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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Ten Tech Trends Defining Your Future

Diary, Newsletter

Not a day goes by without a reader asking me what is the next stock ten, hundred, or thousand bagger. After all, I nailed the 295X move in Tesla (TSLA) starting in 2010.

Can’t I do better?

Well actually, I can, which is the purpose of the Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader. There are many potentially Google (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) sized opportunities out there today. It’s just a matter of time they become public and investable.

One thing I will tell you today is that they will have some or all of the following gale force tailwinds below. These will turbocharge the value of everything you own now, as well as anything new you might pick up going forward.

The future is happening fast!

1) People are Getting Richer, as the middle-income population continues to rise worldwide. That means more customers for everything, and astronomically greater earnings for the companies inventing and selling them. Every day goods and services (finance, insurance, education, and entertainment) are being digitized and becoming fully demonetized, available to the rising billion on mobile devices. Thank the convergence of high-bandwidth and low-cost communication, ubiquitous AI on the cloud, growing access to AI-aided education, and AI-driven healthcare.

2) And they are Communicating with Each Other More. The deployment of both licensed and unlicensed 5G, plus the launch of a multitude of global satellite networks (Starlink, OneWeb, Viasat, etc.), allow for ubiquitous, low-cost communications for everyone, everywhere, all the time––not to mention the connection of trillions of devices. And today’s skyrocketing connectivity is bringing online an additional 3 billion individuals, driving tens of trillions of dollars into the global economy and into the pockets of shareholders. Thank the convergence of low-cost space launches (Space-X), hardware advancements, 5G networks, artificial intelligence, a new generation of materials science, and exponentially surging computing power. 

3) Your Lifespan Will Increase by at Least Ten Years. A dozen game-changing biotech and pharmaceutical solutions (currently in Phase 1, 2, or 3 clinical trials) will reach consumers this decade as covered by the Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter (click here for the link). Technologies include stem cell supply restoration, senolytic or age-related medicines, a new generation of Endo-Vaccines, GDF-11, and supplementation of NMD/NAD+, among several others. And as machine learning continues to mature, AI is set to unleash countless new drug candidates, ready for clinical trials. Thank the convergence of genome sequencing, CRISPR technologies (CRSP), AI, quantum computing, and cellular medicine. 

4) More Capital for Everything Will Become Abundant. Over the past few years, humanity hit all-time highs in the global flow of seed capital, venture capital, and sovereign wealth fund investments. It is expected to continue its overall upward trajectory. Capital abundance leads to the funding and testing of "crazy" entrepreneurial ideas, which in turn accelerate innovation. Already, $300B in crowdfunding is anticipated by 2025, democratizing capital access for entrepreneurs worldwide. And even during a pandemic (2020), the world deployed more venture capital than ever before, handily beating out the last high-water mark in 2019. Thank global connectivity, dematerialization, demonetization, and democratization.

5) Distribution is Becoming Vastly Easier. The combination of Augmented Reality (yielding Web 3.0, or the Spatial Web) and 5G networks (offering lighting fast 100Mb/s - 10Gb/s connection speeds) will transform how we live our everyday lives, impacting every industry from retail and advertising, to education and entertainment. Consumers will play, learn and shop throughout the day in a newly intelligent, virtually overlaid world. This is where technologies like SpatialWeb.net, Vatoms (new digital connections between products and customers), and Apple’s (AAPL) next-generation AR & VR headsets will shine. Thank hardware advancements, 5G networks, AI, materials science, and surging computing power. 

(6) Everything is Getting Smarter: The price of specialized machine learning chips is dropping rapidly with a rise in global demand. Imagine a specialized $5 chip that enables AI for a toy, a shoe, a kitchen cabinet? Combined with the explosion of low-cost microscopic sensors and the deployment of high-bandwidth networks, we’re heading into a decade wherein every device becomes intelligent. Your child’s toy remembers her face and name. Your kid's drone safely and diligently follows and videos all the children at the birthday party. Appliances respond to voice commands and anticipate your needs. Thank AI, 5G networks, and more advanced sensors. 

(7) Artificial Intelligence is Getting Smarter than We are. Artificial intelligence will reach human-level performance this decade (by 2030). Through the 2020s, AI algorithms and machine learning tools will be increasingly made open source, available on the cloud, allowing any individual with an internet connection to supplement their cognitive ability, augment their problem-solving capacity, and build new ventures at a fraction of the current cost. Thank global high-bandwidth connectivity, neural networks, and cloud computing. Every industry, spanning industrial design, healthcare, education, and entertainment, will be impacted. 

(8) AI is Becoming a Service: The rise of “AI as a Service” (AIaaS) platforms will enable humans to partner with AI in every aspect of their work, at every level, in every industry. AI’s will become entrenched in everyday business operations, serving as cognitive collaborators to employees—supporting creative tasks, generating new ideas, and tackling previously unattainable innovations. In some fields, partnership with AI will even become a requirement. For example: in the future, making certain diagnoses without the consultation of AI may be deemed malpractice. And try trading stocks today without AI behind you. Thank increasingly intelligent AI, global high-bandwidth connectivity, neural networks, and cloud computing.

(9) Software Will Become an Integrated Part of Our Lives. As services like Alexa, Google Home, and Apple Homepod expand in functionality, such services will eventually travel beyond the home and become your cognitive prosthetic 24/7. Imagine a secure software shell that you give permission to listen to all your conversations, read your email, monitor your blood chemistry, etc. With access to such data, these AI-enabled software shells will learn your preferences, anticipate your needs and behavior, shop for you, monitor your health, and help you problem-solve in support of your mid- and long-term goals. Thank increasingly intelligent AI, neural networks, and cloud computing.

(10) Energy Will Become Effectively Free when compared to today’s all-in costs. Continued advancements in solar, wind, geothermal, hydroelectric, small nuclear, and localized grids will drive humanity towards cheap, abundant, and ubiquitous renewable energy. The price per kilowatt-hour will drop below 1 cent per kilowatt-hour for renewables, just as storage drops below a mere 3 cents per kilowatt-hour, resulting in the elimination of fossil fuels globally. And as the world’s poorest countries are also the world’s sunniest, the democratization of both new and traditional storage technologies will grant energy abundance to those already bathed in sunlight. We are also on the cusp of many breakthroughs in fusion power at nearby Lawrence Livermore Labs as capital, new materials, and entrepreneurs pour in this arena. Thank materials science, hardware advancements, AI/algorithms, and improved battery technologies.

I just thought you’d like to know.

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/John-Thomas-bull-ride-2-e1602171157859.png 516 450 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-24 10:02:012022-03-24 17:07:36Ten Tech Trends Defining Your Future
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 23, 2022

Tech Letter

Mad Hedge Technology Letter
March 23, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(NVDA STRENGTHENING INTO THE FUTURE)
(NVDA)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-23 16:04:492022-03-23 17:38:43March 23, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

NVDA Strengthening Into the Future

Tech Letter

The growing meaning of the metaverse to Nvidia (NVDA) is something that could strengthen the long-term trajectory for a company that I have loved for years.

It’s really the best of breed in terms of artificial intelligence if you look at it through the lens of a semiconductor.

Nvidia shares have rebounded quickly from the earlier dip and the 19% uptick is something that many investors have come to expect.

The stock is extremely resilient, and investors expect incessant dip-buying.

Nvidia’s strategic importance at the cutting edge of multiple industries makes it hard to discard this company.

Yesterday they had an investor call to showcase their newest product – Omniverse.

NVIDIA Omniverse is an easily extensible, open platform built for virtual collaboration and real-time physically accurate simulation. Creators, designers, researchers, and engineers can connect major design tools, assets, and projects to collaborate and iterate in a shared virtual space.

This product will nudge NVDA headfirst into the omniverse so much so that accelerating revenue projections are already starting to reflect the outperformance of omniverse.  

This division is just another notch in the belt for Nvidia who presides over many successful initiatives from gaming, data centers, crypto mining, AI, autonomous vehicles — they all offer significant growth potential for this company.

NVDA could be described as the jack of all trades, master of all.

Let me remind you that regarding the metaverse revenue of the expected growth to Nvidia’s existing market segments, the company could reach $140 billion in annual sales by 2040.

What Is the Metaverse?

The meaning and term “metaverse” has been liberally bandied around lately.  

Despite what some companies might want you to believe, it’s not a single entity or platform.

It’s more of a shift toward interacting digitally instead of purely physically. This can include virtual reality (VR), or a mix between digital and physical in the form of augmented reality (AR).

There will be dedicated spaces such as games and virtual worlds, and a digital economy is springing up to serve these communities.

Interoperable digital worlds is the core of metaverse and it will become real very quickly.

When that happens, expect Nvidia to be one of the biggest winners of metaverse economics.

Think of the metaverse today as the early days of the internet to get a visualization of how it is primed to explode in capabilities and importance.

Nvidia’s technology will be an important cog in the metaverse’s future development. The metaverse requires massive server infrastructure to host virtual worlds. Nvidia has leveraged the parallel processing capabilities of its GPUs to become a leader in GPU-accelerated data center solutions. The company’s data center revenue was up 71% year over year in its latest earnings report.  

AI will be in high demand for an interactive metaverse experience — another strong point for NVDA.

Making the most of a PC-based metaverse will require the installation of high-powered graphics cards.

The creators who design metaverse experiences and populate them with virtual goods will also need high-powered GPUs and software tools.

Therefore, it makes sense that NVDA is rolling out the omniverse platform to facilitate the construction of the metaverse.

Investors should look forward to NVDA allocating the incremental resource to the metaverse in order to corner the market for its technology.

This is very much one of those situations where if NVDA is a critical element to the start-up phase, they won’t be kicked out of the next phase of development.

Readers should be adding this stock on any tech sell-off, it’s rare that NVDA is on discount.

 

nvidia metaverse

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-23 16:02:442022-03-30 20:18:16NVDA Strengthening Into the Future
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Quote of the Day - March 23, 2022

Tech Letter

“I fear the day when the technology overlaps with our humanity. The world will only have a generation of idiots.” – Said German-born Theoretical Physicist Albert Einstein

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/einstein.png 342 510 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-23 16:00:312022-03-23 17:36:48Quote of the Day - March 23, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 23, 2022

Diary, Newsletter, Summary

Global Market Comments
March 23, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE MAD HEDGE TRADERS & INVESTORS SUMMIT VIDEOS ARE UP!)
(WHY WARREN BUFFET HATES GOLD),
(GLD), (GDX), (ABX), (GOLD)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-23 11:06:382022-03-23 16:05:24March 23, 2022
Arthur Henry

Why Warren Buffet Hates Gold

Diary, Newsletter

Those in the investment business are well used to the Armageddon crowd. These are the guys who are perennially predicting the collapse of the dollar, the default of the US government, hyperinflation, and the end of the world.

Maybe after 11 years of rising, stocks are finally expensive on a relative basis?

Their perennial recommendations are to keep all your assets in gold and silver, store at least a year’s worth of canned food, and keep your untraceable guns well-oiled and supplied with ammo, preferably in high capacity magazines.

If you followed their advice, you lost your shirt.

I have broken many of these wayward acolytes of their money-losing habits. But not all of them. There seems to be an endless supply emanating from the hinterlands.

The “Oracle of Omaha” Warren Buffet often goes to great lengths to explain why he despises the yellow metal.

The sage doesn't really care about the gold, whatever the price. He sees it primarily as a bet on fear. I imagine he feels the same about Bitcoin, the modern tulips of our age.

If investors are more afraid in a year than they are today, then you make money on gold. If they aren't, then you lose money.

The only problem now is that fear ain’t working.

If you took all the gold in the world, it would form a cube 67 feet on all sides, worth $5 trillion. For that same amount of money, you could own other assets with far greater productive earning power, including:

*All the farmland in the US, about 1 billion acres, which is worth $2.5 trillion.

*Two Apple’s (AAPL), the largest capitalized company in the world at $3 trillion.

Instead of producing any income or dividends, gold just sits there and shines, making you feel like King Midas.

I don't know. With the stock market at an all-time high, and oil trading at $70.49/barrel, a bet on fear looks pretty good to me right now.

I'm still sticking with my long-term forecast of the old inflation-adjusted high of $2,300/ounce. But it might be very long term.

It is just a matter of time before emerging market central bank buying pushes it up there. And who knows? Fear might make a comeback too.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Gold-Coin.jpg 235 225 Arthur Henry https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Arthur Henry2022-03-23 11:02:002022-03-23 16:03:26Why Warren Buffet Hates Gold
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 22, 2022

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech and Healthcare Letter
March 22, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(THE 800-POUND GORILLA IN THE GENE-SEQUENCING SECTOR)
(ILMN), (A), (TMO), (MRK), (RHHBY)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-22 17:02:012022-03-23 08:45:09March 22, 2022
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The 800-Pound Gorilla in Gene-Sequencing Sector

Biotech Letter

I’m a huge fan of the "razor and blades" business strategy, where the pricing and marketing model is designed to generate recurring, dependable income by ensuring that a customer is locked in onto a product or service for a long time.

The COVID-19 pandemic underscored the significance of DNA sequencing in improving and monitoring global health.

Thanks to DNA sequencing, we were able to identify the novel coronavirus and eventually developed vaccines and PCR-based tests. This also played a crucial role in detecting new strains and even transmission tracking.

To date, the top name in the DNA sequencing community is Illumina (ILMN).

In terms of competitors, the closest to Illumina’s dominance are Agilent Technologies (A) and Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO). However, neither have developed their platforms enough to be directly comparable to Illumina.

Illumina has a notable installed base comprising approximately 20,000 machines owned by roughly 7,300 clients.

With the rising popularity of DNA sequencing, the demand for the company’s installation base is estimated to continue growing and along with it is the sale of consumables.

This is where the razor and blades business model comes in.

The consumables form a major part of Illumina’s strategy, with the instruments serving as “razors” and consumables as “blades.”

The cost of instruments can fall within the range of $20,000 to $1 million and are essential elements of expanding the company’s portfolio and locking in clients into long-term commitments.

Consumables typically represent 50% or more of the revenue of any DNA sequencing company. For Illumina, the number climbs to 80%.

Considering that the consumables also need repairs, this segment is expected to continue generating profits in services and contracts.

Evidently, 80% recurring revenue is highly indicative of a rock-solid business.

While the business model isn’t unique to Illumina, the company has attracted attention in Wall Street due to its exponential growth over the past years.

In the last five years, Illumina has practically doubled its revenue. During the COVID-induced economic slowdown, the company quickly recovered from a brief slump and accelerated its revenue growth at an even faster pace.

In the fourth quarter report for 2021, Illumina reported about $1.9 billion in revenue or an impressive 25% increase year-over-year.

As for 2022, the company is conservatively anticipating a 14% to 16% growth in its revenue.

Another step towards securing dominance in this field is Illumina’s decision to launch the TruSight Oncology Comprehensive test in Europe.

This is basically a cancer test that uses a single tissue sample to test for a broad range of tumor genes and biomarkers.

The goal is to create a “tumor profile” of patients with rare conditions to find a matching treatment option via precision technology. This doesn’t only cover available cancer therapies in the market but also clinical trials.

While this test focuses on the oncology sector, Illumina and its competitors are presumably working on more sophisticated genetic profile-based diagnostic tools for other conditions.

Although this has yet to be launched on a larger scale, Illumina is reported to seek collaborations with leading oncology treatment providers like Merck (MRK), Bayer (BAYN), and Roche (RHHBY).

Illumina has invested in seven new startups to further expand its pipeline: 4SR Biosciences; B4X; Cache DNA; CRISP-HR Therapeutics; NonExomics; Purpose Health; and Rethink Bio.

These focus on breakthrough therapies, DNA storage, mental wellness, sustainable food, and diagnostics.

Illumina has invested in 68 startups to date. This is a brilliant scheme to continue company growth and pipeline expansion for decades.

The DNA sequencing market was valued at $6.243 million in 2017 and is projected to hit $25.470 million by 2025.

Illumina’s remarkable execution of the razor and blades model, strong profit margins, and proactive profitability initiatives catapulted it to the top of the DNA sequencing sector.

Needless to say, Illumina is the 800-pound gorilla in the gene-sequencing sector—a dominance that is expected to go on for years.

 

dna sequencing

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-22 17:00:282022-03-30 19:51:42The 800-Pound Gorilla in Gene-Sequencing Sector
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Crypto Alert - (MSTR) March 22, 2022 - BUY

Bitcoin Alerts

When John identifies a strategic exit point, he will send you an alert with specific trade information as to what security to sell, when to sell it, and at what price. Most often, it will be to TAKE PROFITS, but, on rare occasions, it will be to exercise a STOP LOSS at a predetermined price to adhere to strict risk management discipline. Read more

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Alert-e1457452190575.jpg 135 150 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-22 15:16:432022-03-22 15:16:43Crypto Alert - (MSTR) March 22, 2022 - BUY
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

March 22, 2022

Bitcoin Letter

Mad Hedge Bitcoin Letter
March 22, 2022
Fiat Lux

Featured Trade:

(GOLDMAN INCHES INTO CRYPTO)
(BTC), (GS), (OTC)

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2022-03-22 14:04:542022-03-22 16:06:11March 22, 2022
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There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. MadHedgeFundTrader.com and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Affiliates of MadHedgeFundTrader.com may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.

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