Hot Tips Archives

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 4, 2018

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 4, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Mad Hedge Kills It with Bond Short, as the US Treasury bond collapse (TLT) goes global. Yet, we caught a 10% home run in two days. The huge expansion of government borrowing this year has come home to roost. Look for 4% bonds next year. Click here.

2) Business is Booming in Australia, as Chinese trade shifts from the US to down under. I wonder why they don’t like us anymore. Click here.

3) FedEx is Paying Huge Premiums for Pilots, to keep them from retiring before the holidays. The pilot shortage is getting that extreme. Roger that! Just found my Christmas gig. Click here.

4) Bed Bath & Beyond Has Put Itself Up for Sale. Another Amazon victim bites the dust. Click here.

5) It’s National Vodka Day and National Taco Day. Great! A hangover AND indigestion. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(TUESDAY OCTOBER 16 MIAMI GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),

(BONDS FINALLY BREAK TWO-YEAR RANGE),

(TLT), (TBT), ($TNX),

(HOW SOFTBANK IS TAKING OVER THE US VENTURE CAPITAL BUSINESS),

(SFTBY), (BABA), (GRUB), (WMT), (GM), (GS)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 3, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 3, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Will China Get the Same Free Pass as Canada? If so, stocks will rally another 10% from here. Keep buying those dips, especially in my “trade peace” stocks. Click here.

2) Intel Says it Will Reach Full Year Targets. And the rest of the chip sector seems to be bottoming on the back of the USMCA trade deal. Is it off to the races once again? Buyers are certainly looking for laggards. Click here.

3) Aston Martin IPO Bombs in London. The wrong industry at the wrong time in the wrong place, down 10% on the first day. Buy the car, not the stock. Actually, buy a Tesla (TSLA) instead. The whole world is going electric, and Aston Martin doesn’t fit anywhere in that picture. Click here.

4) Private Sector Hiring Blows Out to the Upside, with the September ADP Report surprising as if you needed more proof of a full employment economy. Smaller companies did most of the hiring, another sign of a topping economy. Click here.

5) ISM Services Index Hits a 21 Year High, jumping from 58.5 to 61.6 in September. It shows how irrelevant manufacturing really has become. And you wondered why investors are so heavily loaded with technology stocks. Buy software, short hardware! Click here.

Published today in the Mad HedgeGlobal Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(TAKING A LOOK AT GENERAL ELECTRIC LEAPS), (GE),

(TEN SURPRISES THAT WOULD DESTROY THIS MARKET),

(USO), (AMZN), (MCD), (WMT), (TGT)

(OUR HOME RUN ON SQUARE),

(SQ), (V), (AMZN), (GRUB), (SPOT), (MSFT), (CRM), (AAPL)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 2, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 2, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Amazon Raises Minimum Wage to $15. It’s about time. Too many of their 350,000 employees were sleeping in their cars. It will cost Jeff Bezos one day of extra income. Another stick on the inflation camel’s back. Click here.

2) It’s the Best Time Ever to Cheat on Your Taxes. Thanks to budget cuts audits are at a ten-year low. Suddenly, you wife has become a valuable business partner who needs entertaining on weekends. Click here.

3) Euro Hits a Six-Week Low Against the US Dollar. That’s what a Fed interest rate hike will do. Already planning next year’s European vacation. Will small caps (IWM) now make a comeback? Click here.

4) General Motors Q3 Sales Collapse by 11.1% YOY, as new Tesla 3 sales wipe out the electric Chevy Bolt, down 44%. The two hurricanes didn’t help either. Click here.

5) Oil Prices Continue to Soar. The short squeeze is on, as Europeans scramble to make up lost Iran supplies. The last time this happened we went into a recession. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(HOW FINTECH IS EATING THE BANKS’ LUNCH),

(BAC), (C), (WFC), (SQ), (PYPL),

(WCAGY), (FISV), (INTU), (BABA),

(WE’RE MAKING SOME CHANGES HERE AT MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER)

(TAKE A LOOK AT ENGLAND’S AMAZON),

(LON: OCDO), (KR), (AMZN),

(WE’RE MAKING SOME CHANGES HERE AT MAD HEDGE FUND TRADER)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for October 1, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
October 1, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Trade Deal Struck with Canada, saving NAFTA, and stocks rocket. ANY positive news on trade will deliver huge short covering rallies. What a start to Q4! Good thing I reestablished my longs last week. Click here.

2) Money is Still Pouring Into the US. Some $2.2 billion in fund flows poured out of foreign equities and $1.6 billion into US equities in the first half. Everyone wants to come to the Land of Oz. With strong earnings and a robust currency what’s not to like? Click here.

3) General Electric (GE) Dumps Its CEO, after only a year and the stock rockets 17%. It looks like the hedge fund that makes light bulbs still hasn’t found the “ON” switch. Click here.

4) Tesla Cuts Deal with the SEC, and the stock soars 20%. The shorts get burned yet again. Elon Musk will take a two-year vacation from the CEO job but will keep all the others. With the Defense Department now dependent on Musk to get their spy satellites into orbit there was no way the case against him was ever going anywhere. Click here.

5) The 30-Year Mortgage Rate Closes in on 5%, and the “FOR SALE” sign are breaking out like a rash on prom night. This is where government crowding out of private borrowers starts. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or DON’T NOMINATE ME!),
(AMZN), (NVDA), (AAPL), (MSFT), (GLD), (ABX), (GOLD),

(OCTOBER 26-27 MAD HEDGE LAKE TAHOE CONFERENCE)

(ZINC AIR BATTERIES WILL REVOLUTIONIZE ELECTRIC CARS)

(TSLA), (NIO), (FB), (GOOGL), (NFLX)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 28, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 28, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Amazon is Targeting $2,525, or so says broker Stifel Nicolaus. Its multiple giant businesses are going gangbusters. Sounds cheap to me, so I’m diving back in. Click here.

2) The SEC Goes After Tesla, and Musk has already turned down a generous plea deal. Shares suffer their biggest drop in five years, down 15%. Lawsuit secured. I TOLD you to buy the car and not the stock! Click here.

3) Bank of America (BAC) Bans Trading of Penny Stocks. Sorry, but you will have to take your low-quality business elsewhere. After all, it only paid…pennies, but left the firm open to hefty litigation risks. Click here.

4) Sears Drops Below $1. Stock to delist soon. More proof that the good old days are gone. Where am I going to get a Kenmore washing machine now? Click here.

5) August Personal Spending Comes in on the Light Side, at 0.3%. Apparently, everyone wasn’t at the mall after all. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

(WHAT WILL TRIGGER THE NEXT BEAR MARKET?)
(JPM), (SNE), (TLT), (ELD), (AMZN),
(WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2018, HOUSTON
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 27, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 27, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Three More Fed Rate Hikes in 2019, after a coming December hike, which will take overnight rates up to 3.00% to 3.25%. Wealth is about to transfer from borrowers to savers in a major way. Click here.

2) JP Morgan Goes Apple Picking, with an initial target of $272. The stock is up three bucks on the report, accounting for the entire Dow move up this morning. It’s all about services. So why is (JPM) only getting around to covering Steve Jobs’ creation now? It makes my average cost of 25 cents look pretty good. Click here.

3) Kavanaugh Supreme Court Hearings Will Bring All Markets to a Grinding Halt, from 10:00 AM EST onward as traders drop everything to watch TV. Get ready for congressional porn and scare the kids away from the TV. Volumes could drop by half. Click here.

4) Most Data Was Bad This Morning. We could be moving from universally good to choppy as tax cut effects wear off. Core capital goods were off, weekly jobless claims pop 13,000 to 214,000, and the trade deficit explodes to $75 billion. However, Q2 GDP holds at 4.2%. Click here.

5) U.S. September Auto Sales Seen Down 6%. Another nail in the auto industry coffin. If you can’t sell a car now in this red-hot economy, when will you? Are that many people riding electric scooters instead? Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(HOW TO GAIN AN ADVANTAGE WITH PARALLEL TRADING),
(GM), (F), (TM), (NSANY), (DDAIF), BMW (BMWYY), (VWAPY),
(PALL), (GS), (RSX), (EZA), (CAT), (CMI), (KMTUY),
(KODK), (SLV), (AAPL),
(TUESDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2018,
MIAMI, FL, GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(THE RATS ARE LEAVING THE SINKING SHIP AT FACEBOOK)
(FB)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 26, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 26, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Fed to Raise Interest Rates at 2:00 PM EST, and all is on hold until then. Technology is up (XLK); volatility is down (VIX). Click here.

2) Interest Payments to Become the Largest Government Expense Within a Decade, at $900 billion far outpacing the defense budget by 2028. Exploding deficits are already taking a toll, with the 30-year fixed home mortgage hitting a seven-year high at 4.95%. And you wonder why bonds (TLT) were falling? Click here.

3) Survey Monkey Goes Public, and it looks to be a hot issue. Why didn’t your broker get you in on this one? Maybe it’s time to take HIM out for a round of golf? Click here.

4) August Home Sales are Up 3.5%, after many months of declines. High interest rates and affordability are really starting to drag on this market. Click here.

5) Comcast Buys Sky TV, for $40 billion after a battle of the century. Apparently, more people watch soccer than we thought. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

SPECIAL CAR ISSUE:
(SAY GOODBYE TO THAT GAS GUZZLER),
(GM), (F), (TSLA), (GOOGL), (AAPL),
(DID SIRIUS OPEN UP PANDORA'S BOX?),
(SPOT), (P), (SIRI), (AAPL), (AMZN)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 25, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 25, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) Share Buybacks Are Booming, hitting $189 billion in Q2, up 60% YOY, the most in history. At this rate the stock market will completely disappear in 20 years. Shortage of supply means prices can only go up. Click here.

2) NAFTA to Move Ahead Without Canada. That means Congress can’t approve it. Start stockpiling that maple syrup! But markets won’t care. Click here.

3) Oil Goes Higher, with Iran threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz, as they have done for 50 years. Click here.

4) Copper Hits a Two-Month High. With the biggest one day gain in five years. Is the bear market in commodities finally over? Buy Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), the world’s largest producer. Click here.

5) The U.S. Dollar Keeps Falling (UUP). You usually don’t see a weak currency going into a rate rise. Buy the rumor, sell the news? Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(AI AND THE NEW HEALTH CARE),
(GOOGL), (XLP), (XLV), (MRK), (BMY), (PFE),
(MONDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2018, ATLANTA, GA,
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON),
(AMAZON’S HOME INVASION),
(AMZN), (GOOGL), (HBB), (PG)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 24, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 24, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) China Cancels Trade Talks, and markets hate it, delivering the worst trading day this month. Things are going to get a lot worse before they get better. Are U.S. technology companies the next target? Buy the Volatility Index (VIX) on dips. Click here.

2) Hurricane Florence Bill to Hit $50 Billion, and very few of the 250,000 homes damaged or destroyed had flood insurance. That means a local recovery in the economy will be muted. Click here.

3) Barrick Gold (ABX) Buys Randgold (GOLD), creating the world’s largest gold miner. Both stocks pop big time. Deals like this are often a sign of a long-term market bottom. Do your Christmas shopping early? Click here.

4) Michael Kors (KORS) Buys Versace, for $2.4 billion. The future is in the high end of the market with big margins, where Amazon can’t compete. Click here.

5) _{Oil Breaks $80}, a four-year high. OPEC calls Trump’s bluff and cuts back output. That other destroyer of economies, in addition to interest rates, is making its move. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch and Mad Hedge Technology Letter:

(THE MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD, or IT’S FED WEEK),
(SPY), (XLI), (XLV), (XLP), (XLY), (HD), (LOW), (GS), (MS), (TLT),
(UUP), (FXE), (FCX), (EEM), (VIX), (VXX), (UPS), (TGT),
(TEN TIPS FOR SURVIVING A DAY OFF WITH ME),
(BAD NEWS FROM MICRON TECHNOLOGY),
(MU), (BABA), (KLAC), (LRCX), (INTC), (AMD), (NVDA), (HPQ)

Mad Hedge Hot Tips for September 21, 2018

Hot Tips

Mad Hedge Hot Tips
September 21, 2018
Fiat Lux

The Five Most Important Things That Happened Today
(and what to do about them)

1) It’s All About the Dollar. The U.S. dollar break to a two-month low yesterday is what triggered the stock rally to new highs. Yes, it’s all about fundamentals. U.S. companies make more money with a weak dollar. Click here.

2) Apple Launches New iPhones. Yes, with people camping out overnight and lines around the block, Tim Cook opens the doors to the Palo Alto, CA, store at 9:00 AM sharp to three new phones. But is the stock peaking here at $219? Click here.

3) Alibaba’s (BABA) Jack Ma Says the Trade War Could Last 20 Years. He’s also canceling his promise to create 1 million new jobs in the U.S. No wonder he’s retiring, and with $60 billion he’ll never get bored. Click here.

4) The UK’s Brexit Plan Flops, sending the British pound into free fall. I never thought it would happen. Look for another election to reverse the decision within two years. Click here.

5) U.S. Existing Home Sales Fall, by 1.5% YOY. If you haven’t sold your home by now you’re screwed. The data mountain that the market has peaked is growing by the day. Click here.

Published today in the Mad Hedge Global Trading Dispatch:

(SEPTEMBER 19 BIWEEKLY STRATEGY WEBINAR Q&A),
(SPY), (VIX), (VXX), (GS), (BABA), (BIDU), (TLT), (TBT),
(TSLA), (NVDA), (MU), (XLP), (AAPL), (EEM),
(MONDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2018, ATLANTA, GA,
GLOBAL STRATEGY LUNCHEON)