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Hot Tips

  • October 7, 2021

    1. Bitcoin Goes Ballistic ….Again,

      topping $55,000, with golden crosses setting up on several crypto charts. Everyone is trying to front-run the full SEC approval of Crypto ETFs. Get on the train before it leaves the station. Our crypto plays are up 25%-87% in a week! $66,000 is in the cards for yearend….and maybe the “laser eyes” target of $100,000. Get the Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter by clicking here.

    2. Putin Plays Ball,

      offering to relieve Europe’s natural gas shortfall. Prices instantly fell 7% off a seven-year high. But at what price? Stocks rallied 500 points on the news and bonds sold off….again.

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    3. A Short-Term Debt Deal is on the Table.

      Taking pressure off risk assets everywhere and dumping bonds.

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    4. Airlines See Light at End of Tunnel,

      cutting losses from $51.8 billion in 2021 to only $11.6 billion in 2022. With Covid waning now, they only have to deal with rocketing fuel costs. Buy (AKL) and (LUV) on dips.

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    5. Tesla Hit with $137 Million Judgment

      of a racial discrimination suit. Expect it to get whittled down on appeal. It’s not a factor for the stock. Buy (TSLA) on dips, now at a nine-month high.

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  • October 6, 2021

    1. Mad Hedge Hits New All-Time High,

      up 82.77% year-to-date and 3.17% so far in October. I’m heavy into financials and should be up 90% on the year by the October 15 options expirations. The harder I work the luckier I get.

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    2. Big Tech Bounces Hard.

      The current selloff is due to the supply chain mess which is slowing earnings. Today’s buyers are clearly looking through to the other side of the debacle when earnings reaccelerate. Buy Teslas at Yugo prices.

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    3. SEC Won’t Ban Crypto,

      as the Chinese just did, confesses agency head Gary Gensler. Gensler is one of the world’s leading authorities on the subject and taught a class at MIT. All crypto plays took off like a rocket on the news, with Bitcoin topping $50,000. Almost every crypto is setting up a golden cross to the upside into yearend.

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    4. Goldman Sachs Raises (SPY) Target to $470

      by yearend, finally matching the production I made in January 1. That’s 9% higher from current levels. Financials will lead and tech will take a break.

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    5. IMF Cuts Global GDP Forecast to Just Under 6%.

      Supply chain worries are the big problem. Vaccine “have” countries are doing much better than the “have nots.” It’s still one of the highest growth rates in history.

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  • October 5, 2021

    1. Facebook Gets Slammed

      on a whistleblower report claiming that the company favors profit over safety. The stock got hammed by 5% and is 15% off its recent high. Imagine! That’s like claiming there is gambling in the casino as Silicon Valley insiders knowingly nod. (FB) led the charge to the downside for all of big tech and could be zeroing in on the 200-day moving average at $315.41. It might light a fire under Congress to ban dual share classes which keep Mark Zuckerberg in control no matter what happens. For good measure, all of (FB)’s apps yesterday suffered their biggest global hack ever.

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    2. OPEC Cuts a Deal with Russia.

      They maintained the existing quota increases rather than boosting them to take advantage of high prices. Texas Tea soared.

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    3. Cash Flows into Cryptos for 7th Straight Week,

      says Coinshares, a digital asset manager. The Mad Hedge Bitcoin Market Timing Index shows the same. The news flow is building for an upside breakout before yearend.

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    4. 80% of Norway’s New Car Sales are EVs,

      and 30% of those were Teslas. The Nordic country does benefit from the cheapest electric power costs in Europe with massive hydroelectric resources. Its goal is to ban internal combustion engines by an imminent 2025. Tesla Model Y is the lead vehicle.

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    5. California Oil Spill Tops 3,000 Barrels,

      wiping out billions in tourist dollars from some of the state’s best beaches. A dragging ship's anchor gets the blame. I was basking in the sun there only weeks ago. As usual, an undercapitalized Texas-based energy company will go bankrupt to duck the cleanup bill. Penny wise, pound foolish. Tar balls will remain there for years.

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  • October 4, 2021

    1. Tesla Beats All Estates,

      delivering 241,300 cars in Q3. That’s about 20,000 more than expected and the company is running at near a 1 million a year rate. Norway now sees 80% of new car sales with EVs, mostly Teslas. (GM), and (F) are suffering a serious sales slump due to the chronic chip shortage. Some 7 million vehicles have gone missing due to the lack of parts, a major drag on the US economy.

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    2. Bitcoin Pops 10%,

      and rumors of an SEC-approved crypto ETF percolate. China banning crypto is seen as a positive as it removed an unstable and unpredictable factor from the market. Miners moving to the US and Canada is a major positive. The move up continues as Jay Powell says the Fed has no intention to ban crypto. Defi platform Compound wishes they didn’t have such fat fingers. They accidentally sent out $90 million.

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    3. ISM Manufacturing Index Improves,

      from 59.5 estimated to 61.1 in September, says the University of Michigan.

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    4. Merck’s New Pill Cuts Covid Deaths by 50%.

      Molnupiravir can be taken in pill form for two weeks. The drug was so successful that phase three trials were ended early. Expect more miracle Covid cures to come. 

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    5. OPEC Meets Today

      to decide if a high-priced market can handle any more oil. Covid-induced supply disruptions have boosted Texas Tea to $80/barrel. In a July meet, OPEC plus Russia agreed to increase production by 400,000 b/d until April 2022.

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  • October 1, 2021

    1. Government Shutdown Averted,

      delaying the next crisis to the end of December. Stocks rallied vote by vote until the quarter-end closing slammed the market. Bonds managed a rare unchanged day. Stocks gave us one more flush to give us a perfect double bottom. Bitcoin did the same.

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    2. Weekly Jobless Claims Jump,

      to 362,000, up 27,000. Continuing Claims rose to 2.80 million. Hurricane Ida is still affecting the numbers.

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    3. Q2 US GDP Rises to 6.7%,

      a 38-year high in its final read. And this was supposed to be the slow quarter for this year.

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    4. US Auto Sales Dive on Chip Shortage,

      off 14% in Q3. General Motors sales could fall as much as 31.5%. Expect the problem to persist for another year.

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    5. China PMI Falls Under 50,

      to 49.6, signifying a shrinking economy. What a time to have a real estate crisis. Rising costs and electric power shortages are the issue. A slowing China isn’t good for any of us.

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