The U.S. companies listed below have a high revenue exposure to China. If the Chinese economic recovery post pandemic loses momentum, a negative trend may ensue.
Goldman Sachs has analysed company 10K filings to determine the geographic revenue exposure of each stock in the S&P 500. What they found was that several of the stocks had revenue exposure to Greater China of over 40%.
If the recovery from strict covid measures remains muted, these stocks could be hurt. Early in the year, consumer and business activity was largely robust, but this has since faded.
On the other hand, if China turns on the taps and lets loose with policy stimulus to boost growth, these companies tied to the nation could see a near-term tailwind.
Companies that generate a significant number of sales from Greater China were exclusively in the chip industry, according to Goldman.
Semiconductors have been caught up in the U.S.-China battle for tech dominance. Washington has tried to cut China and Chinese firms off through sanctions and export restrictions in the past few years, including blacklisting Huawei.
The U.S. also introduced broader chip restrictions last year, aiming to deprive Chinese firms of critical semiconductors that could serve artificial intelligence and more advanced applications.
Monolithic Power Systems is on the top of the list with 65% of its 2022 revenue derived from Greater China, according to Goldman. The stock has gained about 18% this year.
Qualcomm also generated more than 60% of its revenue from the region. Qualcomm recently saw a big decline in sales from handset chips, a core business for the company. CEO Cristiano Amon has pointed out that there has been no evidence that smartphone sales are recovering in China.
I’ll leave you today with this possibility. Traders in the fed funds futures are assigning a roughly 1 in 4 probability that the FOMC increases its benchmark rate by another 25 basis points following the June 13-14 meeting, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tracker.
Have a great weekend.
Cheers,
Jacque
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png00Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-19 22:00:312023-05-22 11:00:25May 19, 2023
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline.Read more
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg135150Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-19 15:35:012023-05-19 15:38:26Trade Alert - (AMZN) May 19, 2023 - EXPIRATION AT MAX PROFIT
It’s no surprise that the technology industry led other sectors to the number of job cuts in 2022.
It found more than 150,000 tech workers received pink slips in the year, a 900% increase from 2021.
In 2023, tech layoffs continue throughout various firms, and let’s go through some of the prominent ones.
Microsoft (MSFT) announced cuts to 10,000 workers, representing approximately 5% of the company's workforce.
Amazon (AMZN) announced 18,000 layoffs across many of the company's business areas, including Amazon Web Services, its healthcare businesses, the robotics unit, and many others.
Google announced 12,000 job cuts in January.
Tech hiring took off during the pandemic as the societal shift toward digital services meant technology firms needed to iterate and boost efficiency.
Many companies became too bold in hiring and in some cases, didn’t have enough work for the new workers.
Growth cratered as the pandemic eased, interest rates rose, and inflation cut into personal spending and increased many business expenses. Tech companies also need capital to invest in artificial intelligence (AI) or other innovations, and reducing staffing is one way to generate cash.
Amid these private company layoffs are reports of current and recently laid off employees dumping private shares, as they need capital in the face of falling valuations.
Another driver for private share selling is the low number of initial public offerings (IPOs), which reached the lowest point in 20 years in 2022.
The lack of potential windfalls from an IPO pushed more employees to sell some of their private shares, which then drops their companies' valuations. Lower valuations impact a company's ability to raise additional capital and strain the available venture capital funds.
The broad-based decimation of high-paying Silicon Valley jobs might be the trigger that plants the seeds for the new era of technology.
One of many unintended consequences of the “great resignation” of 2022 that bled into 2023 is that it refuels the pool of talent across the tech sector.
Many of these workers will find employment with other tech firms for a lot higher pay, but others will take the opportunity to launch their own startups.
A survey of 1,000 laid-off tech workers found 63% of the respondents started their own company after their layoff. And tech workers reported they made more money after starting a company.
Obviously, the new talent won’t be able to produce innovative products right away because of the lag involved.
However, put that many great minds in one room, something genius is bound to sprout up.
And I’m not talking about something marginal like buy now, pay later which is just another variation of a payment service.
I do believe we are on the cusp of another technological renaissance that could boost tech revenues 10-fold.
The pandemic reinforced the trend that many of the Silicon Valley headliners were burnt out. Many took the chance to move to Texas or the beaches in Florida.
I do believe that the next innovative wave is on the way and this time it won’t come from California because so much of the talent left.
In the short-term, these big job cuts from established tech royalty will contribute to higher stock prices but it will send the fired on a mission to reimagine themselves in the form of generation-changing innovation and productivity.
Generative A.I. is just one example of that.
Until then, expect big tech shares to grind up. I hear how bearish everyone is, but point me to someone that is actually selling.
Take for instance the supposed activist genius Carl Icahn, who recently reported of gargantuan multi-billion dollar losses over the past few years because he bet on a tech crash.
As long as there are investors, expect tech shares ($COMPQ) to march higher.
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png00Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-19 15:02:552023-05-30 01:16:44Don't Count Out The Tech Sector
As this bear market lingers, my attention keeps gravitating toward healthcare and insurance stocks.
Why, you ask? Well, let me break it down for you into three compelling points that make them enticing options for investors, especially when the market isn't at its finest.
First, there's the allure of steady demand. You see, healthcare insurance isn't just a luxury or a fleeting trend—it's a necessity. No matter the economic landscape, people will always require healthcare services, ensuring a consistent demand. And when it comes to investing, stability, and predictability are music to my ears. I mean, who doesn't appreciate a good dose of stability and predictability?
Second is the potential for growth. As the American population continues to age and healthcare costs skyrocket, the need for reliable healthcare insurance providers becomes more pronounced. It's like witnessing a golden opportunity for growth unfold right before our eyes. While I typically lean towards income-focused investments, the idea of capitalizing on an industry that has growth potential when others are merely treading water? Well, that's quite appealing, isn't it?
Third is its resilience to economic downturns. This one's a game-changer. When the economy takes a nosedive, people tighten their belts and cut back on discretionary spending. However, healthcare is an area where they're reluctant to compromise. It takes precedence. So, even in the face of economic turmoil, healthcare insurance providers remain steadfast. They possess an inherent ability to weather the storm and come out stronger. And let me tell you, that's the kind of resilience that can truly make a difference in your investment portfolio.
A promising contender in my search for long-term healthcare stocks is Stryker Corporation (SYK).
With a market capitalization of $113 billion, it ranks second globally, just behind Medtronic (MDT). Established in 1941, Stryker is a leading technology company specializing in the development and production of medical devices and equipment. Operating across multiple healthcare niches, Stryker holds a prominent position as one of the world's largest medical technology firms, focusing on three niches.
One is orthopedics, where the company focuses on the creation of devices for joint replacement, trauma care, spinal repair, and complementary surgical instruments.
Another is the MedSurg segment, which specializes in the development and manufacturing of medical and surgical equipment, encompassing endoscopic and imaging systems, as well as powered surgical tools.
The last is its Neurotechnology and Spine segment, which provides an array of cutting-edge neurosurgical and spinal devices, including advanced implants, instruments, and biologics.
The aging population, with its accompanying surge in healthcare demand, presents a goldmine of opportunities for Stryker. With a comprehensive array of medical and surgical solutions, Stryker is well-equipped to cater to the evolving needs of this expanding demographic.
As the elderly population increases and their healthcare requirements surge, Stryker stands poised to capitalize on this significant market shift. Moreover, the company is at the forefront of innovation in the field of orthopedics.
Recognizing the growing number of hip and knee replacement surgeries performed on an aging population, Stryker made a game-changing move in 2013 by acquiring the Mako robotic-arm-assisted surgery system.
The Mako system is a remarkable combination of cutting-edge technology and surgical expertise. Picture a robotic arm seamlessly integrated into the surgical process, guided by a skilled surgeon and a sophisticated computer system.
What sets the Mako system apart is its ability to achieve remarkable precision. By meticulously placing the implant with pinpoint accuracy, the system ensures better alignment, enhanced stability, and improved overall joint function.
But Stryker's efforts to innovate don’t end with the Mako system.
Their dedication to advancing medical technology is evident in their other divisions as well. In the field of endoscopy, Stryker has developed advanced visualization systems that enhance the accuracy and efficiency of minimally invasive surgeries. These systems provide surgeons with a clear and detailed view of the surgical site, empowering them to perform procedures with greater precision and effectiveness.
Stryker's initiatives in research and development also continue to yield impressive results.
Just last September 2022, they introduced the Q Guidance System, a groundbreaking navigation software designed to aid surgeons in surgical planning and execution. With the FDA's approval for usage in pediatric patients aged 13 and above, this software elevates the standards of computer-assisted surgeries. By simplifying preoperative planning, navigation, and execution, the Q Guidance System takes surgical precision to new heights.
And that's not all.
The company also aims to address bone fractures. Their recent launch of the Gamma4 System demonstrates their dedication to helping orthopedic surgeons treat both stable and unstable fractures effectively.
It's clear that Stryker is pushing the boundaries of medical technology.
But more impressively, these launches were just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to the flurry of exciting product releases that have been making waves over the past year, contributing to a remarkable 13.2% surge in Stryker's organic net sales for the quarter.
Thanks to strategic acquisitions in Stryker's medsurg and neurotechnology divisions, net sales experienced an additional boost of 1.3%. However, let's not forget the mischievous foreign currency translation, which played the spoilsport, causing a 3.8% decline. Blame it on the company's extensive global presence and the disproportionately robust U.S. dollar.
Sure, Stryker's current dividend yield of 1.1% might not have income investors doing cartwheels when compared to the S&P 500's 1.6% yield. But hold your horses, because that's not where this company truly shines.
Stryker has practically tripled its quarterly dividend per share, going from a humble $0.265 in 2013 to a robust $0.75 this year, making it a bona fide dividend growth stock.
And here's the cherry on top: with a dividend payout ratio expected to hover just below 30% in 2023, Stryker has plenty of room to stretch its dividend muscles further.
This low payout ratio allows the company to allocate capital towards strategic acquisitions, debt reduction, and share repurchases. In other words, it's a recipe for fueling future adjusted diluted EPS growth.
Peering into the crystal ball, the future looks bright for Stryker over the next five years. Stryker knows how to keep the growth engine revving by channeling their efforts into research and development. By continuously fine-tuning their existing products, they ensure steady progress, even if it doesn't set the world on fire due to the more laid-back pace of their markets.
https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png00Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-18 20:00:322023-05-30 14:51:14Investment Opportunities Amidst Uncertainties
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline.Read more
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg135150Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-18 10:18:562023-05-18 10:18:56Trade Alert - (TLT) May 18, 2023 - TAKE PROFITS - SELL
Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader’s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Boca Raton, Florida on Friday, May 19, 2023. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question-and-answer period.
I’ll be giving you my up-to-date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I’ll be throwing a few surprises out there too. Tickets are available for $295.
I’ll be arriving on time and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one-on-one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets.
The lunch will be held at an exclusive private resort on the beach in Boca Raton. The precise location will be emailed with your purchase confirmation.
I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my research.
To purchase tickets for this luncheon, please click here or click on the Buy Now! above.
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/boca-raton.jpg543727Mad Hedge Fund Traderhttps://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.pngMad Hedge Fund Trader2023-05-18 09:04:092023-06-29 10:15:43SOLD OUT - Friday, May 19, 2023 Boca Raton, Florida Global Strategy Luncheon
Legal Disclaimer
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.