Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 6, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Global Markets Fall of Fifth Day, as trade war worries send risk takers fleeing. Oops! Came out of my long volatility position a day early as the (VIX) hits $15.50, up 25% in four days. At least I’m still short the (SPY). Click here.

2) Goldman Sachs (GS) Decides Against Opening a Bitcoin Trading Desk. Crypto currencies crash, with Bitcoin down $1,000 in one day. I told you it was a Ponzi scheme! Click here.

3) Trump Says Google (GOOGL) is Rigged. Don’t believe it. If it were they’d lose half their customers, and they know that. Click here.

4) U.S. Factory Orders Fall in July. Down 0.8%, for some reason the Chinese quit buying airplanes. Is this the first chink in the armor of a strong economy? One data point does not a trend make. Click here.

5) The Government Runs Out of Money on October 1. Yes, another shutdown is on the way. Will the shutdown last until the midterm elections? Will liquidity flush markets notice? Better cash your Social Security check now! Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(TUESDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2018, MIAMI, FL,
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(HOW THE RISK PARITY TRADERS ARE RUINING EVERYTHING!),
(VIX), (SPY), (TLT),
(TESTIMONIAL),
(THE SMART PLAYS IN FINTECH),
(SQ), (PYPL), (JPM), (COF), (WFC), (BAC),
(MGI), (GRUB), (BABA), (NFLX)

 

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 4, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Trade Talks Fail on Every Front, and markets hate it. Punitive tariffs against our allies are turning from a negotiating tactic to trench warfare. Expect a long slog. It’s a good day to be long volatility (VXX), now up 25% from our cost. Click here.

2) It’s Also a Good Day to be Short Bonds (TLT), as massive corporate issuance collides with huge government borrowing. A 15% profit on our short position is now within reach. Click here.

3) U.S. Manufacturing Activity Hits a 14-Year High. Yes, the economy is still red hot, but is it peaking? Click here.

4) Mercedes Launches its First Electric Car, the EQ, in the first real challenge to Tesla (TSLA) in a decade. But it still can’t match Tesla on range. Click here.

5) Ford (F) Accelerates its Exit from the Sedan Business, as we move to an SUV world. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

 

(WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2018, HOUSTON
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(DON’T MISS THE SEPTEMBER 5 GLOBAL STRATEGY WEBINAR),
(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or
THE WAR WITH CANADA STARTS ON TUESDAY),
(MSFT), (VXX), (TLT), (AAPL), (KO), (GM), (F),
READY PLAYER ONE'S INSIGHT INTO THE FUTURE OF TECHNOLOGY

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
August 30, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Amazon Hits $2,000. My 2018 target is achieved, while Morgan Stanley raises theirs to $2,500. Stock markets are now generally overheated. Click here.
 
2) Weekly Jobless Claims Rise Slightly, to 213,000 but are still near century lows. The full employment economy continues. Click here.

3) The U.S. Struggles to Salvage a Trade Deal with Canada, to beat tomorrow’s deadline. It’s our car exporters against their cows. Will we see a Friday surprise? Click here.

4) Salesforce (CRM) Lowers Forward Guidance, as too much revenue bunches up in Q2. Stock drops $6; buy the dip. Click here.

5) An Anonymous Bidder Paid $3.3 million to Have Lunch with Warren Buffett, at Smith & Wollensky in New York to fund a variety of anti-poverty charities. Gee, I would have done it for only $2 million, and I would have gone Dutch. He’s still adding to his Apple position at $224. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(TUESDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2018, MIAMI, FL, GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(IT’S TIME TO START LOOKING AT EMERGING MARKETS),
(EEM), (EPHE), (PIN), (FXI), (EWZ),
(INDUSTRIES YOU WILL NEVER HEAR ABOUT FROM ME),
(ON TRUMP’S TECHNOLOGY ATTACK),
(AMZN), (GOOGL), (FB), (AMD), (NVDA), (TWTR)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
August 28, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Markets Hit New All-Time High. The market action is broadening. The year-end melt-up has begun. Buy dips in everything, keeping in mind that the Mad Hedge Profit Predictor is entering scary “SELL” territory! Click here.
 
2) U.S. Consumer Confidence Hits an 18-Year High. It’s always like this at the top. Max out that credit card! Click here.

3) Trump Tries for a Trade Trifecta, with a deadline for a Canadian deal this Friday. I give it a 25% chance, so look for a buyable dip in the markets after that. Click here.

4) The U.S. Trade Deficit Soars. It turns out that beating up your trade partners doesn’t encourage them to buy more of your exports, especially since new tariffs and a strong dollar are making them much more expensive. Click here.

5) Trumps Attacks Google, claiming the company suppresses positive news stories about him. The stock (GOOG) barely moves. Don’t piss off Silicon Valley or strange things will start to happen. The Valley also accounts for 50% of all U.S. profits and generated most of the stock market gains since Trump’s election, so be careful who you abuse. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(VERTICAL BULL CALL SPREADS REVISITED),
(HD), ($INDU),
(THE RECEPTION THAT THE STARS FELL UPON),
(TESTIMONIAL),
(SPOTIFY STILL HAS SOME UPSIDE),
(SPOT), (AMZN), (AAPL), (P)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
August 24, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

 

1) Powell Says Interest Rate Rises to Remain Slow, stocks love it, Washington be damned! Buy the dips! Click here.

2) Gap (GPS) Gets Crushed on Earnings Fail. Not all retailers are staging a dramatic comeback. DON’T buy this dip. Click here.

3) China is Playing Hardball in Trade Talks. Don’t expect a resolution anytime soon now that they sense weakness in Washington. Click here.

4) SEC Rejects Another Seven Bitcoin ETFs. Don’t count on them to approve Ponzi schemes anytime soon. And ETFs were supposed to by the big crypto currency salvation. Click here.

5) Don’t Plan That Hawaii Getaway this Weekend. Some 40 inches of rain have already fallen on the Big Island. I called all my Hawaiian subscribers before the lines went down as a precaution. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

(AUGUST 22 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),
(BIDU), (BABA), (VIX), (EEM), (SPY), (GLD), (GDX), (BITCOIN),
(SQM), (HD), (TBT), (JWN), (AMZN), (USO), (NFLX), (PIN),
(TAKING A BITE OUT OF STEALTH INFLATION)