Global Market Comments
September 14, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(SOME GOOD NEWS FROM TESLA), (TSLA),
(SOME SAGE ADVICE ABOUT ASSET ALLOCATION)
“Fair value doesn’t mean you have to go down. It just means you have to be cautious,” said hedge fund legend David Tepper of Appaloosa Management.
Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 13, 2018
Fiat Lux
The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)
1) Fed Says Labor Shortages Rising, Trade Fears Rampant. In its Beige Book report, America’s central bank concedes that Trump’s foreign adventures are really starting to cost the economy, scaling back capital investment. Click here.
2) Apple (AAPL) Makes a Big Play for the China Market, with its new low-end phones, but will the trade war get in the way? Click here.
3) Turkey Raises Interest Rates to break the collapse in its currency. The move triggers a global “RISK ON” move. The Mad Hedge Market Timing Index rockets back up to 71 in a heartbeat. Click here.
4) General Motors (GM) Recalls 1 Million Trucks and SUVs. Please avoid this sector like the plague. Apparently, the steering wheels don’t work. And you’d think they’d notice it at the factory. Click here.
5) U.S. Median Income Recovers 2007 Level. It’s only taken a decade, but at $61,272 we are finally earning what we did in 2007. Somehow, it doesn’t seem to go as far. Click here.
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:
(EXPANDING MY “TRADE PEACE” PORTFOLIO),
(BABA), (BIDU), (TCTZF) (MU), (LRCX), (KLAC), (EEM),
(FXI), (EWZ), (SOYB), (CORN), (WEAT), (CAT), (DE),
(THE LEAGUE OF EXTRAORDINARY TRADERS),
(THE THREAT TO YOUR DIGITAL LIFE FROM CHATBOTS),
(FB), (GOOGL), (MSFT)
Global Market Comments
September 13, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(EXPANDING MY “TRADE PEACE” PORTFOLIO),
(BABA), (BIDU), (TCTZF) (MU), (LRCX), (KLAC), (EEM),
(FXI), (EWZ), (SOYB), (CORN), (WEAT), (CAT), (DE),
(THE LEAGUE OF EXTRAORDINARY TRADERS)
“When the Dow was down 3,600 points I felt like hugging our computers. The combination of man and machine is wonderful…Computers, math and game theory are the best decision makers there are,” said Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio.
Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 12, 2018
Fiat Lux
The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)
1) Producer Price Index Down 0.1%, versus +0.2% expected. This shocking deflationary print is amazing at the top of an economic cycle. Click here.
2) Apple (AAPL) to Launch Three New Phones Today, but most of the specs have already leaked out. Take profits on the stock. Click here.
3) Semiconductor Stocks Get Clocked Again (LRCX), (MU), with another broker downgrade, and they will continue to fall apart as long as the trade war with China continues. Are we getting close to “BUY” territory? Click here.
4) Risk-Taking in Emerging Countries (EEM) is in Free Fall. If 56% of the global economy is sick, how long will it take for the contagion to spread to us? Click here.
5) Trade Wars to Chop $10 Off S&P 500 Earnings This Year, from $168 to $158, with two-thirds of all companies impacted. The benefits of the tax cuts have been wiped out. When are those midterms again? Click here.
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:
THE FUTURE OF AI ISSUE:
(THE NEW AI BOOK THAT INVESTORS ARE SCRAMBLING FOR),
(GOOG), (FB), (AMZN), MSFT), (BABA), (BIDU),
(TENCENT), (TSLA), (NVDA), (AMD), (MU), (LRCX),
(HOW TO PLAY “SOFTWARE AS A SERVICE”),
(AMZN), (IBM), (ADBE), (CRM), (BABA),
(CSCO), (SAP), (ORCL), (GOOGL)
Global Market Comments
September 12, 2018
Fiat Lux
THE FUTURE OF AI ISSUE
Featured Trade:
(THE NEW AI BOOK THAT INVESTORS ARE SCRAMBLING FOR),
(GOOG), (FB), (AMZN), MSFT), (BABA), (BIDU),
(TENCENT), (TSLA), (NVDA), (AMD), (MU), (LRCX)
“I’m prepared to eat our children because if I don’t, somebody else will,” said Sir Martin Sorrell about the extreme competitiveness of online marketing.
Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 11, 2018
Fiat Lux
The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)
1) Stocks Open Down, on what will be a muted day on 9/11 remembrances. I can’t believe it’s been 17 years. The bloom is coming off the rose as trade wars overhang risk taking. Keep those shorts! Click here.
2) Hedge Fun Guru Ray Dalio Says It’s Time to Go Defensive. The Bridgewater founder also thinks we’re in the seventh inning of the economic recovery. The next bear market won’t be as bad as the last, but the politics could be worse. Sees parallels with the 1935-39 drawdown, when income tax rates were raised to 90% and the rich were vilified for the next 20 years. I’m keeping my shorts. Click here.
3) JOLTS Report Shows 6.93 Million Job Openings in July, a new all-time high. This is what an overheating economy looks like. It’s just a matter of time before we start seeing strikes for high wages. Click here.
4) Small Business Optimism Hits an All-Time High in August, up 0.9 points to 108.8. That’s a 35-year high. Super bullish small businesses are another topping indicator. Click here.
5) Tesla’s (TSLA) Battery Business is Booming, but nobody knows it because of all the hoopla over Elon Musk. The stock is still uninvestable as it hits a new low for the year. Click here.
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:
(A NOTE ON ASSIGNED OPTIONS,
OR OPTIONS CALLED AWAY), (MSFT),
(TEN MORE REASONS WHY BONDS WON’T CRASH),
(TLT), (TBT), (ELD), (MUB),
(IS IT TIME TO PICK UP THE SLACK?),
SLACK WORKSPACE APP
Global Market Comments
September 11, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(A NOTE ON ASSIGNED OPTIONS,
OR OPTIONS CALLED AWAY), (MSFT),
(TEN MORE REASONS WHY BONDS WON’T CRASH),
(TLT), (TBT), (ELD), (MUB)
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