• support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Member Login
Mad Hedge Fund Trader
  • Home
  • About
  • Store
  • Luncheons
  • Testimonials
  • Contact Us
  • Click to open the search input field Click to open the search input field Search
  • Menu Menu
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 28, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
May 28, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE IRS LETTER YOU SHOULD DREAD),
(PANW), (CSCO), (FEYE),
 (CYBR), (CHKP), (HACK), (SNE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-28 09:04:252020-05-28 09:26:24May 28, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (ADBE) May 27, 2020 - BUY

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 11:44:512020-05-27 11:44:51Trade Alert - (ADBE) May 27, 2020 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 27, 2020

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
May 27, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE NEXT DIGITAL ARMS RACE IS HERE),
(SPOT), (AMZN), (AAPL), (GOOGL), (FB)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 10:04:362020-05-27 11:37:17May 27, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Next Digital Arms Race is Here

Tech Letter

The arms race for digital content is on and the next leg of the race is all about podcasts.

Wasn’t it just a few years ago that nobody listened to podcasts but kids?

Well, the surge in popularity recently has been nothing short of unfathomable with podcast personality of the stars such as Joe Rogan raking in 190 million downloads per month.

The "off the beaten path" media vehicle has exploited holes left by legacy media and the numbers back me up.

The tech world has taken note of this growing trend with reports that Apple is preparing to double down on original podcast content, purchasing shows that would become exclusive to its Apple platforms.

Apple (AAPL) would most likely try to sync new podcasts with Apple TV+ content and eventually cross-pollinate the video-streaming service.

Nothing has been as catchy as Spotify’s deep investments into the podcast world with $700 million combined for Parcast, Gimlet, Anchor, The Ringer, and The Joe Rogan Experience exclusivity.

Investors have rewarded Spotify for their aggressive strategy and shares are now trading over $190, up from $110 just a few months ago.

Spotify is all about the digital ad model and the coronavirus pandemic has shown us that TV ads are in a death spiral with ad companies like Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOGL) holding up the digital ad stakeholders.

I will say that the loss of Joe Rogan to YouTube is painful for Alphabet and they could likely continue to bleed big accounts until they cough on the money to buy premium content for itself.

Certain content is worth paying the premium for exclusivity or even overpaying for like a top-five NFL quarterback and podcasts are the new battleground to reach the populace who are fed up with sanitized legacy media who have been throttled by the U.S. culture wars.

“The Joe Rogan Experience” is the top podcast in America in terms of listeners and cultural influence and its over 300 million base is a massive win for Spotify (SPOT).

Rogan has leaped to great heights by interviewing guests like Tesla’s Elon Musk and smoking weed with him on set.

Amazon (AMZN) is reportedly looking for burgeoning podcast talent to fuse with its smart speaker assets.

No doubt the big boys are readying the bazookas.

I believe we are about to see the cornering of all popular podcast shows and the data backs up this strategy for big tech who will most likely become buyers because of their deep pockets.

Over 37% of the U.S. population devour podcasts at least once a month, or 104 million people.

Popular podcasts are ad revenue bell cows.

For instance, Rogan advertises directly to his audience and has brands backing him such as 23andme, Blue Apron, Square’s Cash App, Casper, Dollar Shave Club, Postmates, and Quibi.

The number of monthly podcast listeners jumped 16% in the last year and has doubled since 2015.

Over 55% of monthly podcast listeners are between ages 12 and 34 meaning the content is influential to the daily discourse of popular culture and an incubator of trend formation.

Barstool Sports has more than 30 podcasts and is a top 10 U.S. podcast publisher, with more monthly podcast listeners than sports channel distributor ESPN.

Podcasts are here to stay and the industry’s best will gravitate towards the most lucrative offers.

It doesn’t matter what platforms want to host them because their giant audiences will follow.

After Spotify’s buy of Rogan’s podcast, Apple, Facebook, Google, and Amazon must be contemplating their next move.

The reason we promulgate trades in big tech is because of their nimbleness in adapting their revenue models to the revenues drop off points.

The acceleration of entrenched trends like cord-cutting and digital media adoption offers a great boost to digital products like podcasts.

In the past quarter, legacy media has lost another 2 million subscribers representing a 6% loss.

Keeping tabs on who scoops up the best podcasts will be a lead indicator in who is harnessing funds to secure the best digital content.

My guess is that it is big tech and they will only become more diverse and powerful.

Digital content podcasts

 

digital content podcasts

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 10:02:322020-05-27 21:23:20The Next Digital Arms Race is Here
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 27, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Tech Letter

“Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.” – Said Artist Pablo Picasso

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/picasso.png 234 266 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 10:00:262020-05-27 10:25:50May 27, 2020 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 27, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to a six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 09:22:272020-05-27 09:22:27May 27, 2020 - MDT Pro Tips
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 27, 2020

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
May 27, 2020
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(JOIN THE JUNE 4 TRADERS & INVESTORS SUMMIT),
(IT’S NOT YOU FATHER’S MARINE CORPS)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 09:06:482020-05-27 08:52:08May 27, 2020
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

It’s Not Your Father’s Marine Corps

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

This being the week for Memorial Day, I think I will be forgiven for posting one more military piece.

Most Americans don’t know that the US Marine Corps is the oldest government institution in the United States. It was founded at Tun Tavern on Water Street in Philadelphia on November 10, 1775, nearly eight months before the establishment of the country itself on July 4, 1776.

Their original mission was to act as snipers from the top of ships’ masts against British ships, engage in hand-to-hand combat when boarding the enemy, and preventing mutinies by press-ganged crews. It was truly a different age.

Having been involved with the USMC for nearly 50 years in many forms, following in the footsteps of my father in WWII and my grandfather in WWI, I can tell you than many Marines have not strayed far from a bar since.

During the past 245 years, the Marine Corps has built a storied reputation as an elite force of shock troops which will fight anywhere at any time. They literally went into battle from the “shores of Montezuma to the shores of Tripoli”, according to the Marine Corps Hymn.

Over the past century, my own family has served at Belleau Wood, France, where the Germans gave them their nickname, the “Devil Dogs.” Dad was at Guadalcanal, Bougainville, Samoa, and New Zealand.

My own contribution included Cambodia, Guam, Japan, Thailand, Burma, Laos, Croatia, Serbia, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and most recently, Guadalcanal. We have a family footlocker of war souvenirs to die for. Yes, three months ago I was digging out Japanese bullets fired at dad from his foxhole at the base of Hill 27 (click here for the link).

Now, for the first time in nearly three centuries, the Corps is undergoing radical change. Since 1990, it has been primarily engaged in desert warfare in the Middle East, far from its naval roots. Now that the US has largely withdrawn from this part of the world, it is remaking itself to meet future challenges. In short, it is going back to sea.

In 2018, the Pentagon engaged in a ground-up rethink of its mission. It concluded that “great power competition with China and Russia” would become its primary mission. The consequences are earth-shaking for both the USMC and the country as a whole.

The emergence of high-precision Chinese long-range missiles has rendered an American WWII style dominance of the Western Pacific by our ten aircraft carriers obsolete. These massive, majestic ships manned by 5,000 men each have become white elephants and liabilities in future warfare.

They will be replaced by fast-moving commando-type companies of 50-150 Marines moving atoll to island and bottling up the Chinese Navy with high tech drones, rockets, and anti-ship missiles. The traditional 12-man rifle company platoon is gone. The costly carriers will be reduced to safer support roles thousands of miles at sea.

The implications for the USMC are far-reaching. General David H. Berger, the gentleman who sent me to Guadalcanal, has proposed cutting the Corps from 186,000 to 170,000 men. He will eliminate most artillery, all tanks, and cut the number of F-35 fighters by 30%. The new structure would be designed to work anywhere in the world at a moment’s notice. You can never predict the next crisis, so you have to prepared for all contingencies.

During my reserve days, I once commanded a Marine tank battalion on maneuvers. The indestructible M-1 Abrams tanks were powered by turbine engines, possessed a faultless laser sighting system, and drove like a Cadillac right of the assembly line over the cruelest desert terrain.

But at 50 tons each, they are hard to move around in a hurry. During Desert Shield and Desert Storm, we had to enlist a coal-fired WWII mothball fleet to get them to Saudi Arabia and even that took six months.

As for the 155 mm howitzer, they have been outmoded since WWII.  All-weather Boeing AH64D Apache Longbow helicopters are far more mobile and effective and can refuel air to air. But every weapons system breeds its own constituency. Everyone agrees with me except artillerymen.

In the end, it will be politics that determines the future of the Marine Corps. Constancies fight bitterly to hold on to antiquated weapons system to preserve jobs. I remember that during Desert Storm, a Florida congressman fought tooth and nail to keep a massive Humvee contract even though with no armor, they were helpless against IEDs. Hundreds of Marines died as a result.

The same will be true for M1 tanks built in Ohio, the F-35 Lightning II manufactured in Texas, and nuclear-powered aircraft carriers in Virginia.

Notice these are all battleground states in this election. How you vote may determine where I next serve. So, vote carefully.

To participate in the discussion of our future national defense, please click here.

Semper Fidelis.

An Old Marine on Guadalcanal

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/marines.png 450 335 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 09:02:062020-06-22 11:45:44It’s Not Your Father’s Marine Corps
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 27, 2020 - Quote of the Day

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

“By the time you spot a bandwagon, it is too late to get on,” said Sir Martin Franklin, co-chairman of the APi Group.

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/bandwagon.png 246 393 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-27 09:00:092020-05-27 08:59:08May 27, 2020 - Quote of the Day
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 26, 2020 - MDT Alert (CTXS)

MDT Alert

Today, I would like to make a suggestion on a stock that appears to be ready to bounce.

The stock is Citrix Systems, Inc. (CTXS).

I am going to suggest a debit spread, but I will suggest using short-dated options.

Here is the trade:

Buy to Open July 12th - $138.00 call @ $3.40

Sell to Open July 12th - $142.00 call @ $2.05

The net debit will be $1.35 per spread, with a maximum gain of $2.65 per spread.

Based on the nominal portfolio, limit the trade to 6 spreads or about .8% of the portfolio.

I am suggesting you limit the buy in to less than 1% of the nominal portfolio because the expiration date is only two and one-half weeks away.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2020-05-26 13:18:452020-05-26 13:18:45May 26, 2020 - MDT Alert (CTXS)
Page 108 of 187«‹106107108109110›»

tastytrade, Inc. (“tastytrade”) has entered into a Marketing Agreement with Mad Hedge Fund Trader (“Marketing Agent”) whereby tastytrade pays compensation to Marketing Agent to recommend tastytrade’s brokerage services. The existence of this Marketing Agreement should not be deemed as an endorsement or recommendation of Marketing Agent by tastytrade and/or any of its affiliated companies. Neither tastytrade nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. tastytrade does not warrant the accuracy or content of the products or services offered by Marketing Agent or this website. Marketing Agent is independent and is not an affiliate of tastytrade. 

Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

Copyright © 2025. Mad Hedge Fund Trader. All Rights Reserved. support@madhedgefundtrader.com
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • FAQ
Scroll to top