standard Chinese apartment in a subpar constructed building.

They earn 30% of what Apple engineers make per year just to seize an average life in a second-tier Chinese city.

They don’t complain and accept it as a consequence of cut-throat competition in a country of 1.3 billion trying to hustle the best they can.

These unbearable timelines and the crunch to develop the national brand of Huawei and its other protected tech behemoths is how China rose up from the ashes of irrelevancy to become arguably competitive with the American tech machine that is Silicon Valley.

Even through all of the local hyper-growth, there was one unwritten rule that allowed one squeaky clean American company from Cupertino to evade all of the fractious competition and make an absolute killing in China.

Apple was protected in China before until now that is.

I find it dubious that the timing of the court verdict was the first business day after the arrest of CFO of Huawei Meng Wanzhou.

By connecting the dots, this appears as if it was an indirect ruling from the higher-ups signaling that Apple won’t be handed a free pass anymore and a warning shot fired to Washington.

Even worse, the Chinese regulatory environment is opaque at best-giving discretion to Chinese authorities to do as they see fit.

The opaque nature of Chinese regulation can draw out cases for years potentially drowning out the sales of iPhones and banishing Apple and its products in China to the history books.

That is the worst-case scenario that probably won’t happen.

For Apple to even appeal this ruling offers Steve Jobs' brainchild a rare dose of reality in China, and the bruised Apple brand will go back to the drawing board after receiving severe harm to its previous image of an ultra-luxury brand on the Chinese mainland.

For other American companies, there is no way to flush out additional clarity, and they will get stonewalled if they want more details regarding the path forward and that in itself will damage the price action of stocks tilted towards China because of the wave of uncertainty.

At the extreme minimum, this escalation of pressure will make it arduous to maneuver to some sort of trade agreement let alone in the abbreviated 90-day window agreed on in Buenos Aires.

The Chinese national psyche cares a great deal about saving face and this dig at its national prize will be hard to forget.

And China has a habit at looking at these types of events as inclusive actions tallied up broadly inside a comprehensive portfolio labeled and pigeonholed as America, Canada, and so on.

This conspicuous move has pushed forward Canada into the forefront of the firing line which could become the silver lining to this quagmire because Canada will have more incentive to join in on the China rebukes with America if they get blacklisted by Beijing.

Uniting together as one pan-North American and the European task force would be the best method to combat China’s stealthy business acumen whose capital and influence are far-flung and hard to quantify because of its various gateways to global western pressure points.

I can tell you right now that after doing a quick jaunt of Belarus, the Ukraine, and Hungary this winter, China’s deep pockets and nationals have completely taken over Central and Eastern Europe.

Chinese companies and products are plastered all over the place in each Russified city center and cityscapes built in the Soviet era.

Chinese students and workers have flooded these markets as they line up around the fringes of the Western world armed with gobs of capital and a land-grab mentality that borders Amazon’s ambition.

The Budapest property market has been cornered by Chinese citizens looking for the cheapest entry point to permanent residence in the Eurozone.

If you want to rent a flat in Budapest, odds are a Chinese owner will be glad to accept your monthly rent payments.

China believes that to truly have its tentacles deep inside the Western apparatus, they must initially corner the peripheries of the Western World that thirst for capital to build up local economies to match the power and stature of the Western big boys.

This has all added up to the Chinese government having an influential voice in European affairs because they have direct sway with conservative Prime Minister of Hungary Viktor Orban who has accepted Chinese capital.

US executives are praying to the celestial heavens that Meng is not extradited to America and made the scapegoat of the broader trade war.

This would be a bitter pill to swallow for Huawei’s founder Ren Zheng Fei whose family is considered royalty inside the upper-level Chinese establishment.

I assume that Ren will not back down quietly and is pushing and pulling the behind-the-scenes levers to do what he can for his daughter.

What does this all mean?

Headline risk has shot through the roof and investors could hear any day of the rumblings to the next chapter of the trade saga that is enveloping more and more corporate collateral damage.

Apple’s next quarter’s earnings are also on the line, and CEO of Apple Tim Cook could conveniently use it as a throwaway quarter hyping its progression as a new software and subscriptions company which is indeed in the works.

I figure this is the base case for Apple especially if there is no quick solution to this new iPhone ban.

The transition has been dramatically painful and happened a year or two too early for Apple’s liking.

Consequently, Apple reigning in its expectations has crushed the stock recently.

Certain global banks could set to be punished after the Wall Street Journal reported that HSBC and Standard Chartered facilitated the illegal payments for Huawei.

The British bank problems don’t stop there with Britain as a country barreling towards a complete ban of Huawei products after New Zealand just announced their own ban.

The three biggest Japanese telecommunication companies dumped fuel on Huawei’s bonfire citing security issues for excluding Huawei products from Japanese 5G development.

The roller-coaster action could also give impetus to Chairman Xi to execute a power grab on Chinese domestic technology sector gifting him additional control over tech behemoths in the name of national security fortifying his multiplying power in China.

He did the same with the People Liberation’s Army and I see no reason why he wouldn’t do the same with the Chinese tech sector especially if western countries avoid Huawei products.

The Chinese regulatory presence has already reared its ugly head banning new video game licenses to Tencent slashing revenue streams in 2018.

That is why Tencent shares have grossly underperformed this year.

Theoretically, Xi could use this moment as a springboard to seize the reigns of Huawei citing illegal payments to Iran which would calm the trade tensions but beef up his clout in the tech community, a net negative for Silicon Valley.

In any case, there is substantial amount of uncertainty permeating the heart of the technology movement that could potentially splinter off violently into an American tech and Chinese tech world.

This hard landing would deprive China-based revenue and kill supply chains for American technology that have spent decades procuring these intricate systems.

For Chinese technology, they could be cut off from the important components required to develop the technology and chips they need to achieve its “Made in China 2025” state-subsidized targets aimed at rapidly expanding its high-tech sectors and developing its advanced manufacturing base.

The next few months will reshape the 2019 Silicon Valley landscape and certain companies are hoping their business models aren’t fully destroyed.

I can’t lie but I saw this coming when I became aware of the complicated relationship between foreign tech companies and its precious Chinese revenue, and I also never bought another Coolpad smartphone.

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-11 08:21:242018-12-11 08:15:54The Real Story About Apple
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

December 11, 2018 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“If you don't jump on the new, you don't survive.” – Said CEO of Microsoft Satya Nadella

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-11 08:20:422018-12-11 08:16:22December 11, 2018 - Quote of the Day
MHFTF

December 10, 2018

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 10, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(IT’S ALL ABOUT THE CLOUD)
(OKTA), (ZS), (DOCU), (INTU)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2018-12-10 02:07:212018-12-11 08:20:25December 10, 2018
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

It’s All About the Cloud

Tech Letter

This is no Potemkin village!

That was my reaction when I examined the earnings reports from second-tier cloud companies Okta (OKTA), Zscaler (ZS), and DocuSign (DOCU).

Cloud companies aren’t going away anytime soon, please singe that into your memory.

Even during a winter Nasdaq (QQQ) swoon, software companies are delivering great earnings.

Ironically enough, the three aforementioned security-based cloud companies come at a time when global tech security is the laser-like focus of contentious geopolitics.

There isn’t a hotter topic circulating the gossip networks these days.

Okta is the best in show for identity management – a snazzy term for managing employees’ passwords.

Okta’s products are built on top of the Amazon Web Services cloud.

Coincidentally, Okta was erected in 2009 by a team of former Salesforce (CRM) executives. Salesforce is one of my favorite cloud-based software companies, offering a blueprint for success to other up-and-coming software companies.

Current Okta CEO and founder Todd McKinnon previously served as the Senior Vice President of Engineering at Salesforce.

Other founders include Okta COO Freddy Kerrest who also walked the corridors of Salesforce.

I can tell you that you could do much worse than starting a new software company with a collection of Salesforce upper echelon talent.

This all-star team is behind the insatiable growth of Okta whose revenue has grown over 600% since establishing itself.

Somewhere along the way at Salesforce, this veteran team became acutely aware of a lack of password security and the dire need for it.

This gang of brothers took it upon themselves to spin out of their former lives and develop this specialized cloud product.

Comparing with Intuit (INTU), the finance and accounting software company, readers can lucidly comprehend the superior growth trajectory of Okta.

I am not tarring Intuit as a bad tech company, it rather does justice to the growth model at Okta.

Okta was forecasted to grow between 43%-45% YOY in the previous quarter and shredded any remnant of doubt by posting 58% YOY of revenue growth.

Last quarter was also Okta’s first profitable quarter as a public company.

Customer expansion was another bright highlight with Okta adding 42% YOY.

Specific relationships that drove the bottom line was America’s second-largest traditional supermarket chain and parent of Safeway, Albertsons, Okta became responsible for their passwords on Albertsons’ e-commerce and loyalty programs.

Other relationships that gained traction were other blockbuster names such as the Transportation Security Administration, Sonoco, LendingClub, and Hertz.

The record third quarter also saw gross margin expansion from 68.4% to 71.9%.

CEO of Okta Todd McKinnon briefly summed up the firm’s outlook by gushing that Okta is “well positioned to further benefit from tailwinds as organizations continue their move to the cloud while digitally transforming and securing their businesses.”

McKinnon stole the words right out of my mouth.

Cloud-based software companies will be outsized winners in 2019 as investors start nitpicking more of which tech to own and which tech to dispose of.

This year spawned a massive divergence between tech who has legs and tech who will be dragged down to the depths of the ocean floor by the heavy weight of regulation, overwhelming competition, or just flat out poor management or inferior product development.

In mid-2018, the FANG shared up moves in unison, Facebook zigged and so did Amazon and friends, then they gleefully zagged together.

That trade unceremoniously fell apart swiftly when macro headwinds applied extreme pressure to each unique model.

Suddenly, the FANGs weren’t best pals anymore and the weaknesses became painfully exposed glaringly to the outside world.

Look for the FANG stocks to experience additional divergence as we moved forward because the low-hanging fruit has been picked and only the strong will excel 2019.

Before the recent turbulence, big tech stocks were assumed as one trade and that is done and dusted.

An exciting new chapter to the tech world and the fierce competition it breeds await with the much-praised unicorns of Uber, Lyft, Airbnb, and Slack going public next year.

As for Okta, analysts expected the company to guide to around a 45% YOY growth rate next year, but management took the liberty to forecast a more audacious revenue growth rate of 53% YOY to a tad below $400 million.

Okta’s management has gone out on a limb predicting revenue to surpass $500 million and maintain an annual growth rate of over 30% for the next five years.

Future revenue has a one-way ticket to $1 billion – quite impressive when you consider 2015 revenue came in at $41 million.

Another growth stock performing amid a tempestuous broader market is digital signature cloud company DocuSign.

The company expansion withstood any supposed softness to its business model outperforming expectations.

DocuSign improved on their 2nd quarter growth rate of 33% and sequentially accelerated to 37% last quarter.

Management jacked up revenue expectations to just under $700 million next year, almost three times the annual revenue of 2015.

The disappointing price action neglecting DocuSign’s bright performances is a sign of the current times.

Catching a horrid downdraft from its 2018 peak of $65 is a swift kick in the groin, but it sadly epitomizes the broader malaise whipsawing market volatility like a bull at a rodeo.

The price action is rare for a company displaying accelerating revenue growth with exciting revenue prospects.

Zscaler echoed the same positive sentiment recording a quarter to remember nudging up sales by a robust 59% easily beating forecasts.

Management geared towards premium-priced bundles spiking gross margin massaging the bottom line.

Next year’s annual guidance was nothing short of spectacular with management believing the company will crack $270 million of total revenue compared to analysts conservatively modeling $259 million in 2019.

Zscaler is still labeled a minnow in the larger landscape of the cyber security market and is the smallest of the three firms written about today, but that is gradually moving up the totem pole as the firm’s hyper-growth model is kicking into gear.

Gartner research estimates that the global information security market will eclipse $124 billion in 2019 offering many players an enlarging piece of the pie.

It is justifiable to bake in that Zscaler's prospects will outrun any broader weakness that tries to crimp the stock’s unfettered momentum.

With a current market capitalization slightly north of $5 billion, the growth potential may justify a premium valuation.

Investors fervently applauded the quarterly results elevating the stock 12% on the positive news.

Zscaler is now convinced it can spearhead consistent profitability and positive cash flow by 2020.

It’s hard not to see them decimate their own in-house projections.

These three shining stars of the cloud revolution are not papering over cracks of a dying model, they are front and center of a cohort leading the digital economy and the underlying outperformance backs up this premise.

Unfortunately, even if a company goes gangbusters, they could still be vulnerable to outside forces which are lamentably unavoidable.

A report published by S&P Global shows the tech industry growing earnings by 12% in 2019, only trailing health care and energy.

This is a great sign of things to come next year.

The demand for quality cloud products of this ilk is one theme that will perpetuate.

The American economy is on the verge of a whole slew of analog companies from other sectors traversing single file into the sweet spot of the data-dependent tech taxonomy clamoring for hybrid specialized offerings.

It is safe to say burgeoning cloud-based software companies with annual revenue of less than half a billion dollars are not only primed to take advantage of the digital migration phenomenon irrespective of the machinations in Washington or the fluctuations of treasury yields, but will post attractive financials numbers because of the law of large numbers that makes small companies’ results look better than they are on a percentage basis.

 

 

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2018-12-10 02:06:512018-12-10 01:56:36It’s All About the Cloud
MHFTR

December 10, 2018 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“We hire people who want to make the best things in the world.” – Said Co-Founder of Apple Steve Jobs

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-12-10 02:05:302018-12-10 01:56:09December 10, 2018 - Quote of the Day
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