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Tag Archive for: (NVAX)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Mega Cap Pharma Up for Grabs

Biotech Letter

Since the great 2007 financial crisis, many companies have been coping to recapture their former glory. The healthcare industry is not spared of this struggle.

This makes the continuous growth of Merck (MRK) all the more impressive, with the company reaching $195 billion in market capitalization and sustaining its rise for over 130 years.

Curiously, Merck’s share price is still in the mid-$70s.

Meanwhile, other large-cap biopharmaceutical companies that offer similar products and services are trading higher.

For instance, the share price for Abiomed (ABMD) is over $330 while Illumina (ILMN) is nearly $400, and Align Technology (ALGN) is at a whopping $600.

Like Merck, investors gravitate towards Abiomed, Illumina, and Align because of their capacity to generate long-term sustainable revenues and boost earnings.

Notably, though, none of them hold the same depth or even breadth of products and services that Merck offers.

Recently, Merck disclosed some of its initiatives to boost the company’s earnings in the near- and long term.

One of the most visible efforts is its collaboration with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) to help with the manufacturing of JNJ-78436735, in which Merck received federal funding. 

While JNJ is one of the biggest healthcare companies across the globe, with a market capitalization of roughly $425 billion, joining forces with Merck will substantially boost its vaccine manufacturing capacity.

For context, JNJ’s goal prior to Merck’s help is to deliver 100 million doses by the end of the second quarter of 2021.

With Merck’s assistance, JNJ can now realistically manufacture up to 3 billion doses in 2022 alone.

This means that JNJ can implement a massive vaccination drive in the next two years since its manufacturing capacity ensures that it can deliver shots to over one-third of the population.

This is obviously good news for everyone as it means that the virus will be contained, but the enhanced manufacturing capacity also means profit accretion for both JNJ and Merck.

This partnership with JNJ is possibly a key factor in Merck’s move to invest heavily in the vaccine business.

Merck recently announced its plans to allocate $20 billion to expand its global vaccine manufacturing network from 2021 to 2024. This would mean an annual investment of $5 billion.

Part of this global vaccine plan is Merck’s acquisition of Pandion Therapeutics (PAND) in 2020.

Another recent initiative of the company is its joint effort with Gilead Sciences (GILD) to develop long-lasting HIV treatments.

Gilead will be in charge of the US market, while Merck will handle the EU and the rest of the international markets.

For starters, the companies will focus on a combination of Merck’s Islatravir and Gilead’s Lenacapavir to create a long-lasting and well-tolerate HIV treatment.

Outside these partnerships, Merck has been working on strengthening its oncology segment.

In fact, its top-selling drug, Keytruda, can be used to medicate an extensive range of indications, which include colorectal, esophageal, and even lung cancers.

At this point, Keytruda is generating north of $16 billion in sales every year and exhibiting roughly 30% growth annually.

Since the drug continues to gain approvals for additional indications, it looks like its growth runway is definitely far from over.

Keytruda is poised to reach $24 billion in annual sales in a few years’ time, which puts it on track to become the best-selling drug in the world by 2023.

Although Keytruda will be under patent protection until 2028, Merck remains active in expanding its oncology pipeline.

By then, Merck is projected to have multiple immunotherapy staples in its portfolio not only derived from its own R&D but also via partnerships like its 2020 collaboration with Alkermes (ALKS) to work on an ovarian cancer study and Immunovaccine (IMV) to cooperate on a blood cancer study.

The total oncology market is estimated to be $200 billion annually, with over 30 million cases projected to be added by 2040.

Overall, Merck is a well-oiled company that continues to deliver good results thanks to strategic acquisitions and partnerships neatly tied up together in a particular domain.

While its rival biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies become hot properties in the market and pose higher price tags, Merck silently moves forward in the shadows of sustainability and familiarity.

merck company

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 8, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
April 8, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(A LOW-KEY POST-COVID-19 RECOVERY STOCK)
(REGN), (MRNA), (NVAX), (BNTX) (PFE), (VIR), (LLY), (RHHBY), (NVS)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-04-08 16:02:232021-04-08 18:48:42April 8, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Low-Key Post-COVID-19 Recovery Stock

Biotech Letter

If you still remember the news about the flash recovery from COVID-19 of then-President Trump during the campaign period last year, then you know that the express cure was not delivered by any of the vaccine makers that were all the rage at the time like Moderna (MRNA), Novavax (NVAX), BioNTech (BNTX), or even Pfizer (PFE).

Instead, the cure was credited to a lesser-known cocktail of antibodies, called REGEN-COV, developed by Regeneron (REGN).  

Recently, the same treatment was used in Germany in response to the shortage of COVID-19 vaccines and the demand for alternatives.

Despite the promising results and the highly publicized effects of Regeneron’s treatment, the company’s share price still hasn’t shown any meaningful upside.

Nonetheless, Regeneron still secured some agreements for REGEN-COV.

Based on the June 2020 agreement of Regeneron with the US government, the company expects to sell $260 million worth of REGEN-COV in the first quarter of 2021 for a fixed number of orders.

For the second quarter of 2021, though, the two parties set different terms for their deal.

Under these new terms, the US government will pay per dose regardless of REGEN-COV’s dose size.

Given the latest numbers from Regeneron’s trials, this could mean lower costs for the company.

Data from the clinical trials showed that REGEN-COV had the same effectiveness at the lower 1,200 mg dosage compared to the currently approved amount by the US FDA, which is 2,400 mg.

In fact, Regeneron’s treatment is reported to be as effective as the COVID-19 antibody therapies developed by Vir Biotechnology (VIR) and even Eli Lilly’s (LLY) candidate.

Looking at the positive results from Regeneron’s Phase 3 trials for REGEN-COV, it’s reasonable to expect higher sales than previously estimated.

Now, Regeneron shared that it aims to supply 1.25 million doses of the COVID-19 antibody therapy at the lower but equally effective 1,200 mg dose level.

If the FDA agrees to this emergency use authorization request, then Regeneron will be able to supply twice the number of COVID-19 doses.

If it delivers these doses by June 30, the US government will buy them for $2.6 billion regardless of the dosage used.

On average, Regeneron is expected to generate roughly $2.9 billion in sales for its COVID-19 antibody treatment.

Meanwhile, if REGEN-COV gains full FDA approval and gets marketed commercially, then the treatment can rake in at least $3.5 billion and peak at $5 billion this year alone.

Outside its COVID-19 program, Regeneron actually recorded better-than-expected results last year despite the pandemic ravishing the economy.

For example, there was a rebound in demand for its top-selling Eylea, with sales of the wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD) drug rising by 10% in the fourth quarter of 2020 to reach a total of $1.34 billion.

Bolstering the dominance of Eylea in the AMD market and to combat emerging competitors like Roche (RHHBY) with Faricimab and Novartis (NVS) with Beovu, Regeneron is looking to expand the drug’s application to cover more age groups.

Meanwhile, another bestseller, Dupixent, reached $1.17 billion in sales last year.

This is an impressive climb for the atopic dermatitis medication, which was developed with Sanofi (SNY), since it only recorded $751.5 million in the same period in 2019.

That indicates roughly 75% growth, with over a million prescriptions written for Dupixent in the US alone.

However, only 6% of those eligible patients have been treated with Regeneron’s product thus far.

This means that Dupixent has a lot of room to grow, with this drug estimated to reach peak sales at $12.5 billion.

Needless to say, Dupixent is quickly transforming into a blockbuster treatment.

Since its approval for eczema in 2017, this drug has expanded its indication to cover moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis not only among teens but also children. Notably, Dupixent holds a monopoly for this application to children.

Another revenue stream for Regeneron is its oncology sector led by Libtayo.

In 2020, net sales of this skin cancer treatment reached $348 million, showing an impressive 80% growth.

To date, Regeneron has at least 12 oncology treatments under clinical development.

In terms of the bottom line, Regeneron exceeded the expectations of $8.38 and reported adjusted earnings per share of $9.53 instead.

As vaccine rollouts continue to be a priority, it’s safe to say that the worst of the COVID-19 is just about in sight.

Consequently, investors are now looking into recovery and stocks that appear to be good buys when the coronavirus eventually becomes a thing of the past.

Regeneron is one of the attractive buys so far. While it has been underperforming in the past weeks, its business actually looks to be in great shape even if the pandemic goes on for longer.

regeneron covid

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-04-08 16:00:292021-04-13 18:52:41Low-Key Post-COVID-19 Recovery Stock
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 30, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
March 30, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(A PURE PLAY STOCK SELLING AT A BARGAIN)
(PFE), (BNTX), (MRNA), (AZN), (JNJ), (NVAX), (MRK), (VTRS), (LLY), (REGN)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-03-30 16:02:452021-03-30 17:08:16March 30, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

A Pure Play Stock Selling at a Bargain

Biotech Letter

It’s virtually impossible to find a period in history when drug development gained the unmitigated attention of the whole world.

Yet, this is exactly what happened in 2020 when we all waited with bated breath for the results of COVID-19 trials from the likes of Pfizer (PFE), BioNTech (BNTX), Moderna (MRNA), AstraZeneca (AZN), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), and Novavax (NVAX).

Despite this, it is astounding that biopharmaceutical stocks are cheaper than they have ever been in the past 20 years.

Given the fact that its collaboration with BioNTech made a central figure in the COVID-19 vaccine race, I think it’s best to put a spotlight on Pfizer today.

Pfizer was the first biopharmaceutical company to successfully market a COVID-19 vaccine, BNT162b2.

Recently, Pfizer received another good news. The FDA is no longer demanding that the company transport BNT162b2 at ultra-low temperatures.

When Pfizer revealed its strong results last year, the world was impressed and no one barely noticed the ultra-cold storage requirement that the achievement entailed.

But with competitors already gaining approvals as well, this particular requirement started to pose noticeable challenges to Pfizer’s vaccine supply chain and made it extremely challenging transporting the much-needed vaccines to remote areas.

These challenges highlight the significance of the recent FDA announcement regarding BNT162b2.

In terms of market share, Pfizer holds a significant advantage over the others.

As of the year-end of 2020, the company supplied 65 million doses to developed markets.

Meanwhile, the 2021 forecast for this product is at nearly 2 billion doses. This is estimated to rake in roughly $15 billion in revenue for Pfizer.

In comparison, Moderna’s advanced purchase deals are estimated to be worth $18 billion.

To sustain immunity, there’s the possibility that the vaccine would be needed annually.

This could lead to substantial demand for doses, with a two-dose vaccine like BNT162b2 projected to reach about 10 billion doses every year.

Realistically, the rising need for doses and the manufacturing requirements will obviously pressure profit margins.

However, if the vaccine does turn out to be an annual necessity, then it could become a valuable asset.

The entire COVID-19 market is estimated at $39 billion in 2021 and $23 billion in 2022.

Pfizer and even Moderna’s first mover advantage can easily help them dominate the market this year.

This means that the competition will heat up by 2022.

To ensure that it keeps the lead, Pfizer has commenced the Phase 1 trial for a COVID-19 pill.

Pfizer’s pill, dubbed PF-07321332, aims to inhibit the enzymes that cause the SARS-CoV-2 virus to replicate. The goal is to create an antiviral drug that works pretty much the same way as the one developed for HIV and Hepatitis C.

If the trials generate positive results, then PF-07321332 could be taken at the first sign of infection.

So far, lab results have shown the pill’s potent capacity to prevent the SARS-CoV-2 virus and other coronaviruses from replicating.

Pfizer isn’t the only one that came up with the idea of a COVID-19 pill. Merck (MRK), Eli Lilly (LLY), and Regeneron (REGN) have been conducting tests for their own version of the antiviral.

However, Pfizer is more than its COVID-19 programs.

In the past, investors wondered about the long-term growth potential of this company. Some questions are linked to its Upjohn unit, which included several products that lost patent exclusivity.

This segment clouded Pfizer’s pure play revenue and even its earnings growth. However, these questions were put to an end last year when Upjohn’s finally separated from Pfizer and formed a new company, Viatris (VTRS), with Mylan.

The effect of this move showed an amplified growth for Pfizer almost immediately.

In the fourth quarter alone of 2020, the company reported $11.68 billion in revenue, indicating a 12% increase year-over-year. If we exclude the sales from the COVID-19 vaccine, Pfizer’s revenue was still up by 8%.

Every key product segment in the company recorded revenue growth, which is remarkable considering the effects of the pandemic.

Revenue for its oncology sector went up 23% to reach $3 billion, with breast cancer treatment Ibrance leading the charge with an 11% boost to its sales to hit $1.4 billion.

To ensure that it corners the market, Pfizer also launched biosimilars Zirabev and Ruxience in the same quarter. Both generated $171 million in total.

Outside its COVID-19 program, other products in Pfizer’s vaccine segment significantly contributed to the 17% increase in revenue to reach $2 billion.

For example, the pneumonia vaccine Prevnar generated $1.8 billion thanks to the 10% boost in its revenue year-over-year.

As for Pfizer’s rare disease unit, revenue went up 24% to reach $865 million.

The segment leader so far is cardiomyopathy treatment Vyndagel, which achieved a jaw dropping 96% year-over-year boost in its revenue to generate $429 million. This product won’t face patent loss until 2026, so Pfizer still has a few more years to take advantage of it.

Pfizer’s revenues in 2020 were up 2% at $41.9 billion. Considering that it still managed to boost sales despite the pandemic, there’s a good chance that 2021 will be a better year for the company.

In fact, Pfizer estimates that it would reach nearly $60 billion in revenue, with an annualized EPS of roughly $3.15 in 2021.

Global sales in the biotechnology and healthcare industry are projected to be worth $1.2 trillion annually. This is a massive market that is all but guaranteed.

The S&P 500 trades at nearly 21.5x forward earnings, with pharmaceutical companies trading at only 13.2x. That’s a whopping 60% discount.

Considering that drug stocks have historically traded at roughly the same level as the S&P 500, the current situation still offers an unmistakable promise even if nothing else happens.

Continuous development in the sector not only advances our quality of life but also offers reasonable returns to investors.

 

pfizer

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-03-30 16:00:282021-04-03 23:48:48A Pure Play Stock Selling at a Bargain
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 16, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
March 16, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(A BARGAIN BUY STOCK)
(NVAX), (PFE), (MRNA), (JNJ), (SNY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-03-16 16:02:112021-03-16 16:49:01March 16, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

A Bargain Buy Stock

Biotech Letter

Biotechnology stocks have been going through a rough patch in the past weeks.

These previously unstoppable stocks have trailed the same path as the market in a sell-off, which has some of their investors fighting to keep calm.

In fact, the iShares Biotech Nasdaq ETF slid over 9% in the past month—a fall that affected some players who experienced all-time highs or enjoyed four-digit gains in 2020.

Inasmuch as all these sound discouraging, the decline might actually offer an opportunity.

Now, investors can snatch up some excellent stocks at pre-pandemic prices.

Among the biotechnology stocks that have dropped more than 28% to date from their latest high points, I find Novavax (NVAX) to be one of the most promising.

Novavax rose to over 2,700% in 2020, with the stock extending its gains well into 2021.

In the first five weeks of the year, Novavax jumped 186% following positive data from the Phase 3 trial of its COVID-19 vaccine, NVX-CoV2373, in the UK.

NVX-CoV2373 is widely anticipated to be the next COVID-19 vaccine candidate to win major regulatory approval.

Its Phase 3 study in the UK showed that NVX-CoV2373 was 96.4% effective against mild, moderate, and even severe cases of COVID-19 caused by the original strain of the coronavirus.

When tested against the “UK variant,” NVX-CoV2373 showed 86.3% efficacy. 

Meanwhile, NVX-CoV2373 was found to be 55.4% efficacious against the “South African” variant.

Overall, NVX-CoV2373 proved to be 100% effective in protecting patients from hospitalization and death. More importantly, the vaccine didn’t cause severe side effects.

Despite the promising results released, the biotech stock has slipped 46% since early February.

While some investors fret over the fact that rivals like Pfizer (PFE), Moderna (MRNA), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) have already started production and shipment of their vaccines, the developers of NVX-CoV2373 say there’s nothing to worry about.

NVX-CoV2373 doses are readily available and can be shipped as soon as Novavax gains regulatory approval.

More reassuringly, this vaccine candidate can be stored for months without any special handling.

While it hasn’t landed as many orders in the United States as its counterparts, Novavax has been securing its spot in the international markets.

The company has landed orders for roughly 200 million doses of NVX-CoV2373 for Canada, Australia, Switzerland, New Zealand, and the UK. It also has an agreement to supply 1.1 billion doses to the Serum Institute of India.

On top of these, Novavax has signed a deal to supply over 1 billion doses to COVAX, which is a global project initiated to secure fair access to vaccines for all countries.

Novavax has been boosting its manufacturing capacity as well, with the company ramping to produce over 2 billion doses of NVX-CoV2373 every year by mid-2021.

By comparison, Moderna is estimated to produce about 700 million to 1 billion doses this year.

In terms of revenue, Novavax hasn’t definitely discussed its pricing. What we know so far is the price paid by the US, which is $16 per dose.

Back of the napkin math says that brings the total to $4.8 billion for the orders from the US and the other countries so far this year and excluding the COVAX deal since the pricing might be substantially lower.

This is a massive revenue for a biotech company that doesn’t even have a product revenue yet.

Another exciting prospect is Novavax’s pipeline.

Right now, the company has another vaccine that can become a great revenue source: NanoFlu.

Before the pandemic broke, NanoFlu was actually the major reason investors flocked towards Novavax.

With its overwhelming performance against Sanofi’s (SNY) own FluZone Quadrivalent, NanoFlu has been slated for a myriad of commercial possibilities.

These include developing it as a combination vaccine with NVX-CoV2373 as well as with Novavax’s other vaccine candidate, with its experimental respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine.

Another program is looking into combining all three vaccines together.

Riding the momentum of its success with NVX-CoV2373, Novavax is also planning to develop vaccines for other coronavirus variants.

This could include a bivalent vaccine program, which is expected to commence by June 2021.

All these programs are positioning Novavax as a dominant leader in the vaccine market. 

If you haven’t considered Novavax before, then now is a good time to look into the stock. This is a company that has billions in locked-in revenues coming in this year alone.

Basically, buying Novavax stock would get you revenue in the near future, new products that will generate additional sales, and pipelines that offer growth—and if you buy the stock on the dip, you’re getting all these at a bargain.

 

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-03-16 16:00:162021-03-23 18:09:54A Bargain Buy Stock
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 9, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
March 9, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(AN MRNA STOCK TO CONSIDER)
(BNTX), (MRNA), (PFE), (NVS), (SNY), (AZN), (JNJ), (NVAX), (MRK), (BMY), (REGN), (DNA), (CVAC), (FB), (TSLA), (GOOG)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-03-09 11:02:522021-03-09 17:32:46March 9, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

February 23, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
February 23, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(IS THIS THE YEAR OF BIOTECH UPSTARTS?)
(PFE), (GSK), (MRK), (SNY), (MRNA), (BNTX), (NVAX), (AZN)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-02-23 14:02:072021-02-23 18:54:29February 23, 2021
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Is This the Year of Biotech Upstarts?

Biotech Letter

Vaccines have long been shoved to a sleepy little corner of the biopharmaceutical world, ruled over by a handful of companies that cater to billions of dollars’ worth of demand for vaccines every year, undisturbed by newcomers.

However, the COVID-19 pandemic has made this particular corner of the industry a tad more crowded.

While there’s still no clear picture of how the next stage of the efforts to vaccinate the majority of the human population against COVID-19 will work out, what’s evident is that the dominance of the “big four” publicly-traded vaccine developers will be challenged.

That means the battle for supremacy in the vaccine market will no longer be confined within Pfizer (PFE), GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Merck (MRK), and Sanofi (SNY).

As we’ve witnessed, the COVID-19 pandemic has provided entry points for new names in the industry, such as Moderna (MRNA), BioNTech (BNTX), and Novavax (NVAX).

By the second half of 2021, Novavax and its partners are targeting to supply 150 million doses of their vaccine, while Moderna says it would be distributing at least 600 million doses this year alone—a number that could reach a billion given the right partners in the future.

Those numbers are on par with global-level vaccine production—with Novavax and Moderna quickly gaining steam and catching up with the big players in the industry. 

For context, Sanofi made 250 million doses of its own flu vaccine for the 2021 flu season.

Given that Novavax also plans to release its own flu vaccine combined with the smaller company’s momentum, Sanofi is looking at a long-term rival in this sector.

Aside from offering these smaller biotechs opportunities for growth in terms of business, the pandemic has fast-tracked the advent of next-generation technologies in the industry.

Both Pfizer and Moderna have been approved to use the pioneering messenger RNA technology to develop their COVID-19 vaccine candidates.

Apart from mRNA technology, a similarly revolutionary approach is being explored by Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): viral vector technology.

Meanwhile, AstraZeneca (AZN) and its partner Oxford University came up with their own viral vector vaccine, which has been approved in Europe.

As for Novavax, this Maryland-based company has decided to use the more conventional approach utilizing a protein subunit vaccine.   

Although the exact size of the COVID-19 market is difficult to predict, it’s safe to say that it will be massive.

In terms of who could eventually get the lion’s share of the market, Pfizer is currently leading at the moment based on the government contracts the company managed to secure.

Pfizer estimates $15 billion in revenue from the COVID-19 vaccine in 2021—a number that’s two and a half times higher than its best-selling drug in 2020.

Moderna projects at least $10 billion in COVID-19 vaccine sales, while Novavax anticipates roughly $3.4 billion this year.

In the future though, there’s strong indication that AstraZeneca and JNJ will be vying for dominance for mass-market contracts. This is primarily because of their one-dose vaccine promise and the convenient storage requirements their candidates offer.

Another massive growth prospect for this vaccine is if the need for yearly boosters sticks around. This market would not only be lucrative for smaller companies like Novavax and Moderna, but even for the bigger vaccine players.

Considering the potential of this market, the current leaders of the COVID-19 vaccine race shouldn’t get too comfortable.

In fact, Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline have already joined forces to create their own COVID-19 vaccine candidate.

So while Pfizer, Moderna, and AstraZeneca already have their products out the door, other vaccine developers still consider themselves in the running to topple them from their perch.

 

 

 

 

covid-19 vaccine

 

covid-19 vaccine

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