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Tag Archive for: (NVS)

Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Clearing the Smoke

Biotech Letter

Philip Morris (PM) has long been synonymous with tobacco products, with the company dating all the way back in 1847.

Over 170 years later, though, this $154.6 billion company has gathered and read the tea leaves—and it looks like it finally realized that the future is “smoke-free.”

In a complete about-face, the Marlboro maker is now telling people that it wants to find a cure for heart and lung problems—the very same health conditions people get from tobacco.

Turning from poacher to gamekeeper, Philip Morris has decided to use its widely known expertise in inhalation to improve the health of the people.

One of its major moves towards this decision is to gatecrash the bidding for Vectura, a UK-based contract development and manufacturing company (CDMO) for the healthcare and pharmaceutical industry.

Vectura is known for its expertise and device technology in inhaled products, and the company has been working with numerous companies in the healthcare field, including GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Novartis (NVS), and Bayer (BAYN).

Basically, Vectura develops treatments and medicines that help manage and cure smoking-related diseases.

So far, Vectura has 13 inhaled medicines along with 11 non-inhaled treatments in the market today.

To date, Philip Morris has raised its offer price to beat out the other contenders bidding for Vectura.

It’s now offering $2.30 per share, with the total reaching roughly $1.4 billion. That puts an almost 45% premium over Vectura’s shares—an offer that experts believe wouldn’t be matched elsewhere.

Considering that Vectura only generated $245 million last year, this is a massive gamble for Philip Morris.

This move comes after Philip Morris acquired Fertin Pharma for $820 million in July.

Fertin is known for developing nicotine chewing gum, lozenges, chewable tablets, and “pouch powders” that quickly dissolve in the user’s mouth.

Considering that Fertin only generated roughly $160 million in sales in 2020, Philip Morris’ move to buy it at that price point also speaks volumes of its plans moving forward.

Although it has yet to wrap up its Vectura acquisition, Philip Morris is not one to wait around.

While waiting for a decision on the British company, it snapped up another respiratory drug development company: OtiTopic.

Founded in 2012, OtiTopic’s main work is focused on Aspirhale, which is a late-stage inhalable acetylsalicylic acid for intermediate to high-risk acute myocardial infarction.

In simpler terms, OtiTopic is working on an inhaled aspirin for heart attacks.

Specifically, Aspirhale works as a dry powder inhalation via a self-administered aerosol.

This is promising since early research indicates that inhaled systems can alleviate the condition in two minutes compared to the 20 minutes needed for chewable aspirin.

With Philip Morris behind it, OtiTopic expects to complete testing soon and file for FDA approval by early 2022.

Considering the massive and expanding market for inhaled therapeutics science, the work of OtiTopic and Philip Morris is estimated to generate at least $1 billion in net revenues by 2025.

Moreover, the tobacco company anticipates the market for inhaled therapeutics will rapidly grow in the next few years and reach as much as $41 billion globally by 2026—a reasonable justification for its decision to splurge on Vectura as well.

When Philip Morris announced that it’ll stop selling cigarettes in the United Kingdom in 10 years, a lot of people thought it’ll be folding up shop.

Truth be told, the company’s about-face to healthcare wasn’t the strongest possibility entertained by the market.

Most believed that it would join forces again with its spinoff, Altria Group (MO), to form a stronger company in the industry and become a powerhouse of smoke-free alternatives.

However, its recent acquisitions indicate that Philip Morris plans to use Fertin, OtiTopic, and Vectura as the core of its legacy business in the healthcare and pharmaceutical industry. 

According to Philip Morris, these decisions are part of its "natural evolution into a broader healthcare and wellness company."

While it does feel a bit like an arsonist marketing fire damage insurance, Philip Morris appears to be putting money where its mouth is in terms of transforming itself into a serious life sciences company.

Philip Morris

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

August 3, 2021

Biotech Letter

 

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
August 3, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(SHAKING UP THE BIOTECHNOLOGY AND HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY)
(PSTX), (PFE), (NVS), (GILD), (GSK), (BLUE), (CRSP), (EDIT)

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Shaking Up the Biotechnology and Healthcare Industry

Biotech Letter

With the advancement of biotechnology and healthcare, it’s not hard to imagine a future where drugs and therapies will be tailored to every person’s unique genetic profile.

Thanks to the continuous work on mass customization in the world of pharmaceuticals and even in whole genome sequencing, it’s only a matter of time before we can come up with a personalized pill for each popper.

Nowadays, robotics and automation have started to become tightly integrated with the medical arena. In fact, robotics in the field of pharmaceuticals is no longer anything novel.

The majority of drug manufacturers across the globe are already utilizing robots to address their needs, such as packaging and warehouse storage.

What interests me most, though, is how automation plays an active role in developing actual therapies. After all, doing this entails so much more than simply feeding codes to robots to teach them how to move test tubes around a lab.

One company that has been gaining traction in this space is Multiply Labs. Established in 2016 with roughly $22 million in funding thus far, this San Francisco company aims to be a force multiplier not only in creating personalized pills but also cell therapies.

Run by mostly MIT graduates, Multiply Labs started out by letting their robots take 24-hour shifts to quickly deliver biologic drugs needed for clinical trials.

That offers tremendously faster turnaround times and shorter waiting periods for researchers and pharmaceutical companies.

Since virtually perfecting that process, the company has decided to expand its focus to handle more challenging and complex work.

Now, it has set its sights on using its robotics platform to ease bottlenecks in the development of cell therapies.

As we know, cell therapies are regarded as powerful tools in the battle against cancer. However, the production process is extremely labor-intensive. This makes their development incredibly expensive.

Let’s take CAR-T cell therapy, which boosts the body’s immune system to help it fight off cancer, as an example.

In CAR-T cell therapy, scientists need to extract blood from the patient. Then they’d have to isolate the immune cells, which they would need to genetically engineer.

After that, they have to carefully grow the new cells. Finally, they’d inject these genetically engineered new cells back into the patient.

In most cases, every step needs to be repeated for individual patients.

What Multiply Labs is trying to do is automate several stages, such as genetically altering the harvested cells, which can only be performed by highly trained professionals.

Not only will they be able to cut down on the time needed to complete the procedures, they would also be able to reduce—if not completely eliminate—human error.

Aside from working with the University of California San Francisco, Multiply Labs has been collaborating with Cytiva, a subsidiary of Dannaher (DHR), to move their services closer to commercialization.

Apart from Multiply Labs, another San Francisco company has been working on improving the expensive, logistically complicated, and oftentimes error-filled cell therapy space: Cellares.

Unlike Multiply Labs, which aims to ease the bottleneck in the cell therapy creation process, Cellares’ goal is to handle the entire procedure on its own. 

Dubbing its work as the “Cell Shuttle,” what Cellares offers is basically a “factory in a box” solution to the creators of cell therapies.

Basically, the “Cell Shuttle” is an end-to-end solution that comes in the form of a box designed to deliver an automated cell therapy platform. Cellares’ product handles everything from beginning to end, starting from taking in the cells of the patient to injecting the genetically engineered versions back into the individual.

Raking in roughly $100 million in funding so far, Cellares’ plan is to allow the pharmaceutical companies to scale and deploy the “Cell Shuttle” based on their needs.

To date, Cellares’ latest collaborator in this venture is Poseida Therapeutics (PSTX).

However, there are thousands of cell-based and cell therapy clinical studies conducted across the globe. The cell and gene therapy (CGT) sector is projected to be one of the fastest-growing markets in the healthcare sector, with the segment estimated to reach $14 billion by 2025.

Moreover, CGT offers promising treatments for severe and chronic conditions like obesity, diabetes, and, of course, cancer. It can also be the answer to rare genetic conditions and their related complications.

That’s why it comes as no surprise that Big Pharma names like Pfizer (PFE), Novartis (NVS), Gilead Sciences (GILD), and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) are taking interest in this niche.

However, the progress of smaller companies, such as bluebird Bio (BLUE), CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP), and Editas Medicine (EDIT), also offers incredible potential in this space.

And while Poseida Therapeutics may be the first to collaborate with the likes of Cellares and Multiply Labs, the rest would undoubtedly follow suit in integrating robotics and healthcare in the near future.

 

 

multiply labs

 

multiply labs

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

May 20, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
May 20, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(REGENERATED REGENERON)
(REGN), (PFE), (JNJ), (AMGN), (BMY), (GILD), (MRK), (LLY), (SNY), (BAYRY), (NVS), (RHHBY)

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Regenerated Regeneron

Biotech Letter

The biotechnology and healthcare sectors have become attractive investment targets for investors who recognize the value and essence of these industries along with the possible risks associated with them.

While not all companies in these areas are great investments, some offer remarkable growth opportunities.

One company worth considering is Regeneron (REGN), with its strong and stable investment thesis and steady organic growth.

Regeneron joins the ranks of Pfizer (PFE) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) as one of the handful of biopharmaceutical companies to release solid first quarter results this 2021 compared to other big names in the industry, including Amgen (AMGN), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Gilead Sciences (GILD), Merck (MRK), and Eli Lilly (LLY). 

The New York-based company reported a 38% boost in its revenue compared to the same period in 2020, reaching $2.5 billion for the first quarter of 2021 alone.

Virtually all of Regeneron’s products generated solid growth during this period, with the company’s COVID-19 antibody cocktail REGEN-COV delivering the highest sales at $262 million.

To underscore just how significant REGEN-COV is to Regeneron this quarter, its absence from the roster would take away 18% from the company’s overall revenue growth.

Riding the momentum of its COVID-19 program, Regeneron has developed Inmazeb, which is a treatment for Ebola virus infection.

Aside from its COVID-19 antibody cocktail, Regeneron also saw an impressive boost in the performance of its atopic dermatitis drug Dupixent.

Dupixent, which Regeneron sells in partnership with Sanofi (SNY), generated $1.26 billion in sales in the first quarter, showing off a notable 48% increase from its 2020 report.

Although Dupixent is a shared product with Sanofi, this dermatitis drug holds incredible promise for Regeneron.

To date, only 6% of eligible patients are being treated with Dupixent. This indicates a massive space that is yet to be explored by both companies.

Taking into consideration the pace at which Dupixent has been growing so far, this drug is projected to peak at roughly $12.5 billion in sales in the coming years.

Another high-selling drug for Regeneron is wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD) treatment Eylea.

Sales for this drug, which was developed in collaboration with Bayer (BAYRY), went up from $1.2 billion in the first quarter of 2020 to $1.3 billion this year.

The increase in sales for Eylea is a welcome surprise for both Regeneron and Bayer, especially since more and more competitors are attempting to topple the drug as the top product in the niche.

Cornering the AMD segment is an attractive venture for any biopharmaceutical company.

After all, Eylea generated $4.9 billion in sales in 2020 from the US market alone.

Thus far, two main competitors have come forward as the strongest.

One is Novartis (NVS), which released Beovu in 2019.

The second, and possibly the stronger competitor between the two, is Roche (RHHBY) with Faricimab.

To ensure its dominance in the AMD market, Regeneron has been expanding the use of Eylea.

The latest development is the drug’s enrollment in the Phase 3 program, which would allow extended periods in between treatments but still deliver the same level of efficacy and safety.

Aside from these, Regeneron is looking into additional revenue streams ahead.

One growth segment is its oncology program, particularly its cancer drug Libtayo, which may soon be marketed to cover a fourth type of cancer.

Regeneron aims to submit Libtayo for review as a treatment for advanced cervical cancer.

On top of this, the drug is also a strong contender in the development of several antibody treatments.

Thus far, the company has 12 oncology antibodies under clinical development.

Overall, Regeneron’s strong results for the first quarter of 2021 highlighted its continuous evolution into a company carrying multiple and diverse portfolios of products and pipeline programs that address an extensive range of serious diseases, from COVID-19 and rare diseases to cancer.

regeneron

https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png 0 0 Mad Hedge Fund Trader https://madhedgefundtrader.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/cropped-mad-hedge-logo-transparent-192x192_f9578834168ba24df3eb53916a12c882.png Mad Hedge Fund Trader2021-05-20 15:00:332021-05-29 19:53:46Regenerated Regeneron
Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 27, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
April 27, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(THE FUTURE OF MEDICINE)
(CRSP), (VRTX), (EDIT), (NTLA), (PFE), (NVS), (GILD), (RHHBY),
(BMRN), (QURE), (SGMO), (CLLS), (ALLO), (BEAM)

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The Future of Medicine

Biotech Letter

Winning the Nobel Prize in 2020 provided biotechnology companies more traction on Wall Street.

The victory led to commercializing the 2012 discovery, Crispr-Cas9, at breakneck speed, with gene editing companies like CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP), Editas Medicine (EDIT), and Intellia Therapeutics (NTLA) gaining considerable boost in their values.

Since then, the total market value for the products of these three has more than doubled in recent months to reach $23 billion.

Basically, Crispr-Cas9 functions like molecular scissors.

What makes this technology incredible is that Crispr-Cas9 can classify a single address out of 3 billion letters within the genome by using only a particular sequence. With this, we can repair thousands of genetic conditions and even offer more potent ways to battle cancer.

The market favorite among the gene editing companies so far is CRISPR Therapeutics, with $8.72 billion in market capitalization.

In comparison, Editas has $2.76 billion while Intellia Therapeutics has $4.15 billion.

CRISPR Therapeutics is currently working on a treatment that would implant tumor-targeting immune cells in cancer patients. The company is also prioritizing therapies that could edit cells to treat diabetes.

So far, it has made significant progress in developing treatments for a genetic disorder called sickle cell.

In the US alone, at least 100,000 people suffer from sickle cell disease, with 4,000 more born every year. Conservatively, we can estimate at least 3,000 patients availing of this one-time treatment at over $1.6 million a pop. 

To date, CRISPR Therapeutics has five candidates under clinical trials for diseases like B-thalassemia, sickle cell disease, and other regenerative conditions.

It has four more queued, which target diabetes, cystic fibrosis, and Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Compared to its rivals in the space, it’s clear that CRISPR Therapeutics is ahead when it comes to product development and trials.

Two of its candidates, transfusion-dependent beta thalassemia treatment CTX001 and sickle cell disease therapy CTX110, have already been submitted for clinical tests for safety and efficacy.

Recently, Vertex (VRTX) boosted its 2015 agreement with CRISPR Therapeutics by 10%, with the deal reaching $900 million upfront to push for quicker results in developing CTX001.

This is a crucial move for Vertex, but more so for CRISPR Therapeutics as CTX001 holds a highly lucrative addressable market.

The additional funding significantly widened the gap between the Vertex-CRISPR team and bluebird bio (BLUE) in the race to launch a new gene editing therapy targeting sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia.

To sustain its growth, CRISPR Therapeutics’ strategy is to develop drugs that only require mid-level complexity but can rake in generous financial rewards.

This is a similar tactic used by bigger and more established biotechnology companies like Pfizer (PFE), Novartis (NVS), and Gilead Sciences (GILD).

Evidently, this strategy is a great way to ensure cash flow.

Aside from its earning from the commercialization of these products, CRISPR Therapeutics can also attract larger companies to buy the intellectual property of their breakthrough treatments.

After all, startups generally get 100% premiums in contracts with Big Pharma.

Good examples of this are Novartis that bought AveXis and Roche’s (RHHBY) purchase of Spark Therapeutics.

The Roche-Spark agreement led to the first-ever FDA-approved treatment since gene therapy trials started in the 1990s. It was for the genetic blindness therapy Luxturna, which received the green light in 2017.

The second approved treatment was a muscle-wasting disease therapy Zolgensma, which was the fruit of the Novartis-Avexis acquisition.

Both conditions are rare, but the financial rewards are impressive.

At $2 million for each treatment, Zolgensma sales reached $1.2 billion annually. At the rate the therapy is selling, Novartis estimates that Zolgensma will surpass the $2 billion mark in 2021.

Novartis and Roche aren’t the only ones partnering with smaller gene editing companies.

Pfizer has been working with biotechnology companies BioMarin Pharmaceutics (BMRN) and UniQure (QURE) to develop a treatment for blood-clotting disorder hemophilia.

The COVID-19 frontrunner is also collaborating with Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) to come up with a treatment for Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Gene editing has also served as the foundation for several biotechnology companies out there today like Sangamo Therapeutics (SGMO), Cellectis (CLLS), and Allogene Therapeutics (ALLO).

The market size for gene editing treatments is estimated to be worth $11.2 billion by 2025, with the number rising between $15.79 billion to $18.1 billion by 2027.

This puts the compounded annual growth rate of this sector to be at least roughly 17%.

While this is already groundbreaking with only a handful of companies knowing how to utilize the technology, the gene editing world has come up with a more advanced technique than Crispr-Cas9.

The technology is founded on the “base editing” or “prime editing” technique, which is the simplest type of gene editing that alters only one DNA letter.

So far, one company holds exclusive rights to this technology: Beam Therapeutics (BEAM).

When the technology became public, Beam stock has increased sixfold since its IPO in February 2020.

This latest development can resolve thousands of genetic diseases. However, it still requires further trials since “base editing” can also trigger damaging responses from the body.

Overall, I think CRISPR Therapeutics is the safest among these high-risk stocks.

The data from two of its candidates, CTX001 and CTX110, are incredibly promising. Plus, the added funding from Vertex boosts the confidence of investors that regulatory approval is well on its way.

The company is also capitalizing on the surging price of its stock and investing aggressively across different rare disease programs.

While the company has yet to be considered a major force in the biotechnology world, the potential multiple successes of its products could generate a company worth hundreds of billions.

This potential alone offers an investing opportunity with a substantial asymmetric advantage for its current share price.

However, bear in mind that the stock is still a risk and should be played as a long-term investment. Hence, you should buy on dips.

crispr

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 13, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
April 13, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(MEGA CAP PHARMA UP FOR GRABS)
(MRK), (ABMD), (ILMN), (ALGN), (JNJ), (GILD), (PAND), (ALKS), (IMV)

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Mega Cap Pharma Up for Grabs

Biotech Letter

Since the great 2007 financial crisis, many companies have been coping to recapture their former glory. The healthcare industry is not spared of this struggle.

This makes the continuous growth of Merck (MRK) all the more impressive, with the company reaching $195 billion in market capitalization and sustaining its rise for over 130 years.

Curiously, Merck’s share price is still in the mid-$70s.

Meanwhile, other large-cap biopharmaceutical companies that offer similar products and services are trading higher.

For instance, the share price for Abiomed (ABMD) is over $330 while Illumina (ILMN) is nearly $400, and Align Technology (ALGN) is at a whopping $600.

Like Merck, investors gravitate towards Abiomed, Illumina, and Align because of their capacity to generate long-term sustainable revenues and boost earnings.

Notably, though, none of them hold the same depth or even breadth of products and services that Merck offers.

Recently, Merck disclosed some of its initiatives to boost the company’s earnings in the near- and long term.

One of the most visible efforts is its collaboration with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) to help with the manufacturing of JNJ-78436735, in which Merck received federal funding. 

While JNJ is one of the biggest healthcare companies across the globe, with a market capitalization of roughly $425 billion, joining forces with Merck will substantially boost its vaccine manufacturing capacity.

For context, JNJ’s goal prior to Merck’s help is to deliver 100 million doses by the end of the second quarter of 2021.

With Merck’s assistance, JNJ can now realistically manufacture up to 3 billion doses in 2022 alone.

This means that JNJ can implement a massive vaccination drive in the next two years since its manufacturing capacity ensures that it can deliver shots to over one-third of the population.

This is obviously good news for everyone as it means that the virus will be contained, but the enhanced manufacturing capacity also means profit accretion for both JNJ and Merck.

This partnership with JNJ is possibly a key factor in Merck’s move to invest heavily in the vaccine business.

Merck recently announced its plans to allocate $20 billion to expand its global vaccine manufacturing network from 2021 to 2024. This would mean an annual investment of $5 billion.

Part of this global vaccine plan is Merck’s acquisition of Pandion Therapeutics (PAND) in 2020.

Another recent initiative of the company is its joint effort with Gilead Sciences (GILD) to develop long-lasting HIV treatments.

Gilead will be in charge of the US market, while Merck will handle the EU and the rest of the international markets.

For starters, the companies will focus on a combination of Merck’s Islatravir and Gilead’s Lenacapavir to create a long-lasting and well-tolerate HIV treatment.

Outside these partnerships, Merck has been working on strengthening its oncology segment.

In fact, its top-selling drug, Keytruda, can be used to medicate an extensive range of indications, which include colorectal, esophageal, and even lung cancers.

At this point, Keytruda is generating north of $16 billion in sales every year and exhibiting roughly 30% growth annually.

Since the drug continues to gain approvals for additional indications, it looks like its growth runway is definitely far from over.

Keytruda is poised to reach $24 billion in annual sales in a few years’ time, which puts it on track to become the best-selling drug in the world by 2023.

Although Keytruda will be under patent protection until 2028, Merck remains active in expanding its oncology pipeline.

By then, Merck is projected to have multiple immunotherapy staples in its portfolio not only derived from its own R&D but also via partnerships like its 2020 collaboration with Alkermes (ALKS) to work on an ovarian cancer study and Immunovaccine (IMV) to cooperate on a blood cancer study.

The total oncology market is estimated to be $200 billion annually, with over 30 million cases projected to be added by 2040.

Overall, Merck is a well-oiled company that continues to deliver good results thanks to strategic acquisitions and partnerships neatly tied up together in a particular domain.

While its rival biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies become hot properties in the market and pose higher price tags, Merck silently moves forward in the shadows of sustainability and familiarity.

merck company

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Mad Hedge Fund Trader

April 8, 2021

Biotech Letter

Mad Hedge Biotech & Healthcare Letter
April 8, 2021
Fiat Lux

FEATURED TRADE:

(A LOW-KEY POST-COVID-19 RECOVERY STOCK)
(REGN), (MRNA), (NVAX), (BNTX) (PFE), (VIR), (LLY), (RHHBY), (NVS)

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