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Arthur Henry

Decoding the Greenback

Diary, Newsletter

If you want to impress your friends with your vast knowledge of financial matters, then here are the Latin translations of the script on the backside of a US dollar bill.

"ANNUIT COEPTIS" means "God has favored our undertaking." "NOVUS ORDO SECLORUM" translates into "A new order has begun."

The Roman numerals at the base of the pyramid are "1776." The better known "E PLURIBUS UNUM" is "One nation from many people."

The basic design for the cotton and linen currency with red and blue silk fibers, which has been in circulation since 1957, carries enough symbolism to drive conspiracy theorists to distraction.

An all-seeing eye? The darkened Western face of the pyramid? And of course, the number "13" abounds.

Thank freemason Benjamin Franklin for these cryptic symbols, and watch Nicholas Cage's historical adventure movie "National Treasure."

The balanced scales in the seal are certainly wishful thinking and a bit quaint if they refer to the Federal budget.

Study the buck closely, because there are soon going to be a lot more of them around, thanks to the borrowing history of the new president.
US DollarBen FranklinWhat Did You Really Mean, Ben?

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/BenjaminFranklin.jpg 129 102 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-28 01:07:492017-12-28 01:07:49Decoding the Greenback
Douglas Davenport

December 27, 2017 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2017-12-27 08:54:232017-12-27 08:54:23December 27, 2017 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Arthur Henry

December 27, 2017

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 27, 2017
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(WILL SPACE X BE YOUR NEXT TEN BAGGER?)
(EBAY), (TSLA), (SCTY), (BA), (LMT)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-27 01:07:022017-12-27 01:07:02December 27, 2017
Arthur Henry

December 26, 2017

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 26, 2017

Featured Trades:
(A CHRISTMAS STORY),
(THE U-HAUL INDICATOR)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-26 01:08:122017-12-26 01:08:12December 26, 2017
DougD

Quote of the Day - December 26, 2017

Diary, Newsletter, Quote of the Day

"This isn't a choice between vanilla and chocolate folks, it's all rocky road: a few marshmallows to get you excited before the elections, but with a lot of nuts to ruin the aftermath," said the ever insightful, Bill Gross, at PIMCO.

ice cream

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/ice-cream.jpg 302 258 DougD https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png DougD2017-12-26 01:05:532017-12-26 01:05:53Quote of the Day - December 26, 2017
DougD

December 22, 2017 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 DougD https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png DougD2017-12-22 09:39:122017-12-22 09:39:12December 22, 2017 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
Arthur Henry

December 22, 2017

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
December 22, 2017
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:
(CHICAGO WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 27 GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)
(MY OLD PAL, LEONARDO FIBONACCI),
(TESTIMONIAL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-22 01:09:442017-12-22 01:09:44December 22, 2017
Arthur Henry

Chicago Wednesday, December 27 Global Strategy Luncheon

Diary, Newsletter

Come join me for lunch for the Mad Hedge Fund Trader's Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Chicago on Wednesday, December 27.

A three-course lunch will be followed by an extended question and answer period.

I'll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, commodities, precious metals, energy, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I'll be throwing a few surprises out there too.

Enough charts, tables, graphs, and statistics will be thrown at you to keep your ears ringing for a week. Tickets are available for $239.

I'll be arriving an hour early and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one on one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets.

The lunch will be held at a downtown Chicago venue on Monroe Street that will be emailed with your purchase confirmation.

I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my research. To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please go to my online store.

To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please click here.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/chicago-e1505422048849.jpg 233 379 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2017-12-22 01:08:142017-12-22 01:08:14Chicago Wednesday, December 27 Global Strategy Luncheon
DougD

My Old Pal, Leonardo Fibonacci

Diary, Newsletter
I remember the 12th century like it was yesterday.

In those days, the leading intellectuals used to get together and drink wine by the gallon, which then was really little more than rotten grape juice. The problem was that we all used to pass out before anybody came up with a great idea.

Then someone started importing coffee from the Middle East, and thinkers stayed awake long enough to produce great thoughts.

Enter the Renaissance.

One of the guys I used to hang out with then was named Leonardo Fibonacci. Good old Leo was a man after my own heart, a world-class nerd and geek, with a penchant for mathematics.

His dad was a diplomat from the Court at Pisa to the Algiers sultanate who had a nice little import/export business on the side. It is safe to say that there was probably as little action in Algiers then as there is today. I know, because I've been there.

Instead of camping out in his dad's basement and staying depressed like a lot of young men these days, Leo killed time trolling the local bazaars for interesting used books he could buy on the cheap.

Remember, this was before texting. That was not hard to do since most people couldn't read. He took the trouble to learn Arabic and translated them back into Latin. Ancient math books were his specialty.

It didn't take Leo long to figure out that that the Arabs had developed a numbering system vastly superior to the Roman numerals then in use in Europe. Most importantly, they mastered the concept of zero and the placement of digits in addition and subtraction. The Arabs themselves, in fact, lifted these concepts from archaic Indian mathematicians as far back as the 6th century.

If you don't believe me about the significance of this discovery, try multiplying CCVII by XXXIV. (The answer is VIIXXXVIII, or 7,038). Try designing a house, a bridge, or a computer software program with such a cumbersome numbering system.

Leo didn't just stop there. He also discovered a series of numbers, which seemed to have magical predictive powers. The formula is extremely simple. Start with zero, add the next number, and you have the next number in the series.

Continue the progression and you get 0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55.... and so on. It's no surprise that the sequence became known as the "Fibonacci Sequence".

The great thing about this series is that if you divide any number in it by the next one, you get a product that has become known as the "Golden Ratio". This number is 1:1.618, or 0.618 to one.

Fibonacci's original application for this number was to predict the growth rate of a population of breeding rabbits.

Then some other mathematicians started poking around with it. It turns out the Great Pyramid in Egypt was built to the specification of a Fibonacci ratio. So is the rate of change of the curvature in a seashell, or a human ear. So is the ratio of the length of your arms to your legs.

Upon closer inspection, the Fibonacci turned out to be absolutely everywhere, from the structure of the tiniest cell to the swirl of the largest galaxies in the universe.

Fibonacci introduced his findings in a book entitled "Liber Abaci", or "Free Abacus" in English, which he published in 1202. In it he proposed the 0-9 numbering system, place values, lattice multiplication, fractions, bookkeeping, commercial weights and measures, and the calculation of interest. It included everything we would recognize as modern mathematics.

The book launched the scientific revolution in Europe that led us to where we are today, and was a major bestseller. In fact, you can still buy it on Amazon, making it the longest continuously published book in history.

Enter the stock market. By the end of the 19th century, some observers noticed that share prices tended to move in predictable patterns on charts. In particular, they always seemed to advance and pull back around the numbers forecast by my friend, Fibonacci, seven hundred years earlier.

These people came to be known as "technical analysts," as opposed to fundamental analysts, who look at the underlying business behind each company.

By the 1930's, Fibonacci numbers had worked their way into mainstream technical analytical theories, such as Elliot Wave. Today, most market tracking software and data systems, like Bloomberg, will automatically throw up Fibonacci support and resistance numbers on every stock chart.

Why am I talking about this? Because I am frequently asked how I pick the precise strike prices for options in my own Trade Alert Service. I use a combination of moving averages, moving average convergance-divergance (MACD) indicators, Bollinger bands, Fibonacci numbers, and a chant taught to me by an old Yaqui Indian shaman.

And I do all of this only after going over the underlying fundamentals of the stock or index with a fine tooth comb. I can't be any clearer than that.

Enter the high frequency traders. Knowing that the bulk of us rely on Fibonacci numbers for our short term trading calls, they have developed algorithms that seek to exploit that preference.

They enter a large number of stop loss orders to sell just below a "Fibo" support level, then put up fake, but extremely large offers just above it, which are usually cancelled. Only 1% of these orders ever get executed.

When conventional traders see these huge offers to sell, they panic, dump their stocks, and trigger the stop losses. The HFT's then jump in and cover their own shorts for a quick profit, sometimes only for a fraction of a penny.

The net effect of these shenanigans is to make Fibo numbers less effective. Fibo support is just not as rock solid as it used to be, nor is resistance. This is why the performance of several leading technical analysts has seriously deteriorated in recent years.

Although their importance is now somewhat diluted, I still enjoy Fibonacci numbers, as I see them in nature all around me. They occasionally have other uses, such as in cryptography.

When I watched The Da Vinci Code sequel, "Angels & Demons", and listened to the clues, I recognized the handiwork of my old friend Leo. The rest of the audience sat there clueless, except for the group in the next row wearing "UC BERKELEY" hoodies.

For the fellow geeks and nerds among you, here are the precise Fibonacci numbers indicating support and resistance, which you will find on a stock chart.

Fibonacci Ratios

Fibonacci Ratios

Leonardo FibonacciLeonardo Fibonacci (Maybe)

Fibonacci Sequence - Power Plant Chimney

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Fibonacci-Sequence-Power-Plant-Chimney-e1434049507226.jpg 400 303 DougD https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png DougD2017-12-22 01:07:572017-12-22 01:07:57My Old Pal, Leonardo Fibonacci
Douglas Davenport

December 21, 2017 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.

MDT Alert

While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2017-12-21 08:53:102017-12-21 08:53:10December 21, 2017 - MDT Pro Tips A.M.
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Legal Disclaimer

There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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