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MHFTF

Take a Look at England’s Amazon

Tech Letter

Amazon’s reign doesn’t touch everything – there are still nooks and crannies of the business world it still doesn’t dominate.

Hard to believe, right?

As Amazon (AMZN) branches off into every known and unknown crevice of the economy to excavate fresh growth drivers, it’s hard to fathom where they won’t be in the future.

Supermarkets are one of the most innovative parts of technology right now, and even with Amazon’s grocery prize of Whole Foods, they are yet to rule over a broad-based grocer empire.

It might behoove you to discover that Kroger (KR) is on the brink of constructing a high-tech, cutting edge supermarket business that could juice up their crusade against Amazon.

In May, Kroger decided on partnering up with British-based online grocer Ocado (LON: OCDO) to build out a full-fledged, automated warehouse acting as the launching pad to their high-tech supermarket aspirations.

Kroger just announced they will identify 3 of the 20 new warehouse sites by the end of 2018 and the search is “making good progress.” These three warehouses should be functional within a year.

This is the best investment Kroger has ever made in the history of the company.

The deal also gave Kroger a 5% stake in Ocado which has no brick and mortar stores.

Even more brilliant, the deal bans Ocado from selling the technology to other American competitors.

Ocado has been voted the best online U.K. grocer by Consumers' Association magazine Which? every year since 2010.

The company went public on the London Stock Exchange in 2010 and its share price has had a banner year.

Shares were trading at £245 just 11 months ago.

The stock has been a battleground company with massive short interest because a contingent of investors believe this is just a simple grocer company.

Some investors value Ocado as a high-tech company and it is obvious which group has won out as this online grocer saw shares catapult to a tad below £1200 only to slightly retrace and consolidate.

Ocado shares are still hovering around £900 giving credence to this high-tech grocer amidst a country that is bereft of technology companies.

Softbank’s buy of Arm Holdings was the crown jewel of British tech companies to be pocketed and taken off the public markets.

Imagination Technologies was also a blockbuster name that went private after Apple infamously announced it would stop incorporating Imagination Technologies’ system-on-a-chip accounting for over half of total revenue.

Shares cratered by 70% and the company was picked up on the cheap like hawks swooping on prey by private equity fund Canyon Bridge, who is backed by the Chinese communist government.

Ocado is the torch bearer for Britain now and the smorgasbord of deals signed with France, Sweden, Canada and America indicate their intent to be a major tech player.

The breathtaking short-squeeze has put bears on alert shying away from their oversized sell button as they have been epically burnt on this trade.

This love them or hate them online grocer plans to license out its industry leading proprietary technology to revolutionize legacy supermarkets such as Kroger.

The stellar performance by Amazon has fueled its competition’s ambition to up its game in any way possible, boding well for the consumer who will benefit from better services and lower prices.

Ocado’s 20 automated warehouses dotted around America will take three years to complete.

Simply put, Ocado is best in show at building these supermarket automated warehouses and could receive a windfall of revenue around the world as grocers from all corners of the world revolutionize logistical processes. 

Of the 260,000 orders they receive per week in Britain, error rates have plummeted to a subterranean level of less than 1%.

The whole process is closely monitored by algorithms, scanning, identifying and optimizing each step of the process.

Ocado’s algorithms are quite masterful – they have been programmed to even sort a bag of groceries so the eggs aren’t squashed at the bottom of the order by a sack of potatoes.

The insides are placed for perfection like the interior of Château de Malmaison straddling the suburbs of Paris, France.

These ideally placed items can travel up to 20 miles in Ocado’s boxes.

This might be fine for a land-challenged country like Britain, but distances are grotesquely larger in America, and making sure perishables arrive fit as a fiddle offers complexities to Ocado’s engineering team.

To root out any bugs, Ocado’s phalanx of engineers create digital clones of a functional warehouse mimicking the location-specific conditions and operations to eradicate any faulty processes that crop up.

This has allowed Ocado to refine different models adding to the team’s scope of versatility.

Each set of geographies will present unique challenges and adapting to local needs of each grocer will be a key to harness profitability.

Ultimately, Ocado is not new to this – they have been cultivating this type of technology for 15 years.

Drench Ocado’s model with more technology and it has become faster, more efficient, and systematically accurate.

Humans have been shipped out in favor of a bagging robot that separates out the orders needing to be placed in certain crates.

Humans are redeployed up the value chain of work and retrained as management delegates the lower grade tasks to be taken over by machines.

Ocado’s delivery vehicles are tricked out with telemetry systems, an automated communications process by which measurements and other data are collected remotely in order to ameliorate the delivery time schedules.

Betting the ranch on enhancing the technology, Ocado has rolled out a freshly designed robot that can stack and sort boxes in stacks of up to 21 boxes high.

And here is the kicker – the artificially intelligence-based technology has outsized cross-over effect applicable to a myriad of industries that require warehouses as a main input in an operation which could spawn massive layers of potential profits.

The deep commitment to innovation is costly and investors will always be anxious about the margin story, but that should not be reason to jump ship.

There is no seat at the table if a company is not armed and wielding the best technology current engineering can create.

Top-class engineers aren’t cheap, and like their brethren in Silicon Valley, engineers continue to be tech firm’s largest cost but their best asset.

Machine learning is also deployed across the customer service support platforms to ensure any complaints do not repeat.

Eventually, Ocado hopes to automate everything and once self-driving technologies become customary, they will do away with the human driver too.

They have already carried out tests showing their capabilities of functioning with this technology and did a stint of 2 weeks with little problem.

This May was the first time Ocado netted a nations big fish supermarket business with 1,300-store strong ICA Sweden.

ICA has carved out Swedish market share approaching a third.

Ocado is capitalizing on the new sense of urgency from legacy supermarkets to pivot towards technology to bolster profits.

Online supermarkets were once discarded but now seek to seize 15% of the grocery market share on the way to 20%.

Assuming that 10% is the peak is wrong especially with Ocado’s supermarket warehouse technology.

Most recently, Instacart partnered with German discount supermarket Aldi to offer delivery service.

Ocado has absolutely started to spread its wings by licensing its robot-laden supermarket warehouse technology and this is just the beginning.

More deals will be in the pipeline and consumers will much rather shop for groceries online now.

To admire the scope of Ocado’s pioneering expertise, this is their revolutionary warehouse system controlled by air traffic control technology with R2-D2-like robots careening around on a grid set-up fulfilling orders – click here to watch the video. 

 

 

 

BEST OF BREED WAREHOUSE TECHNOLOGY

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Ocado-cart.png 583 927 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2018-10-02 09:52:082018-10-02 13:51:26Take a Look at England’s Amazon
MHFTF

October 2, 2018

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
October 2, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(TAKE A LOOK AT ENGLAND’S AMAZON),
(LON: OCDO), (KR), (AMZN)
(WE'RE MAKING SOME CHANGES HERE AT THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER)

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MHFTF

October 2, 2018 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“Only the mediocre are always at their best,” said the late American comedian Jonathan Winters.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2018-10-02 09:30:552018-10-02 13:14:43October 2, 2018 - Quote of the Day
MHFTF

October 2, 2018 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Technology's always taken jobs out of the system, and what you hope is that technology's going to put those jobs back in, too. That's what we call productivity.” – Said Salesforce Founder, Chairman and Co-CEO Marc Benioff

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Marc-Benioff.png 314 191 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2018-10-02 09:30:332018-10-02 14:27:16October 2, 2018 - Quote of the Day
MHFTF

October 1, 2018 - MDT Alert (CELG)

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2018-10-01 17:26:142018-10-01 17:26:14October 1, 2018 - MDT Alert (CELG)
MHFTF

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 1, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 1, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Trade Deal Struck with Canada, saving NAFTA, and stocks rocket. ANY positive news on trade will deliver huge short covering rallies. What a start to Q4! Good thing I reestablished my longs last week. Click here. 

2) Money is Still Pouring Into the US. Some $2.2 billion in fund flows poured out of foreign equities and $1.6 billion into US equities in the first half. Everyone wants to come to the Land of Oz. With strong earnings and a robust currency what’s not to like? Click here.

3) General Electric (GE) Dumps Its CEO, after only a year and the stock rockets 17%. It looks like the hedge fund that makes light bulbs still hasn’t found the “ON” switch. Click here. 

4) Tesla Cuts Deal with the SEC, and the stock soars 20%. The shorts get burned yet again. Elon Musk will take a two-year vacation from the CEO job but will keep all the others. With the Defense Department now dependent on Musk to get their spy satellites into orbit there was no way the case against him was ever going anywhere. Click here.

5) The 30-Year Mortgage Rate Closes in on 5%, and the “FOR SALE” sign are breaking out like a rash on prom night. This is where government crowding out of private borrowers starts. Click here.

 
Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or DON’T NOMINATE ME!),
(AMZN), (NVDA), (AAPL), (MSFT), (GLD), (ABX), (GOLD),

(OCTOBER 26-27 MAD HEDGE LAKE TAHOE CONFERENCE)

(ZINC AIR BATTERIES WILL REVOLUTIONIZE ELECTRIC CARS)

(TSLA), (NIO), (FB), (GOOGL), (NFLX)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2018-10-01 15:02:342018-10-01 15:39:51Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 1, 2018
MHFTF

October 1, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTF https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTF2018-10-01 12:55:442018-10-01 12:55:44October 1, 2018 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
MHFTR

October 1, 2018

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
October 1, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD,
or DON’T NOMINATE ME!),
(AMZN), (NVDA), (AAPL), (MSFT), (GLD), (ABX), (GOLD),
(JOIN US AT THE MAD HEDGE LAKE TAHOE, NEVADA,
CONFERENCE, OCTOBER 26-27, 2018)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-10-01 01:08:182018-09-28 20:44:07October 1, 2018
MHFTR

The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or Don’t Nominate Me!

Diary, Newsletter, Research

I have a request for all of you readers. Please do not nominate me for justice of the Supreme Court.

I have no doubt that I could handle the legal load. A $17 copy of Litigation for Dummies from Amazon would take care of that.

I just don’t think I could get through the approval process. There isn’t a room on Capitol Hill big enough to house all the people who have issues with my high school background.

In 1968, I ran away from home, hitchhiked across the Sahara Desert, was captured by the Russian Army when they invaded Czechoslovakia, and had my front teeth knocked out by a flying cobblestone during a riot in Paris. I pray what went on in Sweden never sees the light of day.

So, I’m afraid you’ll have to look elsewhere to fill a seat in the highest court in the land. Good luck with that.

The most conspicuous market action of the week took place when several broker upgrades of major technology stocks. Amazon (AMZN) was targeted for $2,525, NVIDIA (NVDA) was valued at $400, and JP Morgan, always late to the game (it’s the second mouse that gets the cheese), predicted Apple (AAPL) would hit a lofty $270.

That would make Steve Jobs’ creation worth an eye-popping $1.3 trillion.

The Mad Hedge Market Timing Index dove down to a two-month low at 46. That was enough to prompt me to jump back into the market with a few cautious longs in Amazon and Microsoft (MSFT). The fourth quarter is now upon us and the chase for performance is on. Big, safe tech stocks could well rally well into 2019.

Facebook (FB) announced a major security breach affecting 50 million accounts and the shares tanked by $5. That prompted some to recommend a name change to “Faceplant.”

The economic data is definitely moving from universally strong to mixed, with auto and home sales falling off a cliff. Those are big chunks of the economy that are missing in action. If you’re looking for another reason to lose sleep, oil prices hit a four-year high, topping $80 in Europe.

The trade wars are taking specific bites out of sections of the economy, helping some and damaging others. Expect to pay a lot more for Christmas, and farmers are going to end up with a handful of rotten soybeans in their stockings.

Barrick Gold (ABX) took over Randgold (GOLD) to create the world’s largest gold company. Such activity usually marks long-term bottoms, which has me looking at call spreads in the barbarous relic once again.

With inflation just over the horizon and commodities in general coming out of a six-year bear market, that may not be such a bad idea. Copper (FCX) saw its biggest up day in two years.

The midterms are mercifully only 29 trading days away, and their removal opens the way for a major rally in stocks. It makes no difference who wins. The mere elimination of the uncertainty is worth at least 10% in stock appreciation over the next year.

At this point, the most likely outcome is a gridlocked Congress, with the Republicans holding only two of California’s 52 House seats. And stock markets absolutely LOVE a gridlocked Congress.

Also helping is that company share buybacks are booming, hitting $189 billion in Q2, up 60% YOY, the most in history. At this rate the stock market will completely disappear in 20 years.

On Wednesday, we got our long-expected 25 basis-point interest rate rise from the Federal Reserve. Three more Fed rate hikes are promised in 2019, after a coming December hike, which will take overnight rates up to 3.00% to 3.25%. Wealth is about to transfer from borrowers to savers in a major way.

The performance of the Mad Hedge Fund Trader Alert Service eked out a 0.81% return in the final days of September. My 2018 year-to-date performance has retreated to 27.82%, and my trailing one-year return stands at 35.84%.

My nine-year return appreciated to 304.29%. The average annualized return stands at 34.40%. I hope you all feel like you’re getting your money’s worth.

This coming week will bring the jobspalooza on the data front.

On Monday, October 1, at 9:45 AM, we learn the August PMI Manufacturing Survey.

On Tuesday, October 2, nothing of note takes place.

On Wednesday October 3 at 8:15 AM, the first of the big three jobs numbers is out with the ADP Employment Report of private sector hiring. At 10:00 AM, the August PMI Services is published.

Thursday, October 4 leads with the Weekly Jobless Claims at 8:30 AM EST, which rose 13,000 last week to 214,000. At 10:00 AM, September Factory Orders is released.
 
On Friday, October 5, at 8:30 AM, we learn the September Nonfarm Payroll Report. The Baker Hughes Rig Count is announced at 1:00 PM EST.

As for me, it’s fire season now, and that can only mean one thing: 1,000 goats have appeared in my front yard.

The country hires them every year to eat the wild grass on the hillside leading up to my house. Five days later there is no grass left, but a mountain of goat poop and a much lesser chance that a wildfire will burn down my house.

Ah, the pleasures of owning a home in California!

Good luck and good trading.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

We’re Taking Calls Now

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/trailing-one-year-image-1-1-e1538166658317.jpg 365 580 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-10-01 01:07:252018-10-04 13:06:00The Market Outlook for the Week Ahead, or Don’t Nominate Me!
MHFTR

October 1, 2018

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
October 1, 2018
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(ZINC AIR BATTERIES WILL REVOLUTIONIZE ELECTRIC CARS),
(TSLA), (NIO), (FB), (GOOGL), (NFLX)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 MHFTR https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png MHFTR2018-10-01 01:07:002018-09-28 19:56:13October 1, 2018
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