As a potentially profitable opportunity presents itself, John will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what should be bought, when to buy it, and at what price. This is your chance to ?look over? John Thomas? shoulder as he gives you unparalleled insight on major world financial trends BEFORE they happen. Read more
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.
Global Market Comments
March 3, 2014
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(FRIDAY APRIL 4 INCLINE VILLAGE, NEVADA STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(ALL ASSET CLASS RISK REVERSAL AT HAND),
(SPY), (EEM), (TLT), (VXX), (FXY), (YCS), (FXE), (UUP),
(WHY WATER WILL SOON BE WORTH MORE THAN OIL),
(CGW), (PHO), (FIW), (VE), (TTEK), (PNR),
(TESTIMONIAL)
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM)
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT)
iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN (VXX)
CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY)
ProShares UltraShort Yen (YCS)
CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE)
PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP)
Guggenheim S&P Global Water Index (CGW)
PowerShares Water Resources (PHO)
First Trust ISE Water Idx (FIW)
Veolia Environnement S.A. (VE)
Tetra Tech Inc. (TTEK)
Pentair Ltd. (PNR)
Come join me for lunch at the Mad Hedge Fund Trader?s Global Strategy Update, which I will be conducting in Incline Village, Nevada on Friday, April 4, 2014. An excellent meal will be followed by a wide-ranging discussion and an extended question and answer period.
I?ll be giving you my up to date view on stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, precious metals, and real estate. And to keep you in suspense, I?ll be throwing a few surprises out there too. Tickets are available for $198.
I?ll be arriving at 11:30 and leaving late in case anyone wants to have a one on one discussion, or just sit around and chew the fat about the financial markets.
The lunch will be held at the premier restaurant in Incline Village, Nevada on the sparkling shores of Lake Tahoe. The precise location will be emailed with your purchase confirmation.
I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my research. To purchase tickets for the luncheons, please go to my online store.
I believe that we are on the verge of seeing major reversals across all asset classes. Get this one right, and you will make a fortune. Screw it up, and you will soon be looking for your next job on Craig?s List.
I understand that there is a desperate need for code writers in the cloud.
As always, I am taking my cue from the bond market. The great anomaly in the financial markets during February was the big divergence between the stock and bond markets.
While it was off to the races for stocks, the S&P 500 rocketing an impressive 7%, bonds didn?t believe it for a nanosecond.
If you had asked any global strategist a month ago where the ten year Treasury yield would be if the (SPX) posted a new all time high at 1,865, to a man they would have said 3.05%. Instead, bonds closed the week at a parsimonious 2.65%.
Something is desperately wrong with this picture.
If it were just bonds blowing a raspberry at this stock rally, I wouldn?t be so concerned. However, both the Euro (FXE) and the Japanese yen (FXY), (YCS) moved from strength to strength. They should be falling in a real bull market for stocks.
Precious metals have also been calling foul. If shares were the new risk free investment, why did gold pop by 9% last month? Better yet, why is silver up a sparkling 18%?
The gold producers have done even better. When Barrick Gold (ABX) soars by 26% in s single month, you?ve got to be worried about the stock market.
So here?s what happens next. With an assist from the Russian takeover of the Ukraine (wasn?t it so polite of them to wait a full week after the Sochi Olympics ended?), bonds take a run at the highs for prices and the low for yields, in the mid 2.50%?s.
This is why Mad Day Trader, Jim Parker, shot out a quick, opportunistic long play in the (TLT) last week. There, they will fail once again, as we are now in the early stages of a multi decade bear market.
This will prompt stocks (SPX) to give up a third to a half of the recent rally, taking it to the bottom of an ascending channel at 1,800 (see below). Volatility (VXX) will spike from the current $12 handle back up to $20. This is why I bought the (SPY) $189 - $192 bear put spread on Thursday, which expires on March 21.
When the bond rally gives up the ghost, shares will resume their 2014 surge. Avoid emerging markets (EEM), because another dump in the bond market knocks the stuffing out of them one more time.
What will the currencies do? This will be the starting gun for great short plays on the yen, which returns to a ten-year bear market, and the Euro, which is just tweaking a three-year high.
In the meantime, the dollar basket ETF (UUP) launches into a multi month rally after putting in a double bottom. I shouldn?t need to draw lurid drawings for you on how to trade this.
As for gold? Sorry in advance to the hard money crowd, the inflationistas, and conspiracy theorists (who cares if Germany wants its gold reserves back from the Federal Reserve?). I think the 2014 rally in the barbarous relic dies a sudden, horrible death, and goes back to retest the $1,200 low one more time, possibly breaking it.
This scenario opens up great entry points across virtually all of the many asset classes that I track. When it?s time to strap on a position, I?ll shoot out Trade Alerts as fast as the speed of electricity permits (186,000 miles per second, or 300 meters per second in Europe).
Yes, I think we will finally get a real 10% correction in stocks going into the summer. But you better be nimble to trade it. My experience tells me that too many of you are selling at market bottoms, not buying.
I just thought you?d like to know.
Just Thought You?d Like to Know
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Jim Parker, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points.
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