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DougD

Quote of the Day - January 2, 2018

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

"Liquidity is a coward. It's never around when you need it." said market commentator, Jeff Saut.

Cowardly Lion

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Cowardly-Lion.jpg 284 241 DougD https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png DougD2018-01-02 01:05:122018-01-02 01:05:12Quote of the Day - January 2, 2018
Arthur Henry

December 29, 2017

Diary, Newsletter

Global Market Comments
December 29, 2017
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(JANUARY 3 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),
(NOTICE TO MILITARY SUBSCRIBERS),
(CHINA'S COMING DEMOGRAPHIC NIGHTMARE)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-29 01:09:472017-12-29 01:09:47December 29, 2017
The Mad Hedge Fund Trader

China's Coming Demographic Nightmare

Diary, Newsletter, Research

Now that China has ended its "One Child" policy, it is time to assess its long-term costs.

Adopted 33 years ago, there are now 32 million more boys under the age of 20 than girls.

Large scale interference with the natural male:female ratio has been tracked with some fascination by demographers for years, and is constantly generating unintended consequences.

Until early in the last century, starving rural mothers abandoned unwanted female newborns in the hills to be taken away by "spirits."

Today, pregnant women resort to the modern-day equivalent by getting ultrasounds and undergoing abortions when they learn they are carrying girls.

Millions of children are "little emperors," spoiled male-only children who have been raised to expect the world to revolve around them.

The resulting shortage of women has led to an epidemic of "bride kidnapping" in surrounding countries. Stealing of male children is widespread in Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, and Mongolia.

The end result has been a barbell shaped demographic curve unlike that seen in any other country. The Beijing government says the program has succeeded in bringing the fertility rate from 3.0 down to 1.8, well below the 2.1 replacement rate.

As a result, the Middle Kingdom's population today is only 1.3 billion instead of the 1.6 billion it would have been.

Political scientists have long speculated that an excess of young men would lead to more bellicose foreign policies by the Middle Kingdom. But so far the choice has been for commerce, to the detriment of America's trade balance and Internet security.

In practice, the one child policy has only been applied to those who live in cities or have government jobs. That is about two thirds of the population.

On my last trip to China I spent a weekend walking around Shenzhen city parks. The locals doted over their single children, while visitors from the countryside played games with their three, four, or five children. The contrast couldn't have been more bizarre.

Economists now wonder if the practice will also understate China's long-term growth rate. Parents with boys tend to be bigger savers, so they can help sons with the initial big-ticket items in life, like an education, homes, and even cars.

The end game for this policy has to be the Japan disease; a huge population of senior citizens with insufficient numbers of young workers to support them. The markets won't ignore this.

In the latest round of reforms announced by the Chinese government was the demise of the one child policy. But no matter how hard you try, you can't change the number of people born 30 years ago.

The boomerang effects of this policy could last for centuries.

emperor

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/emperor-e1403118555370.jpg 320 213 The Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png The Mad Hedge Fund Trader2017-12-29 01:06:172017-12-29 01:06:17China's Coming Demographic Nightmare
Arthur Henry

December 28, 2017

Diary, Newsletter

Global Market Comments
December 28, 2017
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(THE FUSION IN YOUR FUTURE),
(TESTIMONIAL),
(DECODING THE GREEBACK),
(WHAT ABOUT ASSET ALLOCATION?)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-28 01:10:442017-12-28 01:10:44December 28, 2017
Arthur Henry

Decoding the Greenback

Diary, Newsletter

If you want to impress your friends with your vast knowledge of financial matters, then here are the Latin translations of the script on the backside of a US dollar bill.

"ANNUIT COEPTIS" means "God has favored our undertaking." "NOVUS ORDO SECLORUM" translates into "A new order has begun."

The Roman numerals at the base of the pyramid are "1776." The better known "E PLURIBUS UNUM" is "One nation from many people."

The basic design for the cotton and linen currency with red and blue silk fibers, which has been in circulation since 1957, carries enough symbolism to drive conspiracy theorists to distraction.

An all-seeing eye? The darkened Western face of the pyramid? And of course, the number "13" abounds.

Thank freemason Benjamin Franklin for these cryptic symbols, and watch Nicholas Cage's historical adventure movie "National Treasure."

The balanced scales in the seal are certainly wishful thinking and a bit quaint if they refer to the Federal budget.

Study the buck closely, because there are soon going to be a lot more of them around, thanks to the borrowing history of the new president.
US DollarBen FranklinWhat Did You Really Mean, Ben?

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/BenjaminFranklin.jpg 129 102 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-28 01:07:492017-12-28 01:07:49Decoding the Greenback
Arthur Henry

December 27, 2017

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 27, 2017
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(WILL SPACE X BE YOUR NEXT TEN BAGGER?)
(EBAY), (TSLA), (SCTY), (BA), (LMT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-27 01:07:022017-12-27 01:07:02December 27, 2017
Arthur Henry

December 26, 2017

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 26, 2017

Featured Trades:
(A CHRISTMAS STORY),
(THE U-HAUL INDICATOR)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-26 01:08:122017-12-26 01:08:12December 26, 2017
DougD

Quote of the Day - December 26, 2017

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

"This isn't a choice between vanilla and chocolate folks, it's all rocky road: a few marshmallows to get you excited before the elections, but with a lot of nuts to ruin the aftermath," said the ever insightful, Bill Gross, at PIMCO.

ice cream

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/ice-cream.jpg 302 258 DougD https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png DougD2017-12-26 01:05:532017-12-26 01:05:53Quote of the Day - December 26, 2017
Arthur Henry

December 22, 2017

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 22, 2017
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(CHICAGO WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 27 GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(MY OLD PAL, LEONARDO FIBONACCI),
(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-22 01:09:442017-12-22 01:09:44December 22, 2017
Arthur Henry

Chicago Wednesday, December 27 Global Strategy Luncheon

Diary, Newsletter

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader's Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Wednesday, December 27.

A three-course lunch will be followed by an extended question and answer period.

I'll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, energy, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I'll be throwing a few surprises out there too.

Enough charts, tables, graphs, and statistics will be thrown at you to keep your ears ringing for a week. Tickets are available for $239.

I'll be arriving an hour early and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one on one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets.

The lunch will be held at a downtown Chicago venue on Monroe Street that will be emailed with your purchase confirmation.

I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my research. To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please go to my online store.

To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please click here.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/chicago-e1505422048849.jpg 233 379 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-22 01:08:142017-12-22 01:08:14Chicago Wednesday, December 27 Global Strategy Luncheon
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