"Twitter is about moving words. Square is about moving money," - said CEO of Twitter, Jack Dorsey, to The New Yorker, October 2013
"Twitter is about moving words. Square is about moving money," - said CEO of Twitter, Jack Dorsey, to The New Yorker, October 2013
Global Market Comments
December 26, 2018
Featured Trades:
(A CHRISTMAS STORY),
(THE U-HAUL INDICATOR)
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
While the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader focuses on investment over a one week to six-month time frame, Mad Day Trader, provided by Bill Davis, will exploit money-making opportunities over a brief ten minute to three-day window. It is ideally suited for day traders, but can also be used by long-term investors to improve market timing for entry and exit points. Read more
When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more
Global Market Comments
December 24, 2018
Fiat Lux
SPECIAL END OF YEAR ISSUE
Featured Trade:
(THANK YOU FROM THE MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER),
(MY LAST RESEARCH PIECE OF THE YEAR)
You are in safe hands now with your trading portfolios up nearly 23% on the year if you had followed every one of my Trade Alerts to the letter.
I know a lot of you made much more.
I would have delivered a much higher return in 2018 if I had taken off a week earlier and missed the worst December since 1931. Nothing like closing out the year with a swift kick in the pants.
All I can say is thank goodness for stop losses.
I will be making a beeline for my beachfront estate at Incline Village on the pristine shores of Lake Tahoe and work from there for the next two weeks. That is if I can battle my way through the nightmarish Sacramento holiday traffic.
My new Tesla Model X is packed to the gills with Christmas presents, ski equipment, snowshoes, board games (yes, “Qi” is a word in Scrabble), my expedition backpack, and food for 12 guests for two weeks. This will be the first time that I make it up to Lake Tahoe on a single charge. Thank you P100D!
For proof that after working 12 hours a day, six days a week to make you wealthier and wiser, please read my last research piece of the year below written tongue-in-cheek with a certain Hollywood classic in mind.
And what a year it has been. Over 26 trips and 40 speaking engagements in 20 countries, I managed to log 75,000 flight miles, a distance of roughly three times around the world.
Some 250,000 miles were posted to my various frequent flier accounts. Whenever I board Virgin Atlantic, the crew lines up at attention and snaps off a brisk salute. Needless to say, first class, for me, is the Land of Milk and Honey.
The research I gathered was enough for me to publish 260 daily letters totaling 350,000 words. That is about half the length of Tolstoy’s War and Peace, but them Tolstoy had to pen his time with a quill and ink, not Word for Windows.
I also managed to pump out over 200 trade alerts with a success ratio of 90%.
According to the email traffic, many of you did extremely well. If you are into triple digits, please send me an email. I would love to get a testimonial from you. I know that many of you have run out and purchased the new Tesla Model X gull wing P100D with the “ludicrous mode” on my recommendation.
You know that when they are advertising power tools and Pajamagrams on CNBC, it is time to get out of Dodge. I’ll take the hint.
There, I will consume a suitcase full of research and, after much cogitation and contemplation, write my 2019 Annual Asset Review which I will publish on Wednesday, January 8.
I will also be rethinking my business model, so if any of you have suggestions on how I can improve this service, send me an email at madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com.
Just put “suggestions” in the subject line. My intention is to never stop improving the product to under promise and over deliver.
It’s a nostrum of Silicon Valley that whenever you think you're finished, you’re finished.
Please forgive me in advance if I take a few hours catching some “big air” off of Squaw Valley’s treacherous double X black runs.
If you have any trading questions, please seek me out on the northern section Tahoe Rim Trail around 11,000 feet where I will be snowshoeing my way around the lake in subzero temperatures.
I will probably be the only guy up there so you can just follow the first set of tracks you find. That is if hungry mountain lions don’t get you first.
I’ll have my Bowie knife and an industrial sized can of bear spray so I’ll be fine. As for you, I’m not so sure. This is what I do during my winter leisure time.
During my absence, I will be posting some of my favorite pieces from the last year which give insights on how markets will play out over the coming decades and a lot of basic educational pieces.
I have thousands of new subscribers who will be reading these for the first time, and many legacy readers may have missed them the first time around or forgotten the data because they are older than me.
I hope you find them as another useful step towards your education on the global financial markets. Charts and data have been updated to make them relevant.
Finally, I want to thank you all for an incredible year. I crossed the Atlantic in luxury in the owner's suite of Cunard’s Queen Mary 2 (my uncle took the Queen Mary 1 in 1943 in somewhat more cramped conditions).
I rode the Orient Express from London to Venice. I lived in the lap of luxury at the Hotel Cipriani in Venice and at the Raffles in Singapore.
And I managed to haggle the merchants in Tangier’s historic bazaar down in price of the most elegant handmade carpets.
I had the opportunity to meet heads of state, CEOs, top money managers, our nation’s military leaders, and even a Maori chieftain.
I had the pleasure of flying the length of the Grand Canyon at low altitude as a pilot, weaving my way along the Colorado River. And, oh yes, I made it to the top of the Matterhorn one more time.
I really did get to rub shoulders with the high and mighty who run the world and harvest their pearls of wisdom which I passed on to you.
I logged 200 hours as a pilot flying to such diverse locations as the Great Barrier Reef in Australia and Honda’s loading docks in San Francisco.
I never minded the horrendous jet lag, the well-deserved hangovers, or the traffic jams in China. Your subscriptions to my products, your support of my research, and your endless compliments made it all worth it.
I always tell people that I am not in this for the money, and it’s true.
Not a day goes by when I don’t receive an email from a grateful reader who claims that I have paid off their mortgage, a kid’s college education, a parent’s uninsured operation, or a child’s chemotherapy.
They tell me that I am teaching them to fish; thus, sparing them from the frozen tasteless kind they sell at Safeway which they must wait in line to pay inflated prices. You can’t buy that kind of appreciation, not with all the money in the world.
It certainly beats the hell out of spending my retirement scoring a 98 on the local golf course. And I’ll never beat Tiger Woods, no matter how many blonds I date.
To leave you all in the Christmas spirit, I have posted a video and pictures of the Polar Express in Portland, Oregon.
Taking my family for a ride has become an annual event, and it is a thrill for my younger kids as well. To watch a short video of one of the largest steam engines in the world, please click here.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to All!
Good Trading in 2019!
John Thomas
The Mad Hedge Fund Trader
Mad Hedge Technology Letter
December 24, 2018
Fiat Lux
Featured Trade:
(THE CLOUD FOR DUMMIES)
(AMZN), (MSFT), (GOOGL), (AAPL), (CRM), (ZS)
If you've been living under a rock the past few years, the cloud phenomenon hasn't passed you by and you still have time to cash in.
You want to hitch your wagon to cloud-based investments in any way, shape or form.
Microsoft's (MSFT) pivot to its Azure enterprise business has sent its stock skyward, and it is poised to rake in more than $100 billion in cloud revenue over the next 10 years.
Microsoft's share of the cloud market rose from 10% to 13% and is catching up to Amazon Web Services (AWS).
Amazon leads the cloud industry it created and the 49% growth in cloud sales from 42% in Q3 2017 is a welcome sign that Amazon is not tripping up.
It still maintains more than 30% of the cloud market. Microsoft would need to gain a lot of ground to even come close to this jewel of a business.
Amazon (AMZN) relies on AWS to underpin the rest of its businesses and that is why AWS contributes 73% to Amazon's total operating income.
Total revenue for just the AWS division is an annual $5.5 billion business and would operate as a healthy stand-alone tech company if need be.
Cloud revenue is even starting to account for a noticeable share of Apple's (AAPL) earnings, which has previously bet the ranch on hardware products.
The future is about the cloud.
These days, the average investor probably hears about the cloud a dozen times a day. If you work in Silicon Valley you can triple that figure.
So, before we get deep into the weeds with this letter on cloud services, cloud fundamentals, cloud plays, and cloud Trade Alerts, let's get into the basics of what the cloud actually is.
Think of this as a cloud primer.
It's important to understand the cloud, both its strengths and limitations. Giant companies that have it figured out, such as Salesforce (CRM) and Zscaler (ZS), are some of the fastest growing companies in the world.
Understand the cloud and you will readily identify its bottlenecks and bulges that can lead to extreme investment opportunities. And that's where I come in.
Cloud storage refers to the online space where you can store data. It resides across multiple remote servers housed inside massive data centers all over the country, some as large as football fields, often in rural areas where land, labor, and electricity are cheap.
They are built using virtualization technology, which means that storage space spans across many different servers and multiple locations. If this sounds crazy, remember that the original Department of Defense packet-switching design was intended to make the system atomic bomb proof.
As a user, you can access any single server at any one time anywhere in the world. These servers are owned, maintained and operated by giant third-party companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (GOOGL), which may or may not charge a fee for using them.
The most important features of cloud storage are:
1) It is a service provided by an external provider.
2) All data is stored outside your computer residing inside an in-house network.
3) A simple Internet connection will allow you to access your data at any time from anywhere.
4) Because of all these features, sharing data with others is vastly easier, and you can even work with multiple people online at the same time, making it the perfect, collaborative vehicle for our globalized world.
Once you start using the cloud to store a company's data, the benefits are many.
Many companies, regardless of their size, prefer to store data inside in-house servers and data centers.
However, these require constant 24-hour-a-day maintenance, so the company has to employ a large in-house IT staff to manage them - a costly proposition.
Thanks to cloud storage, businesses can save costs on maintenance since their servers are now the headache of third-party providers.
Instead, they can focus resources on the core aspects of their business where they can add the most value, without worrying about managing IT staff of prima donnas.
Today's employees want to have a better work/life balance and this goal can be best achieved by letting them telecommute. Increasingly, workers are bending their jobs to fit their lifestyles, and that is certainly the case here at Mad Hedge Fund Trader.
How else can I send off a Trade Alert while hanging from the face of a Swiss Alp?
Cloud storage services, such as Google Drive, offer exactly this kind of flexibility for employees. According to a recent survey, 79% of respondents already work outside of their office some of the time, while another 60% would switch jobs if offered this flexibility.
With data stored online, it's easy for employees to log into a cloud portal, work on the data they need to, and then log off when they're done. This way a single project can be worked on by a global team, the work handed off from time zone to time zone until it's done.
It also makes them work more efficiently, saving money for penny-pinching entrepreneurs.
In today's business environment, it's common practice for employees to collaborate and communicate with co-workers located around the world.
For example, they may have to work on the same client proposal together or provide feedback on training documents. Cloud-based tools from DocuSign, Dropbox, and Google Drive make collaboration and document management a piece of cake.
These products, which all offer free entry-level versions, allow users to access the latest versions of any document so they can stay on top of real-time changes which can help businesses to better manage workflow, regardless of geographical location.
Another important reason to move to the cloud is for better protection of your data, especially in the event of a natural disaster. Hurricane Sandy wreaked havoc on local data centers in New York City, forcing many websites to shut down their operations for days.
The cloud simply routes traffic around problem areas as if, yes, they have just been destroyed by a nuclear attack.
It's best to move data to the cloud, to avoid such disruptions because there your data will be stored in multiple locations.
This redundancy makes it so that even if one area is affected, your operations don't have to capitulate, and data remains accessible no matter what happens. It's a system called deduplication.
The cloud can save businesses a lot of money.
By outsourcing data storage to cloud providers, businesses save on capital and maintenance costs, money that in turn can be used to expand the business. Setting up an in-house data center requires tens of thousands of dollars in investment, and that's not to mention the maintenance costs it carries.
Plus, considering the security, reduced lag, up-time and controlled environments that providers such as Amazon's AWS have, creating an in-house data center seems about as contemporary as a buggy whip, a corset, or a Model T.
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.