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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 9, 2023

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
August 9, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(YOU’LL BE DRIVING CHINESE SOON)
(BYD), (TSLA), (GM), (LCID), (SAIC), (GEELY), (CATL)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-09 14:04:342023-08-09 20:32:11August 9, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

You'll Be Driving Chinese Soon

Tech Letter

You’ll most likely be driving a Chinese car soon.

It’s not because I want you to.

The trend is headed that way and the trend is usually your friend in economics and the stock market.

In the past year, China has blazed past Germany and Japan to become the world’s biggest exporter of cars for better or worse.

They shipped 1.07 million abroad in the first quarter of 2023.

At the same time, net zero rules are set to outlaw the sale of conventional petrol cars from 2030 in the UK and 2035 across the rest of Europe.

This is a golden opportunity for entrenched Chinese brands including SAIC, BYD, and Geely.

With rivals such as Volkswagen, Ford and Toyota scrambling to catch up, Chinese manufacturers are poised to offer cars costing as much as €10,000 (£8,600) less than their European, Japanese, and American competitors.

Beijing has sought to dominate the electric vehicles global market as part of its Made in China 2025 strategy.

More than half of the electric cars on roads worldwide are now in China, according to the International Energy Agency, while in 2022 the country accounted for around 60pc of all BEVs sold.

They have been focused on having an industrial upgrade in China, moving from lower value-added production to higher value-added, higher-technological production.

The strategy has worked like clockwork as Chinese-produced cell phones have achieved flagship levels.

Contemporary Amperex Technology Limited (CATL), based in the city of Ningde in the Fujian province, is now the world’s biggest lithium battery manufacturer.

In 2023, the country is set to export 1.3 million BEVs, up from 679,000 last year when government lockdowns were still in force.

Not only are these vehicles tick the box of high quality, they also boast long ranges, attractive designs, and smart interiors, they are also extremely cheap.

One brand British motorists should expect to see more of is BYD, which recently unveiled an electric hatchback that it plans to sell for less than £8,000 – far cheaper than many petrol-fueled models.

The approach contrasts sharply with that of America, where Joe Biden is showering firms that set up BEV factories with subsidies and hitting Chinese car imports with tariffs of 27.5%.

Ominously, however, China’s lead in EV technology is now so great that it “cannot be bridged” by 2030 – when Britain and Europe will impose restrictions on the sale of new petrol cars – and Europe should cut its losses by encouraging Chinese car makers to set up factories here instead.

For US EV makers like Tesla, the protectionist restrictions placed on foreign EVs will mean that it will take longer for the Chinese EVs to penetrate the US vehicle market.

However, the tsunami of deflation is coming whether the Chinese need to add an intermediary or not before they can start pouring the products into the United States.

If China is able to breach the US market, this would pose a severe test for US EV makers like GM, Tesla, Ford, and Lucid.

The Europeans are asleep at the wheel and could expose their consumers to a bevy of Chinese cars.

Don’t be shocked to see a stream of Chinese EVs when you cruise around Rome instead of Fiats and Vespas.

I expect restrictions to ramp up even more against foreign-made EVs and lithium batteries in the short term.

This could also set the stage for Tesla getting kicked out of Shanghai and a massive forced technology transfer which the Chinese are famous for.

The Chinese are playing the long game and that’s highly negative for American EV makers who are hell-bent on short-term profits.

 

chinese evs

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/byd-aug923.png 760 1460 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-09 14:02:312023-08-24 20:31:50You'll Be Driving Chinese Soon
Douglas Davenport

Utilizing AI for Space Investment: Unveiling Opportunities and 5 Leading Companies Profiting from Space-AI Synergy

Mad Hedge AI

The convergence of artificial intelligence (AI) and space technology has given rise to a groundbreaking synergy, offering investors a unique avenue to explore. AI's ability to process vast amounts of data and identify patterns has revolutionized how we approach space exploration, turning it into a data-driven endeavor. In this article, we delve into the fascinating world of AI-driven space investment, showcasing how AI is reshaping the space industry and listing five prominent companies capitalizing on this marriage of technologies.

The Rise of AI in Space Investment

AI has profoundly transformed numerous industries, and the space sector is no exception. The colossal volume of data generated by space missions, satellites, and telescopes requires sophisticated analysis to extract meaningful insights. This is where AI steps in, leveraging machine learning algorithms to sift through the data, detect subtle patterns, and reveal previously hidden knowledge. From predicting space weather to optimizing satellite orbits, AI has demonstrated its potential to streamline operations, reduce costs, and enhance decision-making in space exploration.

Benefits of AI in Space Investment

  • Data Analysis and Interpretation: AI algorithms can quickly analyze vast datasets from telescopes, satellites, and rovers to identify celestial phenomena, geological features, and atmospheric conditions. This data-driven approach aids in making informed decisions and uncovering new discoveries.
  • Predictive Analytics: AI models can forecast space weather events, solar flares, and other cosmic phenomena that could affect satellite communication, navigation systems, and astronaut safety. These predictions enable timely preparations and mitigations.
  • Resource Optimization: Space agencies and companies can utilize AI to optimize satellite orbits, manage fuel consumption, and extend mission lifetimes. These efficiencies translate to cost savings and improved operational effectiveness.
  • Autonomous Exploration: AI-powered rovers and spacecraft can navigate autonomously, making real-time decisions based on their surroundings. This capability is crucial for missions to remote locations where communication delays prevent immediate human intervention.
  • Drug Discovery and Biomedical Research: AI's pattern recognition abilities are harnessed in space to analyze the impact of microgravity on human health and develop potential treatments for conditions like osteoporosis and muscle atrophy.

Five Leading Companies in the Space-AI Nexus

  1. IBM: A pioneering force in AI, IBM's Watson has ventured into space applications. IBM collaborated with the German Aerospace Center (DLR) to develop CIMON, an AI-powered robotic assistant aboard the International Space Station (ISS). CIMON interacts with astronauts, assisting in tasks and experiments.
  2. Descartes Labs: This company leverages AI and machine learning to analyze satellite imagery, providing insights into agriculture, forestry, and environmental changes. Descartes Labs' technology aids in monitoring crops, predicting yields, and managing resources.
  3. Orbital Insight: Specializing in geospatial analytics, Orbital Insight employs AI to process satellite images and track economic trends, infrastructure development, and global commodity flows. Investors use this data to make informed decisions about industries with global reach.
  4. Astro Digital: This company focuses on satellite data analysis for agriculture, forestry, and environmental applications. Its Landmapper platform uses AI to process satellite imagery and provide actionable insights for better land management and resource planning.
  5. Spire Global: Spire Global employs a constellation of nanosatellites for weather forecasting, maritime tracking, and aviation analytics. AI and machine learning algorithms process the data collected by these satellites, offering real-time insights to various industries.

The Future of AI-Driven Space Investment

As AI technology continues to advance, its role in space investment is set to expand further. The evolution of autonomous spacecraft, enhanced predictive capabilities, and deeper insights into space phenomena will drive investment opportunities across the industry. Startups, research institutions, and established players are all vying to capitalize on AI's transformative power in space exploration and commercial applications.

While the potential benefits of AI in space investment are immense, several challenges need addressing. Ensuring the robustness of AI algorithms, handling data security concerns, and fostering collaboration between AI experts and space scientists are critical aspects of a successful integration.

The merger of AI and space technology is reshaping the space industry's landscape, opening doors to novel investment opportunities. AI's capacity to analyze massive datasets, predict space events, and optimize resources is transforming space exploration into a data-centric endeavor. From analyzing satellite imagery for agricultural insights to autonomously navigating rovers on distant planets, AI is revolutionizing how we approach the cosmos. As AI continues to evolve, investors can expect the synergy between AI and space to offer unprecedented avenues for growth and exploration.

Midjourney prompt “AI astronaut on a planet of gold”

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/mhai-2023-08-09-c1.png 587 871 Douglas Davenport https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Douglas Davenport2023-08-09 13:45:392023-08-09 14:14:06Utilizing AI for Space Investment: Unveiling Opportunities and 5 Leading Companies Profiting from Space-AI Synergy
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (MSFT) August 9, 2023 - STOP LOSS - SELL

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-09 13:44:112023-08-09 13:44:11Trade Alert - (MSFT) August 9, 2023 - STOP LOSS - SELL
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 9, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
August 9, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trades:

(THE US NATIVE AMERICAN ECONOMY)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-09 09:04:552023-08-09 15:55:34August 9, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

A US Native American Economy

Diary, Newsletter

Since the market is as dead as a doorknob, at least until tomorrow’s inflation report is out, I thought I’d dive into the deep background of the country’s economy.

When I was remodeling my 170-year-old London house, the chimney was in desperate need of attention. After the chimneysweep crawled up the fireplace, he found a yellowed and somewhat singed envelope addressed to Santa Claus.

Thinking it was placed there by my kids, he handed it over to me. In it was a letter penned in a childlike scrawl, written with a quill and ink, dated Christmas, 1910 asking for a Red Indian suit.

Europeans have long had a fascination with our Native Americans. So in preparation for my upcoming European strategy luncheon tour I thought I would get myself up to date about out earliest North American residents.

Business is booming these days on Indian reservations these days, or it isn’t, depending on where they live. Of the country’s 565 reservations, some 239 have moved into the casino business and the cash flow has followed.

In 2010, Indian gaming reaped some $40.9 billion in revenues, up 4.9% YOY, or some $14,029 per indigenous native. That compares to $60 billion for the non-Indian gaming revenues for the same year, up 13% YOY.

Some, like the Pequot tribe’s massive Foxwoods operation just two hours from New York City, now the world’s largest casino, once had money raining down upon it. But the casino grew so large that it entirely occupied the diminutive Connecticut reservation allocated to it by an obscure 17th century treaty.

During the salad days, the profits were so enormous that an annual $250,000 stipend was paid to each officially registered tribal member. A poker boom helped. No surprise that the tribe grew from 167 to 665 members during the last 30 years. Today, the operation is burdened with $2.5 billion in debt, thanks to some bad investments and an ill-timed pre-pandemic expansion.

Casinos in more rural locations in the far west, distant from population centers, have fared less well. Those that contracted out for professional management from Las Vegas and Atlantic City firms, like Harrah’s, MGM, and Caesars, earn a modest living.

But the reservations attempting local management on their own fall victim to inefficiencies, incompetence, corruption, nepotism, over hiring of locals, and outright theft. Believe it or not, it is possible to lose money in the casino business, and some have had to shut down.

Overbuilding is another problem. It Northern New Mexico you can find a half dozen casinos within five miles of each other competing for the same customer. Most of their clients (read losers) are in fact local tribal members, the same individuals these houses are intended to help.

The 326 tribes that avoided the casino industry do so at the cost of a big hit to their standard of living. That explains why Native American median household income reaches only $35,062, compared to $50,046 for the US as a whole. Many, like the numerous Hopi, shun it because of their religion.

Without gambling there are few economic opportunities on the reservations, which is why they were given the land in the first place. The parched conditions of the west limit farming. Unemployment runs as high as 80% on some reservations, such as the White Mountain Apaches.

As a result, a high proportion of the country’s 6.9 million Native Americans are wards of the federal government, living on food stamps and other government handouts.

That’s not how it was supposed to be. The first modern reservation was set up for the Navajo tribe in 1851 at a baking hellhole on the Pecos River, with the intention of enforcing a primitive form of apartheid to ensure their survival. The legendary scout Kit Carson was hired to herd the hapless Indians to their new home.

He did it buy burning all the crops in their homelands and cutting down every tree. Because they surrendered early rather than fight, today they are the most populous tribe, with 160,000, owning the largest reservation, at 24,000 square miles, mostly in Arizona.

Those who signed treaties early survived, which gave them status as an independent nation but ceded all matters regarding defense to the federal government. In fact, the Iroquois, Sioux, and Chippewa separately declared war on Germany during WWII. Some even issue their own passports to attend the last Olympics. Those that didn’t have to settle for much smaller reservations or got wiped out.

In 1975, congress passed the Indian Self-Determination Act, which devolved power from the government to the tribes. Florida’s Seminole tribe won the right to open a casino in court in 1981, which was confirmed by the Supreme Court in 1987. After that, it was off to the races, with Indian bingo parlors sprouting across the country.

During the 19th century Indian Wars when hundreds of thousands died, the practice was to attack a wagon train, kill all the men, marry the women, and adopt the children. As a result, I am descended from three different tribes, the Delaware, Sioux, and the Cherokee, as are about a quarter of native Californians my age. So I tried to cash in on government largess by applying for tribal scholarships to go to college.

It was to no avail. Only those who can trace their lineage to a 1941 Bureau of Indian Affairs census and are one-eighth Native American can qualify. When whites married Indians 150 years ago, the common practice was to baptize them and give them Western names, obliterating their true origins.

They were also pretty casual with marriage records in the Wild West. Jumping over a broom doesn’t exactly make it into the county records. But we still have many of the wedding photos and it’s clear who they are.

I never did find out if that little boy got his Red Indian suit for Christmas, but I hope he did.

 

Is She Native American, French, or Both?

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/goldilocks.png 690 460 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-09 09:02:552023-08-09 16:02:25A US Native American Economy
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 8, 2023

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
August 8, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(A DISCOUNTED PHOENIX SET TO RISE)
(BMY), (JNJ), (GSK), (MRK)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-08 15:02:072023-08-08 20:29:50August 8, 2023
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

A Discounted Phoenix Set to Rise

Biotech Letter

The rollercoaster ride that is the equity market never fails to excite, surprise, and occasionally bemuse us. There's an erratic heartbeat in how it functions - illogical at times, downright whimsical at others. The upshot? Sometimes, great companies find themselves in the bargain bin of Wall Street – perfect for investors who love a good discount.

This is where Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) comes in.

In the rear-view mirror of the past year, Bristol Myers Squibb hasn't exactly been the star of the stock market show. Its financial pulse has been somewhat weak, with lethargic revenue growth and, at times, flatlining completely. A big part of this has been the loss of patent exclusivity on a once superstar medication last year, causing its top line to struggle.

Flash forward to BMY dropping its Q2 2023 financial report, and the question is whether the company met the Street's expectations. Well, not exactly.

Let's dive into the numbers. The Q2 2023 revenue was a hefty $11.23 billion, albeit a 0.97% dip from the previous quarter and a 5.6% drop year-over-year. Non-GAAP net earnings clocked in at $3.7 billion or $1.75 per share, a quarter less than my earlier prediction.

The culprit? A steeper decline in Revlimid's sales than expected. The blockbuster sales were $1,468 million, a sizable 41.3% YoY drop, thanks to generics flooding the market and lower net selling prices in Europe.

Cue the traders and investors giving a thumbs down to the financials, sending the stock price spiraling down by 4.2% in just two days.

Over half a year, BMY's share price shrank by a whopping 16%, even with a bunch of positive clinical trial results and a flurry of medicine approvals.

Meanwhile, the bigwigs of the global cardiovascular and oncology drug market, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), GSK (GSK), and Merck (MRK), have been doing a victory lap.

Still, there’s a silver lining here.

Bristol Myers is currently strutting around with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 8. If you stack that against the pharmaceutical industry's average of 15.3, our friend Bristol Myers looks appealing. This is especially true when you consider the company is far from down for the count and has quite a few tricks up its sleeve to stage a solid comeback.

Projected revenue for Bristol-Myers Squibb for Q3 2023 lands somewhere in the ballpark of $10.8 billion to $11.92 billion, which, sure, marks a 4.5% dip from Q2 expectations. But hold onto your hats because Bristol-Myers Squibb's revenue is projected to comfortably clear the bar and pull in a cool $11.35 billion.

The heroes of this victory? Groundbreaking drugs like Yervoy and Opdualag have become hotter than a two-dollar pistol in the medical world.

We're talking about a Q2 2023 sales total of $154 million for Opdualag alone, up a jaw-dropping 165.6% from Q2 2022. And let's not forget this medical marvel only debuted in March 2022 and has been selling like hotcakes thanks to its performance in clinical trials.

What's more, Bristol Myers Squibb has been as busy as a bee, adding nine innovative medicines to its repertoire over the last three years. These new kids on the block are set to step up to the plate and replace older, soon-to-be patent-less drugs. They're also expected to drive sales growth into the stratosphere for the foreseeable future.

Bristol Myers Squibb is expected to report continuous growth, thanks to its proven clinical trials and potential to expand its labels. The company is already rolling up its sleeves to test the safety and efficacy of Camzyos for conditions like non-obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

As we look towards the horizon of 2025, Bristol Myers forecasts an impressive revenue of $10 billion to $13 billion from its freshest batch of products. Considering it pulled in $2 billion last year from these drugs, that's not too shabby. But don't think it’s resting on its laurels. The company is already testing over 50 clinical compounds across a smorgasbord of trials.

Let's also pay attention to Bristol Myers' attractive dividend profile.

The company currently offers a yield of 3.5%, dwarfing the S&P 500's average of 1.5%. Plus, it has bumped its payouts by 43% over the last five years.

With a cash payout ratio of around 42%, there's much room for this trend to continue into the foreseeable future.

Despite recent stumbles on the revenue and stock value front, BMY is no slouch. Its unyielding character and unwavering commitment to ploughing funds into fresh offerings signal a robust comeback on the horizon.

So, in the immortal words of an old Wall Street sage, it’s time to "Buy low, sell high,” and BMY is looking like quite a bargain right now.

 

bristol myers squibb

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-08 15:00:052023-08-22 18:05:30A Discounted Phoenix Set to Rise
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Trade Alert - (SPOT) August 8, 2023 - STOP LOSS - SELL

Tech Alert

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-08 10:12:372023-08-08 10:12:37Trade Alert - (SPOT) August 8, 2023 - STOP LOSS - SELL
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 8, 2023

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
August 8, 2023
Fiat Lux

Featured Trades:

(THIS WILL BE YOUR BEST-PERFORMING ASSET FOR THE NEXT 30 YEARS),
(IYR), (PHM), (LEN), (DHI), (TLT), (HYG), (MUB), (SPY)

 

CLICK HERE to download today's position sheet.

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2023-08-08 09:04:382023-08-08 15:30:25August 8, 2023
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